BNS
Next earnings: May 27, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+2.84%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume0.6× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 65Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
75.65
Open
75.95
Day Range75.82 – 77.89
75.82
77.89
52W Range49.85 – 78.28
49.85
78.28
98% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
2.4M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
15.8x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.08%
Beta
0.67
Low vol
Performance
1D
+2.84%
5D
+4.04%
1M
+15.45%
3M
+4.12%
6M
+18.49%
YTD
+5.58%
1Y
+55.66%
Best: 1Y (+55.66%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev -6% · 53% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 16x vs ~20x sector
Health
WEAK
CR 0.0 (low) · FCF $3.82/sh
Lean Bearish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$130.25B
Revenue TTM$71.33B
Net Income TTM$8.93B
Free Cash Flow-$8.97B
Gross Margin52.9%
Net Margin14.4%
Operating Margin18.7%
Return on Equity10.4%
Return on Assets0.6%
Debt / Equity2.92
Current Ratio0.04
EPS TTM$6.76
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Net interest margin expansion/compression driven by Bank of Canada and Latin American central bank rate decisions

Credit quality trends in Canadian residential mortgages (C$450B portfolio) and Latin American commercial/retail loans

Latin American GDP growth and currency movements (MXN, COP, PEN, CLP) affecting international banking earnings

Wealth management net asset flows and market-driven AUM growth

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate-high - Loan growth, credit quality, and fee income are directly tied to economic activity in Canada and Latin America. Canadian residential mortgage growth correlates with housing market activity and employment. International banking earnings are highly sensitive to GDP growth in Mexico, Peru, Chile, and Colombia, where economic cycles can be more volatile. Wealth management AUM and trading revenues exhibit pro-cyclical characteristics. However, diversified revenue streams and stable deposit franchise provide some downside protection.

Interest Rates

Positive sensitivity to rising rates in the near-term through net interest margin expansion, as loan repricing typically outpaces deposit cost increases. Estimated 5-7% earnings benefit from 100bp parallel rate increase in first year. However, sustained high rates can compress loan demand and increase credit losses. The bank maintains asset-liability management to hedge duration risk. Latin American operations benefit from higher local rates but face currency depreciation pressures.

Key Risks

Canadian housing market correction risk - elevated household debt-to-income ratios (180%+) and potential for mortgage defaults if unemployment rises or rates remain elevated

Latin American political and economic instability - exposure to policy shifts, currency devaluation, and regulatory changes in Mexico, Peru, Chile, and Colombia

Digital disruption from fintechs and neobanks eroding traditional banking relationships and compressing fees on payments and lending products

Investor Profile

value and dividend - Scotiabank trades at discount to Canadian peers (1.5x P/B vs 1.8-2.0x for RY/TD) due to Latin American exposure and execution concerns, attracting value investors seeking mean reversion. Dividend yield of approximately 5.5-6.0% with 50-year track record of payments appeals to income-focused investors. Recent 49% one-year return suggests momentum investors have entered following operational improvements and rate cycle positioning.

Watch on Earnings
Bank of Canada overnight rate and forward guidance on monetary policy trajectoryCanadian unemployment rate and housing starts as leading indicators for mortgage demand and credit qualityMexico, Peru, Chile, Colombia GDP growth rates and central bank policy ratesUSD/CAD, USD/MXN, USD/COP, USD/PEN, USD/CLP exchange rates affecting translated earnings
Health Radar
1 watch5 concern
10/100
Liquidity
0.04Concern
Leverage
2.92Concern
Coverage
0.4xConcern
ROE
10.4%Watch
ROIC
0.6%Concern
Cash
$66.0BConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE18 analysts
BUY
-6.2%downside to target
L $67.00
Med $73.00consensus
H $75.60
Buy
1056%
Hold
739%
Sell
16%
10 Buy (56%)7 Hold (39%)1 Sell (5%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 65 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.04 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenMay 2, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 30, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentOct 14, 2026
In 166 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 11.3%

+4.4% vs SMA 50 · +16.3% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI64.9
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+1.04
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$78.28+0.6%
Current
$77.80
EMA 50
$74.08-4.8%
EMA 200
$66.41-14.6%
52W Low
$49.85-35.9%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$49.8598th %ile$78.28
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:4
Dist days:5
Edge:+1 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)2.1M
Recent Vol (5D)
1.8M-13%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 9 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$40.4B
$40.1B$40.6B
$8.31
±1%
Moderate3
FY2024
$33.8B
$33.4B$34.6B
-16.1%$6.49-21.9%
±2%
High9
FY2025
$37.4B
$37.2B$37.7B
+10.6%$7.00+7.8%
±0%
High8
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryBNS
Last 8Q
+1.7%avg beat
Beat 5 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates rising
+2%
Q2'24
Q3'24
-1%
Q4'24
+4%
Q1'25
-7%
Q2'25
+7%
Q3'25
+5%
Q4'25
+4%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Neutral — mixed activity
90d01
TD SecuritiesBuy → Hold
Mar 3
DOWNGRADE
CIBCNeutral → Outperform
Sep 20
UPGRADE
ScotiabankOutperform
Sep 20
UPGRADE
DesjardinsHold
Sep 7
DOWNGRADE
Financials
Dividends4.16% yield
+0.9% avg annual growth
Annual Yield4.16%
Quarterly Div.$0.7868
Est. Annual / Share$3.15
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Alberta Investment Management Corp
4.6M
2
Cardinal Capital Management, Inc.
2.0M
3
Artemis Investment Management LLP
1.2M
4
Marathon Asset Management Ltd
1.1M
5
Addenda Capital Inc.
1.1M
6
Value Partners Investments Inc.
812K
7
Pictet Asset Management Holding SA
763K
8
Cardinal Point Capital Management, ULC
216K
News & Activity

BNS News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

The Bank of Nova Scotia, operating as Scotiabank, is a Canadian multinational banking and financial services company headquartered in Toronto, Ontario. One of the Big Five banks in Canada, it is the third largest Canadian bank by deposits and market capitalization.

Industry
Monetary Authorities-Central Bank
CEO
Brian Porter
Country
Canada
Julie A. WalshExecutive Vice President & Chief Compliance Officer
Ian ArellanoExecutive Vice President & General Counsel
L. Scott ThomsonPresident, Chief Executive Officer & Director
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
BNS
$77.80+2.84%$95.9B15.6+14820.1%1064.4%1500
$396.06+0.57%$2.1T28.7+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$91.86+2.89%$318.3B14.0+318.8%1510.7%1500
$131.91+1.13%$306.2B22.6+586.3%1305.9%1500
$187.37+1.17%$290.5B28.1+862.9%1745.9%1500
$147.85+3.44%$282.1B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$90.67+1.98%$256.7B14.5-591.0%668.4%1500
Sector avg+2.00%20.7+2841.6%1909.9%1500