10-Year Free Cash Flow Projections(showing years 1, 3, 5, 7, 10)
| Year | Year 1 | Year 3 | Year 5 | Year 7 | Year 10 |
|---|
| Revenue | $3.0B | $3.3B | $3.7B | $4.1B | $4.5B |
| EBIT | $565M | $625M | $698M | $784M | $886M |
| Tax | $54M | $60M | $67M | $75M | $85M |
| NOPAT | $511M | $565M | $631M | $709M | $800M |
| + Depreciation | $418M | $462M | $517M | $569M | $632M |
| - Capex | $86M | $95M | $107M | $117M | $130M |
| - Δ NWC | $25M | $34M | $41M | $37M | $27M |
| Free Cash Flow | $817M | $898M | $1.0B | $1.1B | $1.3B |
| Discount Factor | 0.928 | 0.800 | 0.690 | 0.594 | 0.476 |
| Present Value | $759M | $718M | $690M | $668M | $607M |
FCF Formula: Free Cash Flow = NOPAT + Depreciation - Capex - Change in Net Working Capital
Sensitivity AnalysisPrice per Share
| WACC ↓ / Growth → | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% | 4.00% |
|---|
| 5.72% | $224.85 | $239.13 | $258.67 | $287.01 | $296.37 |
| 6.72% | $188.15 | $196.04 | $206.05 | $219.17 | $237.12 |
| 7.72% | $161.79 | $166.63 | $172.49 | $179.74 | $188.95 |
| 8.72% | $141.46 | $144.64 | $148.37 | $152.82 | $158.22 |
| 9.72% | $125.05 | $127.25 | $129.77 | $132.69 | $136.13 |
How to read: This table shows how the valuation changes with different WACC (discount rate) and terminal growth rate assumptions. Green = undervalued, Red = overvalued.
Key Assumptions & Drivers✓ Using Analyst Consensus Estimates• Healthcare Sector
Growth Assumptions (Select Years)
Year 1 Revenue Growth4.35%
Year 3 Revenue Growth5.38%
Year 5 Revenue Growth5.79%
Year 7 Revenue Growth4.67%
Year 10 Revenue Growth3.00%
Terminal Growth Rate3.00%
Margin & Efficiency
Current EBIT Margin18.95%
Terminal EBIT Margin20.00%
Tax Rate9.62%
Historical Capex / Rev2.89%
NWC / Revenue20.22%
Key Drivers: Revenue growth, operating margin expansion, capex efficiency, and working capital management are the primary drivers of cash flow generation. Terminal value assumptions significantly impact final valuation.
Institutional-Grade Methodology
Actual Company Data: Revenue, EBIT, Capex, NWC, Tax Rate, Interest Expense, Beta
Market Assumptions: Risk-free: 4.5% (10Y), MRP: 4.5% (Damodaran 2026), Exit: 24x EV/EBITDA (Healthcare sector)
This DCF model is for informational purposes only. Projections are based on assumptions that may not materialize. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.