Signal Scoreboard
Every signal we fire is measured: forward return vs the S&P 500, scored in the signal’s direction. Edge is what following the signal would have earned per trade. Rules under 10 matured signals show as collecting. Updated nightly. Last outcomes recorded Oct 14.
| Signal | Direction | Edge 1W | Hit 1W | Edge 1M | Hit 1M | Signals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst downgrade cluster | bearish | +1.5% | 54% | — | — | 56 |
| Insider buy cluster | bullish | +1.5% | 41% | — | — | 29 |
| Compound bearish | bearish | +0.7% | 59% | — | — | 59 |
| Distribution flip | bearish | +0.6% | 56% | — | — | 164 |
| Insider sell cluster | bearish | +0.4% | 53% | — | — | 245 |
| Analyst upside entry | bullish | +0.4% | 42% | — | — | 104 |
| Analyst upgrade cluster | bullish | +0.2% | 48% | — | — | 246 |
| Alpha rank entry | bullish | +0.1% | 51% | — | — | 61 |
| Growth leader entry | bullish | -0.7% | 41% | — | — | 22 |
| Accumulation flip | bullish | -1.0% | 40% | — | — | 114 |
| Compound bullish | bullish | -1.1% | 44% | — | — | 151 |
| Power ranking breakout | bullish | -1.1% | 46% | — | — | 80 |
| Alpha rank jump | bullish | -1.3% | 38% | — | — | 53 |
| Sector divergence | unscored | — | — | — | — | 58 |
| Superinvestor maverick buy | bullish | — | — | — | — | 2 · collecting |
| Industry group move | unscored | — | — | — | — | collecting |
| Superinvestor consensus buy | bullish | — | — | — | — | collecting |
| Superinvestor consensus sell | bearish | — | — | — | — | collecting |
Methodology: each signal anchors to the last market close on its fire date; forward returns use closes 5 and 21 trading days later. Excess return subtracts the S&P 500 (SPY) over the identical dates. A hit is a direction-correct excess return. Unscored rules are measured but directionally ambiguous by design. Nothing here is backtested — every number is a forward, out-of-sample result from the moment the signal fired.