Operator: Good morning. Welcome, everyone, to the Vulcan Materials Company Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. My name is Angela, and I will be your conference call coordinator today. Please be reminded that today's call is being recorded and will be available for replay later today at the company's website. [Operator Instructions] Now I will turn the call over to your host, Mr. Mark Warren, Vice President of Investor Relations for Vulcan Materials. Mr. Warren, you may begin.
Mark Warren: Thank you, operator. With me today are Ronnie Pruitt, Chief Executive Officer; and Mary Andrews Carlisle, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Today's call is accompanied by a press release and a supplemental presentation posted to our website, vulcanmaterials.com. Please be reminded that today's discussion may include forward-looking statements, which are subject to risks and uncertainties. These risks, along with other legal disclaimers, are described in detail in the company's earnings release and in other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Reconciliations of non-GAAP financial measures are defined and reconciled in our earnings release, supplemental presentation and other SEC filings. [Operator Instructions] And with that, I'll turn the call over to Ronnie.
Ronnie Pruitt: Thanks, Mark, and thank you all for joining our call this morning. I am honored to be leading this great company and representing the men and women of Vulcan Materials. We had an outstanding safety year and delivered another year of robust growth in earnings and cash generation. I am proud of the way our teams executed in 2025. Their accomplishments position us well to take advantage of the growth opportunities ahead of us. We are committed to continue to improve our underlying business and expand our industry-leading Aggregates franchise, both in our current footprint and new geographies. In 2025, we delivered $2.3 billion of adjusted EBITDA, a 13% increase over the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 160 basis points to 29.3%. Importantly, our Aggregates cash gross profit per ton grew to $11.33, achieving our previously established target of $11 to $12 and driving operating cash flow of over $1.8 billion, a 29% increase over the prior year. As expected, Aggregates unit's profitability continued to expand and public demand continued to grow. However, single-family residential activity was weaker than we initially anticipated, yielding a full year volume and price at the lower end of our initial expectations. I was pleased with how our operating and sales teams adjusted to a dynamic environment by carefully managing inventories and tightly controlling costs, even with several fourth quarter timing impacts outside of their control. Our Aggregates unit's cash cost of sales increased less than 2% for the full year. This performance is a great example of the Vulcan Way of Operating at work, allowing us to use our tools and disciplines to remain focused on what we can control. With implementation ongoing and incremental opportunities ahead of us, I am certain VWO will continue to enhance our results. Aggregates shipments approximately -- of approximately 227 million tons increased 3% for the full year, with growth driven by prior-year acquisitions. Same-store Aggregates shipments for the full year were slightly lower than the prior year. In the fourth quarter, Aggregates shipments increased 2% compared to the prior year, despite nearly 30% lower shipments in East Tennessee and North Carolina that had outsized shipments in the prior year's fourth quarter as we supported the rebuilding efforts after Hurricane Helene. Aggregates mix-adjusted price improved 6% for the full year and 5% in the fourth quarter. Geographic mix from the acquisitions, the prior year elevated shipments in two of our higher-priced markets and a shift in product mix all impacted year-over-year reported pricing in the quarter. While an acceleration in bookings for large projects, with the wide complement of products and a quick conversion to shipments impacted sequential pricing in the fourth quarter, these activity levels bode well for 2026 demand and highlight our position as a supplier of choice on large projects that need to move quickly. Through the combination of our commercial and operational execution throughout 2025, Aggregates cash gross profit per ton improved 7% for the year. This performance gives me confidence in our operating and sales team's abilities to continue compounding our industry-leading unit profitability. Now I'll turn the call over to Mary Andrews to provide some additional commentary on our 2025 performance.
Mary Carlisle: Thanks, Ronnie, and good morning. Our 2025 results are a clear depiction of the powerful combination of our two-pronged approach to growth. Through the continued expansion of our Aggregates cash gross profit per ton across the franchise, and the contribution of prior year strategic acquisitions, we increased our free cash flow by over 40% after reinvesting $678 million of total capital expenditures for operating and maintenance needs and internal growth projects. The strong cash generation allowed us to quickly delever the balance sheet after issuing $2 billion of new long-term notes in the fourth quarter of last year, positioning us well to capitalize on future growth opportunities. We also returned $260 million to shareholders through our steadily growing dividend and $438 million through share repurchases. At year-end, our net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA leverage was 1.8x. In March, we redeemed our 2025 notes at par for $400 million, and throughout the second half of the year, we paid down $550 million of commercial paper balances to reduce interest expense, while maintaining the flexibility to reissue at any time. SAG expenses for the full year were $564 million and 10 basis points lower than the prior year as a percentage of revenue at 7.1%. We remain pleased with the results our investments in technology and talent are yielding in the business. Through compounding improvements in our business and strategic portfolio optimization, over the last 3 years, we have improved our adjusted EBITDA margin by over 700 basis points and our return on invested capital by over 200 basis points. We anticipate further expansion in both metrics with the closing of the pending ready-mixed divestiture and attractive profitability improvements in our underlying businesses in 2026 that I'll now pass back to Ronnie to highlight.
Ronnie Pruitt: Thanks, Mary Andrews. In 2026, we plan to continue our track record of compounding growth in what we expect to be an improving demand environment. We expect continued growth in public demand will now be complemented by improving private demand, resulting in modest overall growth in 2026. Growing demand is a beneficial backdrop for both the pricing and operating environments. Trailing 12-month highway starts continue to grow and at 3x the rate in Vulcan markets compared to the U.S. overall. IIJA dollars continue to drive increased spending in addition to funding from state DOTs and local initiatives. While the current highway funding programs authorized by IIJA continued through September of this year, over 50% of the funding is yet to be spent and will continue to flow through over the next several years. Efforts are already underway in Washington for a reauthorization bill. Public non-highway infrastructure investments also continued to grow. Starts in Vulcan markets for water, sewer and other infrastructure projects increased double digits in 2025, supporting shipments growth in 2026. On the private side, the affordability issue in single-family housing have yet to be resolved, but appear to be a priority of the administration. We expect that residential activity will be limited in 2026, but we will be monitoring closely for any improving opportunities in the second half of the year. While private non-residential activity continues to vary across categories, we are encouraged by the prospects of a return to modest growth in Vulcan-served markets in 2026, led by industrial and non-residential categories. Data centers remain the biggest catalyst with over 150 million square feet under construction and another nearly 450 million square feet announced. Over 70% of this activity is occurring within 30 miles of the Vulcan Aggregates facility. Our footprint, scale, reliability and logistics capabilities make us particularly well suited to partner with our customers and serve these fast-moving projects. Based on the demand expectations I just described, we expect Aggregates shipments to grow between 1% and 3% in 2026. We expect Aggregates freight-adjusted average selling prices to increase between 4% and 6%. And Aggregates unit's cash cost of sales to increase by a low single-digit percentage. These expectations equate to another year of at least high single-digit expansion of our Aggregates cash gross profit per ton, which will drive attractive earnings growth and cash generation. We expect to deliver between $2.4 billion and $2.6 billion of adjusted EBITDA in 2026. I'll now pass to Mary Andrews again to provide a few more details around the 2026 guidance before we take your questions.
Mary Carlisle: Thanks, Ronnie. To complement the solid Aggregates outlook Ronnie just shared with you, we expect our downstream businesses to contribute approximately $290 million in cash gross profit. Roughly 85% of the earnings are expected to be derived from the Asphalt segment given our pruned ready-mixed footprint. We forecast SAG expenses of between $580 million and $590 million. We project depreciation, depletion, amortization and accretion expenses of approximately $700 million, interest expense of approximately $225 million and an effective tax rate between 22% and 23%. Consistent with our initial plans for 2025, we plan to reinvest in our franchise through operating and maintenance and internal growth capital expenditures of $750 million to $800 million in 2026. This year's CapEx includes approximately $50 million of planned spending that shifted from the prior year into 2026 on the large plant rebuild projects underway. Overall, we expect to deliver another year of expansion in adjusted EBITDA margin, growth in adjusted EBITDA and attractive cash generation in 2026. Now Ronnie and I will be happy to take your questions.
Operator: [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Trey Grooms with Stephens.
Trey Grooms: So Ronnie, given the 4Q, kind of where it landed and then looking into the guide for this year, it clearly suggests that 4Q '25 is not the trend. So could you talk about your confidence levels there and the puts and takes around the end market demand as well as your expectations around pricing and profitability and your outlook there for '26, please?
Ronnie Pruitt: Thanks for the question. Let me start with saying the business is executing well, and we're in a position to leverage demand growth in I think a very healthy pricing environment for 2026. So first, on the demand side, public starts remain solid. It's also reflected in the strength of our backlog. And then the other public infrastructure outside of highways is also a really good story for us as we continue to see that in our backlog as well. So overall, we expect really steady public -- growth in the public side. On the private side, let's start with private non-res. We're seeing most of this activity in the industrial categories. Data centers continues to be a bright spot, and we're seeing increasing levels of activities reflected in our bookings as well. Importantly, these data center projects are quickly converting to shipments, which we also anticipate growth in the power generation side as these data centers continue to get built out. Warehouses, we think they're finding the bottom, and we're seeing some potential green shoots in a number of our markets. On the residential side, we're expecting the currently soft demand environment to improve somewhat in 2026. But this assumes that we get some help from interest rates and affordability. So we'll see how that plays out through the remainder of the year. So after really 3 years of muted growth, I mean we expect 2026 to really return to a year of some modest growth. And so an improving demand backdrop could provide both help on our cost side as well as even more upside on our pricing. With our Vulcan Way of Selling disciplines, they're helping us really efficiently manage project leads and maximize pricing as we expect those efforts to continue to be a catalyst for pricing and profitability realization. And on the fixed plant price increases have largely been accepted and improved visibility on the private side will help that, and it will also be helpful for -- as we think about midyears throughout the year. On the cost side, we're seeing really good traction on the Vulcan Way of Operating disciplines focused on plant production. And these efforts will -- along with some volume growth can also be a tailwind to our cost in 2026. So as we look at 2026 as a year of potential growth, I think we're in a really strong position to capture more profitability and really drive that to our cash gross profit.
Mary Carlisle: Yes. And Trey, maybe I can just give you a little extra context on the fourth quarter that may be helpful. We obviously had a very solid performance for 2025 overall and knew the fourth quarter would have some unusual year-over-year comparisons. But where we ultimately landed, which I would think about it as kind of essentially flat year-over-year on EBITDA, absent the geographic headwinds that we had from the prior-year hurricane relief activity. And so where we landed was really impacted by three main factors that affected both revenue and cost and accounted for really most of the difference between that flat EBITDA and the growth that we anticipated. So primarily, first and foremost, residential activity, which was a challenge for the year, continued to weaken. We also secondly had weather, winter came early in some of our seasonal markets. And Southern California was just extremely, extremely wet, which is unusual. And then we also had some incremental costs related to timing on both repairs and insurance costs. So I think you'll see in our 2026 guidance that, as you mentioned, clearly reflects a continuation of the compounding improvements that we expect for our business moving forward.
Operator: Our next question comes from Tyler Brown with Raymond James.
Patrick Brown: I want to come back to the pricing, maybe a little bit different angle. So I appreciate you guys gave the 5% mix-adjusted number. But could you kind of help bridge the 3-point difference between what you reported and mix? Because it seems like conceptually, you guys really benefited from storm-work in high ASP markets last year that didn't reoccur. So geography was definitely working against you. It sounds like at the same time, you did a lot of quick, call it, book-and-burn base and fill work that comes in at a lot lower ASP. So product was a headwind, and then M&A was also a drag. So it felt like kind of maybe a triple whammy, if you will. But first, is all that right? And how much did each of those buckets have on the 3-point difference? And then secondly, Mary Andrews, just from a shaping perspective, I appreciate the 4% to 6% pricing, but should we expect to be on the low end early in the year and maybe higher later? Just I assume some of these mix headwinds will persist. Sorry for the long question there.
Mary Carlisle: Yes. No worries. First, you do have the triple whammy, as you called it, right, as it relates to the mix impact on pricing in the fourth quarter. The 300 basis points was about 2/3 the geographic mix from the strong shipments last year in those profitable markets. And then I'd say the other 1/3 was about 50-50, continued impact from the acquisitions, which was actually lower in the fourth quarter than the full year 100 basis points that we called out and did happen in 2025. And then the other half of that 1/3 was the product mix that was really based on those projects. And I think you're right to be thinking about pricing in 2026 is probably toward the lower end in the first half of the year, moving toward that -- the higher end as the year moves on. And I think that is reflective of the improving demand that we expect to see and just comps from last year. And Ronnie may want to comment more on the kind of the types of projects that we're shipping on.
Ronnie Pruitt: Yes, Tyler. I think as we look at going into 2026, one, our backlog and bookings is at a much better spot than it was year-over-year. And so remember, our backlog doesn't account for 100% of our shipments, but it is typically around 40% to 45% of our forward-looking backlog is what our shipments are going to look like. And so that's a good healthy spot for us to be as we think about demand. And also remember, the trends on these -- a lot of these large projects, which we categorize as 25,000 tons and above, historically, that makes up about 30% of our bookings. Today, we sit there, it's about 45% of our bookings in large projects, which is really reflective of that data center work. And remember, we talked about these data centers. The first part of them are going to be base and fill. So that's where we're seeing the mix impact on. But as those projects continue to mature, then we'll see the cleaned stone and the cleaned, sized stones be shipped through the remainder of the project. So in our 4% to 6% guide, we anticipate these shipments of these projects being more weighted heavily on the front end for base, but as those projects mature out, and so to Mary Andrews' point, that's why I think the pricing will play out through the year at the lower end of the first of the year and then it will play up at the higher end. Second, when we talk about our fixed plant, we sent out our fixed plant price increases at the second half of 2025 for January. And the implementation of those and acceptance of those have gone as expected. And so I think we're in a healthy position as far as what those increases were accepted and announced in the first part of the year. And then third, as I continue to think about the steady growth in public, the continued positive improvements on the private non-res side and then the potential recovery on single-family. And I've talked about this in the past is these improving demand and the backdrop of that is going to be a tailwind for us as we move forward. And so again, we don't have midyears baked into these increases, our guidance, but we would anticipate definitely going forward with midyears, and I think that momentum in demand will help us.
Operator: Our next question comes from Anthony Pettinari with Citigroup.
Asher Sohnen: This is Asher Sohnen on for Anthony. I just wanted to ask what kind of gives you the confidence that you can kind of keep costs down '26 to low single-digit inflation? Is it sort of what you're seeing in underlying inflation or maybe Vulcan Way of Operating and cost takeout? And then just dovetailing off some earlier mix questions, is there a mix impact baked into that low single digit from the kind of base, stone?
Ronnie Pruitt: Yes. So on the cost side, what gives us confidence on cost is definitely Vulcan Way of Operating. So as I look at where we finished the year down -- or up less than 2% for 2025. Overall, I think 2025 was a really good year on cost, and we anticipate that to continue. When I look at the maturity of Vulcan Way of Operating, we said we're focused on our 120-plus plants that represents about 75% of our production. So we're very mature on the process intelligence, on our labor scheduling tools and really on the focus on our critical-size production. And where we're going to continue to focus on is the development of our people. So our plant operators and really adapting to using these screens and really driving more efficient production in our plants. But when I look overall, I mean, I'm very pleased with where we're at. I think labor is going to continue to be one that as labor increases will happen in markets, our ability to control that and our ability to outperform the market with our labor control is going to be critical as -- and that's a big part of Vulcan Way of Operating. And so I'm very pleased with that. And to your point, what we talk about on the mix side with a drag on pricing, the mix is a benefit to us in the way we operate our plants. And so our plants are in a really good shape on yield, the amount of fines that we have and the way we mine in our pits, we're in a really good position. We've gone through 3 years of muted demand, and we really haven't built any inventory. And so we've really managed through 3 years of this muted demand in a way that it puts us in a very good position when demand starts to recover that our costs are going to be just as much of a tailwind as it will be on price.
Operator: Our next question comes from Kathryn Thompson with Thompson Research Group.
Kathryn Thompson: Focusing on the policy side with IIJA expiring in September, but states also taking greater control of their own financing destiny. How is the dynamic of kind of the messiness that inevitably happens with reauthorization bill, how is that baked into your guidance? And then also perhaps clarify a little bit more how states are taking control, or the ones that matter for you? And how are you thinking about that with your public end market? And then one cleanup question. Just we're assuming that the divested assets in the Bay Area are not included in the guide.
Ronnie Pruitt: Yes, I'll let Mary Andrews talk about the guide on the divested assets, she can give you some color on that. On the public side, I mean, I think we're going into the year with a couple of assumptions. One, that a bill will get done. Will it be on time or will it be in the form of a continuing resolution? Who knows. But historically, we're going to get a bill done. And two, based on historic measures, the bill will always be higher than the previous bill. And so we're expecting that. But the good thing for us is -- Kathryn, is that 50% of the money has yet to be spent. And so we will see the tail of IIJA continue through '26 and well into '27. When I look at our markets, and I look at Vulcan-served markets, on a trailing 12, starts dollars in Vulcan-served markets are up 24% year-over-year, '25 versus '24. And so those dollars are going to be put into work in '26 as far as the demand for our products. And if you go back to the start of IIJA, our markets were up 80% in starts dollars. And so it's a really good tailwind. But we've said the entire time that IIJA would be slow and steady, and we continue to see that. In California, one of our standout markets, I mean, highway starts are up 47% in '25 versus '24. And so that's another market that we will see '26 continue to see strong demand from highway dollars being put in place. In the Southeast, we've seen significant jumps in bookings in Alabama, in Georgia and South Carolina and Tennessee. And so again, right in the heart of our Southeast group, and I think those dollars are going to continue to be put to work. We've also seen other public works like beach restorations, port renovations, airport projects. Those kind of starts in Vulcan-served markets, 2/3 of our GM areas, which we have 19 GM areas. So 14 of our 19 GM areas, we're seeing double-digit increases in starts in those other public works. And so I would say public -- for all things considered, public is probably the most clarity we have, and I think we're very confident in that. And I'll let Mary Andrews talk about the modeling on the divested assets.
Mary Carlisle: Yes, Kathryn, you're right. The ready-mixed assets we have excluded from the guidance. So I think the best way to think about that is the guide at the midpoint on a same-store basis is really over 10% growth in 2026.
Operator: We'll go next to Angel Castillo with Morgan Stanley.
Angel Castillo Malpica: So you outlined the big opportunity from data centers on the slide. And I just wanted to unpack a little bit more, particularly the comments around the base versus cleaned stone timing. I think the timing of mix drag versus maybe the uplift as you start to ship more cleaned stone in the latter stages makes a lot of sense. But can you just maybe talk about this more holistically as to whether the data center project all-in is higher or lower margin than a traditional manufacturing project when you kind of ignore the timing of some of these things? And then just as we think about data centers being such a big growth factor in the next few years, is the right way to think about the DC opportunity here as perhaps a bit of a drag here for price margins until the number of projects really starts to -- the number of projects being completed starts to really exceed those starting up? And if so, can you just quantify that? I don't know if I missed this, but just how much of a drag that is in your 2026 guide? I'm just trying to think about how to model this and how to understand this just given so much growth in this vertical.
Ronnie Pruitt: Yes. I think you summed it up, right? I mean as we look at the continued demand for data centers, we're going to continue to see the mix issues. And so if I look at base pricing across multiple geographies, and geographies can have a big impact on that as well, but on average, base can sell for $8 to $10 below what our cleaned stone products are. But on a margin basis, it's not that big of an impact. And so I think we will continue to see tailwinds on the cost side as we continue to ship that. And so a lot of the base shipments that we've had will start to turn into cleaned project -- cleaned stone as we ship those projects as far as what we're shipping in '25. But I would tell you that the opportunities in '26 will continue to be a lot of base opportunities, which we want to take advantage of. I mean those are great projects. They, again, play really well into the shape of our pits, our plants, the productivity of our plants. And so I think it's going to continue to play out. But I do think it will be more of a uniform mix as we start to see cleaned products ship to those same projects because they are going vertical. And once they start going vertical, that's where the concrete shipments kick in.
Operator: Our next question comes from Michael Dudas with Vertical Research.
Michael Dudas: Ronnie, you guys have done -- Mary Andrews has done a great job on the balance sheet, and it's below your targets. Maybe you could share your thoughts on as you come out of the box here, the pipeline for M&A, what -- your early indications of opportunities? And you did mention in your, I think, first couple of statements of current and new geographies. Just maybe a little bit more thought on that. I'm sure you'll be discussing more of that with your Investor Day next month.
Ronnie Pruitt: Yes. Thank you. If you look back over what we experienced in 2025. I mean, if you remember, we closed two really big deals at the end of '24. And so '25 for us was a year of integrating those deals and executing on that. And we also said during times of uncertainty, which we saw at the first half of '25 with tariffs and interest rates and those headwinds that -- at both sides, the seller side as well as the buyer side, there was just a pause in a lot of the markets, and we didn't see a lot of activity in 2025. As I look at 2026, I do think it's going to be a very active year on the strategy side and the M&A front. And I would tell you, for us, and what we'll see out of Vulcan will be, one, it's going to continue to be Aggregate led. We're going to be very disciplined around that. We're going to continue to look at things within our geography. But when I say new geographies, I mean, we have to be able to expand that footprint because at the end, if we're going to be that particular on what we want, we have to be able to expand that look and open that market up for some new looks and geographies. And so I would say our pipeline is very healthy. We're in some really good conversations with some potential sellers. But again, it's something we have to be very disciplined in. We don't want to force that. We don't want to end up overpaying for things that we don't have to. And so it takes two sides. But I would anticipate '26 being a very active year.
Mary Carlisle: And you're right, Mike. We absolutely have the balance sheet well positioned and the cash generation of this business just position us very well for the long term to be able to continue to pursue the M&A activity opportunities that make sense for us.
Operator: Our next question comes from Timna Tanners with Wells Fargo.
Timna Tanners: I wanted to dive in a little bit more on your positive private demand view and ask how much of your mix is data centers and what's embedded in your volume forecast for the housing recovery that you mentioned in the second half?
Ronnie Pruitt: So we don't -- we are anticipating recovery on the single-family side to be really flat. So it will be very slow and even with some help from interest rates, we're -- we will be lagging that. And so as we start to see starts increase on the residential side, I would say we will be several months behind that. So that will be -- if we get some help on affordability through interest rate cuts, that will be definitely a second half opportunity for us. And I think that opportunity would come in the form of very geographically driven by where jobs are being created. So markets matter. And that's why I love our footprint because I think our markets will outperform the rest of the country when it comes to recovery in residential. And then with data centers on the private side, they're a very, very large piece of the private side and what we're seeing on the private non-res recovery, and I would expect that to continue. I think, Timna, what we will start to see as we play this out, though, is the energy demand that these data centers are creating. So I think we will start to see some energy projects. We're in some talks on those now. Some of those are included in the data centers as we look at those. So there are some energy pieces of that, that these data centers are being required to build out some of their own energy infrastructure. But there's also some other things as far as some LNG projects that are going back. And when those things kick in, they're very heavily aggregate-intensive. But we also have some -- $6 billion Eli Lilly project here in Alabama that's kicking off. And so we've got some other things on the private non-res side that are going to be kicking in. But I would say at the start of the year, they're still very heavily weighted towards data centers. And I think other types of manufacturing will kick in as we go throughout the year. But that's what gives us confidence in really returning to growth is our bookings pace is really strong and those forward-looking indicators are starting to improve.
Timna Tanners: Okay. Did you have the percentage of your mix that's data centers for us, please?
Ronnie Pruitt: Yes. We -- I mean, we don't break that out in our backlog just because it gets too wonky when it comes to the differences in those mixes. But I would just tell you, it's heavily influenced by data centers as of today.
Operator: Our next question comes from Garik Shmois with Loop Capital.
Garik Shmois: Ronnie, you mentioned a couple of times about midyear price increases, recognizing it's not in your guidance, but what kind of demand do you need to see, whether it's big picture in a local market, to start thinking about implementing midyear price increases?
Ronnie Pruitt: Yes. I think it's twofold there. I think it's some visibility into demand improving. But when we talk about midyears, I mean it's really talking about two sides of our business. On the fixed plant side, just talking about the Concrete side of our business as well as the Asphalt side of our business. I would single out -- the Concrete side of our business, we need to see some recovery on single-family. Our Concrete customers have had a lot of pressure on them around the muted demand on single-family. And so that side of it, that visibility into some help on affordability, some help with the relief on the interest rates would give us some tailwinds on midyear with the Concrete side of our business. On the Asphalt side, it really is more of the public and private non-res continuing. So we've seen great momentum there. And so I'd say as we go into the year, I think we're in a good position. I would say we're in a better position in '26 for the success of those midyears than we were as we look at how '25 developed. And so I think it's a combination of both single-family and public, but single-family will be weighted more towards the Concrete side of our business and the public will be weighted more towards the Asphalt side of our business.
Operator: Our next question comes from Adam Thalhimer with Thompson Davis.
Adam Thalhimer: I was hoping you could comment on the cadence of EBITDA this year. And I'm curious if we should bake in another EBITDA decline in Q1 followed by strengthening as the year goes on, or if you actually see the year starting off faster than that?
Mary Carlisle: Yes, Adam, I'll start on that one. I think the best way to think about 2026 EBITDA would be to think about seasonality and not year-over-year comparisons. And so if you think about normal seasonality to spread EBITDA in 2026, the year-over-year comps, as you referenced, will look different in the first half versus the second half, but I think that's the best way to go about it.
Operator: Our next question comes from David MacGregor with Longbow Research.
David S. MacGregor: I guess my question is on price/cost. And in the guide, you're very specific about your price assumptions, but characterized cost is up low single digits. So it seems like maybe there's still some uncertainty there with respect to your perspective on costs. And so I guess I was just going to get you to walk through what are the biggest sources of uncertainty for you within your cost structure as you look forward into 2026?
Ronnie Pruitt: Yes. I mean, I think we're confident in that low single digit, which -- that's kind of how '25 played out. And so I think the things we can control when we talk about our labor, our energy, our fuel, I mean, I think we've got a lot of visibility into that. And so I think we have a lot of confidence in that. And I think the pieces -- the rest of the pieces are really tied to continued performance on the demand side of our business. And so again, when you think about 3 years of downward or muted demand in our markets and our ability to control even with the variability of our cost structure, falling volumes is a tough headwind to continue to drive lower cost in an inflationary environment. So I look at it overall, and I think we're in a really good position as far as Vulcan Way of Operating and the things we're focused on and our men and women out there every day show up dedicated to continue to drive efficiencies, continuous improvement in all of our operations. And so I'm excited about that. And I think we have a good runway ahead of us as markets continue to improve and demand, again, will give us as much tailwind on costs as it will on price. And so I think we're in a good position, and I'm confident in our ability to deliver that.
Mary Carlisle: Yes. And importantly, that price/cost spread that we expect to deliver another year of cash gross profit per ton growth at the high single-digit percentage level. So just another demonstration of the way the business continues to compound.
Operator: We'll go next to Steven Fisher with UBS.
Steven Fisher: It sounds like you have a bigger mix of larger projects in backlog this year. Just curious what you're seeing in terms of project delays. Has anything been delayed in, say, the second half of '25 relative to the start timing that you were expecting? And have you baked those further -- or any further delays into your guidance in 2026 when we're hearing that labor is a real issue. And I just want to make sure we're not going to be surprised by any sort of further delays on projects.
Ronnie Pruitt: No, I think it's a mix. I would tell you on the -- as we look at our bookings in those large projects. One, there's a mix between private side as far as the data center work and then the public side with highways. And I'd really tell you it's the tale of kind of two different stories. On the private side, the data center stuff is actually moving faster. And so our times from bookings to actually shipments has accelerated on that side. On the public side, it's been a mix. I mean it really is very geographic depending on weather impacts and other things as far as planning with the DOTs. And throughout the evolution of IIJA, we saw it very slow to kick off. I do think as it's become more mature, those dollars are being put to work. The time from booking to actually shipping has become more of a normal pace, back to a -- it's about a 6-month time frame from the time we book to the time we ship. Public sometimes can drag out a little longer than that. But as we go into 2026, we don't anticipate the timing of those to be impacted by anything. We think they'll be back to kind of a normal flow.
Operator: Our next question comes from Ivan Yi with Wolfe Research.
Ivan Yi: You guided to 2% aggregate volume growth this year, and that's the same as Martin. But looking at the contract award data, you seem to have a more favorable geography with greater exposure to California, Georgia, Tennessee and some other states. So I guess I'm just wondering why your volume guidance isn't a little bit higher than that 2%?
Ronnie Pruitt: Yes. I mean, I think coming off of 3 years of down volume and what we've seen as far as the conversion of the bookings to shipments, I mean, like I said, our backlog is in a really good spot. But that backlog, again, it only represents about 40% to 45% of our shipments. And if you look at the balance of -- it's kind of 50-50 between public and private. And so we really just need single-family to recover. And until we start continuing to see some relief on affordability and interest rates, I don't think we want to get out ahead of ourselves in thinking that demand can get back to anything really good. Single-family just has to kick in. And so we're going to continue to be very conservative as we look at that.
Operator: And we'll go next to Brian Brophy with Stifel.
Brian Brophy: You mentioned in some of your comments, some repairs and insurance costs that impacted the quarter. I think you also mentioned some plant rebuilds, can you size the impact from some of these costs that you had mentioned that impacted the quarter? Should we be thinking about these as more onetime or ongoing? And then is there any reason to think that some of these costs linger into the first quarter?
Ronnie Pruitt: Yes. Let me start. I'll turn it over to Mary Andrews so she can give you a little more color on some of the numbers. But as you think about how the year played out in 2025, I mean, we went into 2025 saying we would anticipate low single-digit increases in cost. We finished the year at less than 2%. Now as we started 2025, we had a lot of weather impact at the first part of the year, seasonality as far as really the first 2 quarters were tremendously impacted. And so a lot of the work, when we talk about project work, those are expenses that we're doing within our plants, it just got pushed throughout the year. And even in the third quarter of last year, we said don't measure cost with 1 quarter because it can be so lumpy. That's how the year played out. And so I think as we go into 2026, we plan these things out based on -- we would love for everything to be very uniform and like we spend the same amount every month is that's the way we would love to plan it out. But unfortunately, it's an outdoor sport and weather does impact that and weather does impact the timing of those. As far as the plant rebuilds, we call those out because we have several rebuilds going on, large projects, but they're all accounted for in both our cost as well as our CapEx plan for 2026. So I think we have really good visibility there that gives us a lot of confidence. Anything, Mary Andrews, do you want to add on kind of the lumpiness of that?
Mary Carlisle: No. I would say, as we called out, it's really timing, our 2026 guidance includes what we anticipate for this year. If you do think about the fourth quarter, I would think about that being kind of 50-50 revenue and cost in terms of where we landed versus expectations. And the majority of that cost was related to those timing issues that Ronnie described.
Operator: At this time, there are no further questions in queue. I will now turn the meeting back to CEO, Ronnie Pruitt.
Ronnie Pruitt: Thank you, operator. As I said at the start, I'm honored to be leading the men and women of Vulcan Materials to continue a track record of creating value for all of our stakeholders. When I reflect back on just 4.5 years ago, and I had the opportunity to join this organization, our trailing 12-months Aggregate cash gross profit per ton was $7.33. In 2025, it was $4 or 55% higher and within the range of our long-term range that we set of $11 to $12 that we provided at our last Investor Day in 2022. We look forward to sharing with you our plans for continuous improvements and future growth at our upcoming 2026 Investor Day next month. Again, thank you all for your interest in Vulcan Materials.
Operator: Thank you. This brings us to the end of today's meeting. We appreciate your time and participation. You may now disconnect.