Phillips 66PSXNYSE
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Executive Summary

Latest Data: Dec 2025
EnergyOil & Gas Refining & Marketing
$64.4BLarge Cap

A mega-cap enterprise, operating profitably, with revenues declining trading at a discount.

Key Investment Themes
Declining revenues (-8%)
Attractive valuation (14.6x P/E)

Business Narrative

Phillips 66 operates as an energy manufacturing and logistics company. It operates through four segments: Midstream, Chemicals, Refining, and Marketing and Specialties (M&S). The Midstream segment transports crude oil and other feedstocks; delivers refined petroleum products to market; provides terminaling and storage services for crude oil and refined petroleum products; transports, stores, fractionates, exports, and markets natural gas liquids; provides other fee-based processing services; and gathers, processes, transports, and markets natural gas.

EnergyOil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Cyclical
Revenue Mix
Single segment business
Bear Case
  • -Declining revenues signal potential market share erosion

Company at a Glance

Revenue Growth
-8%
Profit Margin
3%
Free Cash Flow
$2.7B
P/E Ratio
14.6x
+2% vs 5Y avg
IN-LINE

Business Performance

Business Scale
Revenue$132.4B
Net Income$4.4B
Profitability Quality
Gross Margin5%
Operating Margin3%
Net Margin3%
Growth Trajectory
Revenue Growth
-8%
EPS Growth
108%
FCF Growth
17%

Key Highlights

Positive Signals

  • Conservative balance sheet with low debt levels

Watch Areas

  • Revenue declining year-over-year
  • Thin profit margins under 5%
  • Current liabilities exceed current assets

Financial Health

Liquidity
Concern
Current Ratio0.00
<1.0 = Weak
Cash & Equivalents$1.7B
Leverage
Watch
Debt / Equity0.00
<1.0 = Low leverage
Interest Coverage3.21x
2-5x = Adequate
Efficiency
Concern
Return on Equity0.0%
<8% = Weak
Return on Capital0.0%
<8% = Weak

Valuation Assessment

Market Cap
$64.4B
Large Cap
P/E (TTM)
14.6x
Discounted
vs 5Y avg: 14.4x (+2%)
P/S (TTM)
0.5x
Discounted
vs 5Y avg: 0.3x (+42%)
EV/EBITDA
8.6x
Discounted
vs 5Y avg: 7.9x
(+9%)
P/E Historical Range (5Y)
Min: 4.5xAvg: 14.4xNow: 14.6xMax: 24.2x
P/S Historical Range (5Y)
Min: 0.3xAvg: 0.3xNow: 0.5xMax: 0.4x
EV/EBITDA Historical Range (5Y)
Min: 3.6xAvg: 7.9xNow: 8.6xMax: 11.1x

Valuation Corridor

EXPENSIVE
PEG Ratio
12.57
P/E 14.6x / Growth 116.4% = Expensive
FCF Yield
6.6%
vs Cost of Capital ~8.0% = Strong
P/E Corridor (5Y)14.6x
4.5xFair: 5.6x-23.1x24.2x
P/S Corridor (5Y)0.5x
0.3xFair: 0.3x-0.4x0.4x
EV/EBITDA Corridor (5Y)8.6x
3.6xFair: 4.2x-11.1x11.1x

Detailed Financials

Comprehensive financial statement data for deep analysis

MetricDec 21Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25
Return on Equity
-
-
-
-
-
Return on Invested Capital
-
-
-
-
-
Gross Margin
3.0%
7.5%148.7%
7.7%2.1%
3.4%55.7%
5.0%45.9%
Operating Margin
1.1%
5.9%441.1%
5.6%5.2%
1.6%71.1%
2.5%55.0%
Net Margin
1.2%
6.5%451.7%
4.8%26.6%
1.5%68.9%
3.3%124.9%
Earnings Yield
-
-
-
-
-
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