Every morning before the stock market opens, experienced traders check one thing first: futures.
Futures markets trade nearly 24 hours a day, providing real-time insight into where stocks, commodities, and currencies are heading. Understanding futures gives you a significant edge — you'll know how the market is likely to open before most traders even wake up.
This guide covers everything you need to know about futures: what they are, when they trade, which contracts matter most, and how to use them for better trading decisions.
What Are Futures?
A futures contract is an agreement to buy or sell an asset at a predetermined price on a specific future date.
Key characteristics:
- Standardized contracts — Each contract specifies exact quantity, quality, and delivery terms
- Leverage — Control large positions with relatively small margin deposits
- Two-sided market — Equally easy to go long (buy) or short (sell)
- Expiration dates — Contracts expire monthly or quarterly
- Cash or physical settlement — Most financial futures settle in cash
Example: One E-mini S&P 500 (ES) contract represents $50 × the S&P 500 index value. If the S&P is at 5,000, one contract controls $250,000 worth of exposure, but only requires around $12,000 in margin.
Why Futures Matter for Stock Traders
Even if you never trade futures directly, watching them is essential because:
1. Pre-Market Price Discovery
Futures trade while stocks don't. When you wake up and ES futures are down 2%, you know the stock market will likely gap down at the open. This gives you time to:
- Adjust or close positions before the open
- Prepare buy orders for stocks you want at lower prices
- Avoid being blindsided by the opening bell
2. Global Event Reaction
When news breaks overnight — earnings, geopolitical events, economic data from Asia or Europe — futures immediately react. By the time the stock market opens, futures have already priced in the news.
3. Sentiment Indicator
Futures sentiment often leads stock sentiment. If index futures are rallying overnight on heavy volume, it signals institutional conviction that carries into the regular session.
4. Sector Analysis
Commodity futures (oil, gold, copper) directly impact related stock sectors:
- Oil futures up → Energy stocks likely up
- Gold futures up → Mining stocks likely up
- Copper futures up → Industrial/construction stocks likely up
Futures Trading Hours
One of the biggest advantages of futures is nearly 24-hour trading.
Index Futures (ES, NQ, YM, RTY)
| Session | Time (ET) | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Globex Open | Sunday 6:00 PM | Week begins |
| Asian Session | 6:00 PM - 3:00 AM | Reacts to Asia markets |
| European Session | 3:00 AM - 9:30 AM | Reacts to Europe markets |
| US Pre-Market | 6:00 AM - 9:30 AM | Highest pre-open volume |
| Regular Session | 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM | Mirrors stock hours |
| After Hours | 4:00 PM - 5:00 PM | Post-close reaction |
| Daily Maintenance | 5:00 PM - 6:00 PM | Trading halted |
| Globex Close | Friday 5:00 PM | Week ends |
Commodity Futures
Different commodities have different primary trading hours:
| Contract | Primary Session (ET) | Exchange |
|---|---|---|
| Crude Oil (CL) | 9:00 AM - 2:30 PM | NYMEX |
| Gold (GC) | 8:20 AM - 1:30 PM | COMEX |
| Natural Gas (NG) | 9:00 AM - 2:30 PM | NYMEX |
| Corn (ZC) | 9:30 AM - 2:20 PM | CBOT |
| Soybeans (ZS) | 9:30 AM - 2:20 PM | CBOT |
Note: Most commodities also trade electronic overnight sessions with lower volume.
Key Futures Instruments by Category
Index Futures (Most Important for Stock Traders)
| Symbol | Contract | Index Tracked | Point Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ES | E-mini S&P 500 | S&P 500 | $50/point |
| NQ | E-mini Nasdaq 100 | Nasdaq 100 | $20/point |
| YM | E-mini Dow | Dow Jones | $5/point |
| RTY | E-mini Russell 2000 | Russell 2000 | $50/point |
| MES | Micro E-mini S&P | S&P 500 | $5/point |
| MNQ | Micro E-mini Nasdaq | Nasdaq 100 | $2/point |
| VX | VIX Futures | CBOE VIX | $1,000/point |
What to watch:
- ES is the benchmark — most liquid futures contract in the world
- NQ leads in tech-driven markets
- VX measures fear/volatility expectations
Energy Futures
| Symbol | Contract | What It Tracks |
|---|---|---|
| CL | Crude Oil | WTI crude oil ($/barrel) |
| NG | Natural Gas | Henry Hub natural gas |
| HO | Heating Oil | Refined petroleum |
| RB | RBOB Gasoline | Gasoline prices |
| BZ | Brent Crude | International oil benchmark |
What to watch:
- CL (crude oil) impacts energy stocks, transportation, inflation expectations
- NG is highly volatile, weather-dependent
Precious Metals
| Symbol | Contract | What It Tracks |
|---|---|---|
| GC | Gold | Gold ($/oz) |
| SI | Silver | Silver ($/oz) |
| PL | Platinum | Platinum ($/oz) |
| PA | Palladium | Palladium ($/oz) |
| HG | Copper | Copper ($/lb) |
What to watch:
- GC (gold) is a safe haven — rises during uncertainty
- HG (copper) is "Dr. Copper" — predicts economic health
Agricultural Futures
Grains:
| Symbol | Contract |
|---|---|
| ZC | Corn |
| ZW | Wheat |
| ZS | Soybeans |
| ZL | Soybean Oil |
| ZM | Soybean Meal |
Softs:
| Symbol | Contract |
|---|---|
| SB | Sugar |
| KC | Coffee |
| CC | Cocoa |
| CT | Cotton |
| OJ | Orange Juice |
Livestock:
| Symbol | Contract |
|---|---|
| LE | Live Cattle |
| HE | Lean Hogs |
| GF | Feeder Cattle |
Interest Rate Futures
| Symbol | Contract | What It Tracks |
|---|---|---|
| ZN | 10-Year T-Note | 10-year Treasury yield (inverse) |
| ZB | 30-Year T-Bond | Long-term rates |
| ZF | 5-Year T-Note | Medium-term rates |
| ZT | 2-Year T-Note | Short-term rates |
| ZQ | Fed Funds | Fed policy expectations |
What to watch:
- ZN is crucial — rising ZN means falling yields, often bullish for stocks
- ZQ shows market expectations for Fed rate decisions
Currency Futures
| Symbol | Contract |
|---|---|
| E6 | Euro FX |
| J6 | Japanese Yen |
| B6 | British Pound |
| A6 | Australian Dollar |
| D6 | Canadian Dollar |
| DX | US Dollar Index |
What to watch:
- DX (Dollar Index) — Strong dollar often pressures commodities and multinational earnings
How to Read Futures Data
Key Metrics
Price and Change:
- Current price vs. prior settlement
- Percentage change shows overnight sentiment
Volume:
- Number of contracts traded
- Higher volume = more conviction in the move
Open Interest:
- Total outstanding contracts
- Rising OI + rising price = new money entering (bullish)
- Rising OI + falling price = new shorts entering (bearish)
Interpreting Pre-Market Futures
Scenario 1: ES up 0.5%, NQ up 0.8%
- Expect S&P to open higher
- Tech leading suggests risk-on sentiment
- Growth stocks likely to outperform
Scenario 2: ES down 1%, VX up 15%
- Expect significant gap down
- Fear rising (VIX futures up)
- Consider defensive positioning
Scenario 3: ES flat, CL up 3%
- Stock market neutral
- Energy stocks likely to outperform
- Watch for inflation implications
Scenario 4: ES up, ZN down (yields rising)
- Stocks rising despite higher yields
- Usually indicates strong economic confidence
- Watch rate-sensitive sectors (utilities, REITs)
Futures vs. Stock Index ETFs
Many traders wonder: should I trade ES futures or SPY?
| Factor | ES Futures | SPY ETF |
|---|---|---|
| Hours | Nearly 24/5 | 9:30 AM - 4 PM (+ extended) |
| Leverage | ~20:1 | 1:1 (or 2:1 with margin) |
| Contract Size | ~$250,000 | Any dollar amount |
| Costs | Low commissions, no management fee | Commission + 0.09% expense ratio |
| Tax Treatment | 60/40 long/short-term | Standard capital gains |
| Complexity | Rollovers, margin calls | Simple buy/hold |
Use futures when:
- You need overnight exposure
- You want leverage
- You're an active, experienced trader
Use ETFs when:
- You want simplicity
- You're investing, not trading
- You prefer no expiration/rollover
Using Futures in Your Daily Routine
Morning Routine (Before 9:30 AM)
-
Check index futures (ES, NQ, RTY)
- Direction tells you likely market open
- Compare NQ vs ES for growth/value lean
-
Check volatility (VX)
- VX up = expect choppy trading
- VX down = expect smoother trends
-
Check key commodities
- Oil direction impacts energy stocks
- Gold direction shows risk appetite
-
Check bonds (ZN)
- Yields rising or falling?
- Impacts rate-sensitive sectors
Using Futures for Alerts
Set alerts on key futures levels:
- ES at round numbers (5,000, 5,100, etc.)
- VX at fear thresholds (above 20, above 30)
- CL at key prices ($70, $80, $90)
- GC at psychological levels ($2,000, $2,100)
When these alerts trigger overnight, you'll know something significant is happening before most traders react.
Contract Expiration and Rollover
Futures contracts expire. Most index futures expire quarterly (March, June, September, December) on the third Friday of the month.
Contract Months
| Code | Month |
|---|---|
| H | March |
| M | June |
| U | September |
| Z | December |
Example: ESH25 = E-mini S&P March 2025
Rollover
About a week before expiration, traders "roll" to the next contract:
- Sell the expiring contract
- Buy the next month's contract
Most volume shifts to the new contract 7-10 days before expiration.
Tip: Always check which contract month you're viewing. During rollover week, quotes can be confusing if you're looking at the wrong month.
Futures Trading Risks
Futures are powerful but risky:
Leverage Risk
A 2% move against your position with 20:1 leverage means a 40% loss on your margin. Leverage amplifies both gains and losses.
Gap Risk
Even though futures trade nearly 24 hours, gaps can occur at the Sunday open or after the daily maintenance break.
Margin Calls
If your position moves against you significantly, your broker may require additional funds immediately or close your position at a loss.
Liquidity Risk
While ES and NQ are extremely liquid, some commodity futures have thin overnight volume, leading to wider spreads and slippage.
Rollover Risk
Forgetting to roll your position before expiration can result in unintended delivery obligations (for physical commodities) or cash settlement at unfavorable prices.
Key Takeaways
-
Futures trade nearly 24 hours — they show you market direction before stocks open
-
ES (S&P 500 futures) is the most important — it's the benchmark for overall market sentiment
-
Check futures every morning — direction, volatility (VX), and key commodities tell you what to expect
-
Commodity futures impact sectors — oil affects energy, gold affects miners, copper signals economic health
-
Bond futures show rate expectations — crucial for rate-sensitive stocks and growth vs. value rotation
-
Leverage is a double-edged sword — futures require careful risk management
-
Set alerts on key levels — get notified when futures move significantly overnight
Track Futures with Stock Alarm
Stay ahead of the market with real-time futures data. Stock Alarm Pro's futures page shows:
- Live quotes across all major futures categories
- Visual heatmaps for quick sector analysis
- Price changes from overnight and session moves
- All categories — indices, energy, metals, agriculture, bonds, currencies
Set alerts on futures levels that matter to you and get notified before the stock market opens.
Frequently Asked Questions
What time do futures markets open?
Most US futures trade nearly 24 hours, opening Sunday at 6 PM ET and closing Friday at 5 PM ET. There's a daily maintenance break from 5-6 PM ET. This allows traders to react to overnight news and global events before the stock market opens.
What are E-mini futures?
E-mini futures are electronically traded, smaller-sized versions of standard futures contracts. The E-mini S&P 500 (ES) is the most popular, representing 1/5 the size of the full contract. E-minis offer lower margin requirements and are highly liquid, making them accessible to individual traders.
Why do traders watch futures before the market opens?
Futures trade while the stock market is closed, so they reflect how investors are reacting to overnight news, earnings reports, and global events. When ES futures are up 1%, it suggests the S&P 500 will likely open higher. This helps traders prepare positions before the opening bell.
What is the difference between futures and stocks?
Futures are contracts to buy or sell an asset at a future date and price, while stocks represent ownership in a company. Futures use leverage (margin), have expiration dates, and trade nearly 24 hours. Stocks have no expiration and trade during regular market hours.
What are the most important futures to watch?
For stock traders, the key futures are: ES (S&P 500), NQ (Nasdaq 100), YM (Dow Jones), and RTY (Russell 2000). For broader economic insight, watch CL (crude oil), GC (gold), and ZN (10-year Treasury notes).
Related Articles
Expand your trading toolkit:
- Hedge Fund Strategies — How professionals use futures
- Trading Risk Management — Essential for leveraged trading
- Stock Order Types — Execute futures trades properly
- Pre-Market Trading Guide — Trade before the opening bell
- How to Build a Watchlist — Track futures alongside stocks
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