Signal Scoreboard
Every signal we fire is measured: forward return vs the S&P 500, scored in the signal’s direction. Edge is what following the signal would have earned per trade. Rules under 10 matured signals show as collecting. Updated nightly. Last outcomes recorded Aug 5.
| Signal | Direction | Edge 1W | Hit 1W | Edge 1M | Hit 1M | Signals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst upgrade cluster | bullish | +1.8% | 66% | — | — | 47 |
| Accumulation flip | bullish | +0.2% | 53% | — | — | 15 |
| Analyst upside entry | bullish | -0.0% | 50% | — | — | 20 |
| Distribution flip | bearish | -0.8% | 42% | — | — | 26 |
| Insider sell cluster | bearish | -1.1% | 40% | — | — | 20 |
| Alpha rank jump | bullish | -1.6% | 30% | — | — | 10 |
| Compound bullish | bullish | -1.8% | 41% | — | — | 22 |
| Analyst downgrade cluster | bearish | -3.9% | 33% | — | — | 21 |
| Power ranking breakout | bullish | -5.5% | 30% | — | — | 10 |
| Compound bearish | bearish | -7.0% | 0% | — | — | 11 |
| Sector divergence | unscored | — | — | — | — | 17 |
| Alpha rank entry | bullish | — | — | — | — | 9 · collecting |
| Growth leader entry | bullish | — | — | — | — | 5 · collecting |
| Insider buy cluster | bullish | — | — | — | — | 3 · collecting |
| Industry group move | unscored | — | — | — | — | collecting |
| Superinvestor consensus buy | bullish | — | — | — | — | collecting |
| Superinvestor consensus sell | bearish | — | — | — | — | collecting |
| Superinvestor maverick buy | bullish | — | — | — | — | collecting |
Methodology: each signal anchors to the last market close on its fire date; forward returns use closes 5 and 21 trading days later. Excess return subtracts the S&P 500 (SPY) over the identical dates. A hit is a direction-correct excess return. Unscored rules are measured but directionally ambiguous by design. Nothing here is backtested — every number is a forward, out-of-sample result from the moment the signal fired.