AIV
Earnings in 13 days · May 14, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Leaning Bearish1
Price
1
Move+0.95%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.3× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 47Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
4.21
Open
4.19
Day Range4.19 – 4.26
4.19
4.26
52W Range3.94 – 8.87
3.94
8.87
6% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
3.1M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
22.4x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
0.94
Market-like
Performance
1D
+0.95%
5D
+0.95%
1M
+6.78%
3M
-27.72%
6M
-20.56%
YTD
-28.45%
1Y
-46.27%
Best: 1M (+6.78%)Worst: 1Y (-46.27%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BEARISH
revenue -8% YoY · thin -27% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 22x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 3.2 · FCF negative
Lean Bearish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$611.45M
Revenue TTM$174.88M
Net Income TTM$546.68M
Free Cash Flow-$230.21M
Gross Margin-26.5%
Net Margin312.6%
Operating Margin-16.7%
Return on Equity299.9%
Return on Assets32.6%
Debt / Equity2.41
Current Ratio3.21
EPS TTM$3.95
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Same-store rental rate growth and occupancy trends across the portfolio

Net Operating Income (NOI) margin expansion or compression driven by expense management

Capital allocation decisions including acquisitions, dispositions, development starts, and share buybacks

Interest rate movements affecting REIT valuation multiples and refinancing costs

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Multifamily demand correlates with employment growth, household formation, and wage trends. During economic expansions, job growth drives apartment demand and supports rent increases. Recessions reduce household formation and may increase rent delinquencies, though apartments often benefit from reduced homeownership as affordability declines. The sector is less cyclical than office or retail REITs due to housing's essential nature, but faces headwinds when economic weakness pressures renter incomes.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact AIV through multiple channels: (1) higher cap rates compress property valuations and reduce NAV, (2) increased borrowing costs on floating-rate debt and refinancings reduce FFO, (3) REIT stocks become less attractive relative to risk-free bonds as the 10-year Treasury yield rises, and (4) mortgage rate increases may paradoxically benefit multifamily by reducing single-family home affordability and keeping renters in apartments longer. With Debt/Equity of 15.37x, refinancing risk is material. The company's negative operating margin suggests operational challenges that amplify interest rate sensitivity.

Key Risks

Oversupply risk in key markets as multifamily construction remains elevated, with new deliveries potentially exceeding absorption and pressuring occupancy and rent growth through 2026-2027

Single-family rental competition from institutional investors and build-to-rent communities offering suburban alternatives with similar rents but more space

Regulatory risks including rent control expansion in California and other states, eviction moratorium precedents, and property tax reassessments

Investor Profile

value - The stock's 34.5% one-year decline, 4.3x Price/Sales, and distressed fundamentals (negative margins, negative FCF) suggest deep-value or distressed-debt investors are the primary audience. Traditional REIT income investors are likely avoiding due to operational challenges. The extreme leverage and negative cash flow profile attracts special situations investors betting on turnaround, restructuring, or asset monetization rather than stable income seekers.

Watch on Earnings
10-Year Treasury yield (GS10) as primary driver of REIT valuation multiples and cap rate expectations30-Year mortgage rates (MORTGAGE30US) affecting single-family affordability and apartment demandNonfarm payrolls (PAYEMS) indicating employment growth that drives household formation and rental demandUnemployment rate (UNRATE) as leading indicator for rent delinquencies and occupancy pressure
Health Radar
4 strong2 concern
67/100
Liquidity
3.21Strong
Leverage
2.41Concern
Coverage
-0.4xConcern
ROE
299.9%Strong
ROIC
448.0%Strong
Cash
$395MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE1 analysts
BUY
+135.3%upside to target
Buy
1100%
1 Buy (100%)0 Hold (0%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
7/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 47 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 3.21 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 2, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 30, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentOct 27, 2026
In 179 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 26.7%

-7.7% vs SMA 50 · -32.3% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI46.8
Neutral territory
MACD-0.06
Below zero — bearish pulse · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$8.87+108.7%
EMA 200
$6.14+44.4%
EMA 50
$4.55+7.1%
Current
$4.25
52W Low
$3.94-7.3%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$3.946th %ile$8.87
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:7
Dist days:4
Edge:+3 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)921K
Recent Vol (5D)
653K-29%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 2 analysts
Analyst revisions:Revenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$185.8M
$185.2M$186.4M
-$0.16
Low2
FY2024
$207.0M
$207.0M$207.0M
+11.4%-$0.73
±3%
Low1
FY2025
$221.0M
$221.0M$221.0M
+6.7%-$0.45
±2%
Low1
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryAIV
Last 8Q
+36.0%avg beat
Beat 4 of 8 quartersMissed 4 Estimates falling
+22%
Q2'24
-330%
Q3'24
-45%
Q4'24
+33%
Q1'25
+17%
Q2'25
-27%
Q3'25
-445%
Q4'25
+1064%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Wolfe ResearchOutperform
Nov 4
UPGRADE
Wolfe ResearchOutperform
Aug 4
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
1 Buy/0 SellsNet Buying
Smith DeborahDir
$1K
Sep 30
BUY
Financials
Dividends86.59% yield
+105.8% avg annual growth
Annual Yield86.59%
Semi-Annual Div.$1.4500
Est. Annual / Share$2.90
FrequencySemi-Annual
Q1'20
Q2'20
Q3'20
Q4'20
Q3'22
Q1'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Alberta Investment Management Corp
850K
2
Skopos Labs, Inc.
243K
3
Trium Capital LLP
162K
4
Inspire Investing, LLC
127K
5
SG Americas Securities, LLC
62K
6
DELTEC ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC
54K
7
Y-Intercept (Hong Kong) Ltd
47K
8
Avise Financial Cooperative, Inc.
37K
News & Activity

AIV News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

aimco is one of the nation’s premier apartment home providers delivering a quality living experience to our residents every day. the key to our success is our people. our employees care about our residents and it shows. from the first interaction to the last, our people make a world of difference in the lives of our residents. needless to say, we are passionate about finding the right people and nurturing their growth within aimco. from corporate to leasing to maintenance we are always looking for to add the best talent in the industry to our team. want to learn more? check out our open positions at www.aimco.com/careers & read more about what our employees are saying on glassdoor. we cannot wait to welcome you to your new professional home!

Industry
Lessors of Residential Buildings and Dwellings
CEO
Terry Considine
Kelley BabinSenior Vice President & Chief Information Officer
Tom MarchantSenior Vice President of Accounting, Tax, FP & A
H. Lynn C. StanfieldExecutive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
AIV
$4.25+0.95%$611M1.1-3363.7%39475.6%1500
$396.06+0.57%$2.1T28.7+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$91.86+2.89%$318.3B14.0+318.8%1510.7%1500
$131.91+1.13%$306.2B22.6+586.3%1305.9%1500
$187.37+1.17%$290.5B28.1+862.9%1745.9%1500
$147.85+3.44%$282.1B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$90.67+1.98%$256.7B14.5-591.0%668.4%1500
Sector avg+1.73%18.6+243.9%7397.2%1500