CEPU
Earnings in 10 days · May 11, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-1.67%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume1.1× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 31Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
14.35
Open
14.37
Day Range13.88 – 14.60
13.88
14.60
52W Range7.43 – 18.50
7.43
18.50
60% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
361.3K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
8.5x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
0.90
Market-like
Performance
1D
-1.67%
5D
-3.16%
1M
-8.73%
3M
-14.59%
6M
-0.77%
YTD
-19.37%
1Y
+34.25%
Best: 1Y (+34.25%)Worst: YTD (-19.37%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +46% YoY
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 9x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 1.8 · FCF $70.90/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$3.21T
Revenue TTM$1.07T
Net Income TTM$336.23B
Free Cash Flow$84.79B
Gross Margin35.5%
Net Margin31.3%
Operating Margin34.4%
Return on Equity14.4%
Return on Assets9.0%
Debt / Equity0.19
Current Ratio1.77
EPS TTM$220.71
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Argentine peso exchange rate movements and devaluation expectations (USD-denominated ADR sensitive to FX translation)

Government tariff adjustment announcements and inflation indexation formula changes

Natural gas supply availability from Vaca Muerta shale basin affecting dispatch economics versus liquid fuels

Argentine sovereign credit events and political risk premium shifts

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Electricity demand in Argentina correlates with industrial production and GDP growth, but residential demand provides stability. Economic downturns reduce industrial consumption, but the essential nature of electricity limits downside. Capacity payments provide revenue floor regardless of economic cycle. Argentine-specific dynamics (inflation, currency crises) create volatility independent of global economic cycles.

Interest Rates

US interest rates have moderate impact through two channels: (1) higher US rates strengthen the dollar, creating translation headwinds for peso-denominated earnings converted to USD for ADR investors, and (2) Argentine sovereign risk premium tends to widen when US rates rise, increasing country risk and potentially delaying tariff adjustments. The company's low debt/equity ratio (0.12) minimizes direct financing cost sensitivity. Valuation multiples compress when US rates rise as investors demand higher returns from emerging market utilities.

Key Risks

Argentine regulatory framework risk: government may delay or limit tariff increases for political reasons, compressing margins despite cost-recovery formulas in contracts

Energy transition risk: long-term shift toward renewables could strand thermal assets, though Argentina's gas abundance and grid reliability needs support baseload thermal generation through 2030+

Natural gas supply dependency: Vaca Muerta development pace determines fuel availability and cost advantage versus imported LNG or liquid fuels

Investor Profile

value - Investors are attracted by low valuation multiples (7.5x EV/EBITDA, 1.4x P/B) relative to global utility peers, viewing Argentine political/currency risk as priced in. The stock appeals to emerging market specialists and distressed/special situations investors willing to navigate regulatory uncertainty for asymmetric upside if Argentina stabilizes. Dividend potential exists given cash generation, but peso depreciation erodes USD returns. Recent 29.3% six-month return suggests momentum traders also participate during Argentine reform optimism periods.

Watch on Earnings
Argentine peso/USD exchange rate (ARS/USD) and parallel market spreads indicating devaluation pressureNatural gas spot prices at Argentine hubs and Vaca Muerta production volumesCAMMESA payment cycle times and accounts receivable days outstandingArgentine inflation rate (CPI) as driver of tariff adjustment formulas
Health Radar
2 strong3 watch1 concern
50/100
Liquidity
1.77Watch
Leverage
0.19Strong
Coverage
6.5xStrong
ROE
14.4%Watch
ROIC
8.3%Watch
Cash
$37.7BConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE4 analysts
HOLD
-15.0%downside to target
Hold
375%
Sell
125%
0 Buy (0%)3 Hold (75%)1 Sell (25%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
1 of 5 signals bullish
3/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 31 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.77 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 2, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 30, 2026
In 90 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 34.6%

-11.7% vs SMA 50 · +18.9% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI30.7
Momentum fading
MACD-0.54
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$18.50+31.1%
EMA 50
$15.28+8.3%
Current
$14.11
EMA 200
$11.88-15.8%
52W Low
$7.43-47.3%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$7.4360th %ile$18.50
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:3
Edge:+1 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)283K
Recent Vol (5D)
207K-27%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 1 analyst
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$322.9T
$267.4T$366.7T
$99486.56
±20%
Low1
FY2024
$685.4B
$567.5B$778.2B
-99.8%$642.82-99.4%
±39%
Low1
FY2025
$1.4T
$1.1T$1.6T
+101.2%$2902.00+351.4%
±7%
Low1
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryCEPU
Last 8Q
+124545.1%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates rising
+367%
Q3'23
+244%
Q4'23
+28659%
Q2'24
+261%
Q2'24
-83%
Q3'24
+413%
Q4'24
+966567%
Q1'25
-66%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
PING CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, INC.
150K
2
Harbour Capital Advisors, LLC
22K
3
TRUIST FINANCIAL CORP
18K
4
Southland Equity Partners LLC
13K
5
GAMMA Investing LLC
5K
6
Ronald Blue Trust, Inc.
2K
7
Farther Finance Advisors, LLC
52
8
SBI Securities Co., Ltd.
9
News & Activity

CEPU News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

Central Puerto SA is an Argentina-based company pertaining to the energy sector. The purpose of the Firm is to make investments in the national and international energy market.

CEO
Jorge Anibal Rauber
Country
Argentina
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
CEPU
$14.11-1.67%$2.1B9.7+7324.2%3155.4%1500
$396.06+0.57%$2.1T28.7+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$91.86+2.89%$318.3B14.0+318.8%1510.7%1500
$131.91+1.13%$306.2B22.6+586.3%1305.9%1500
$187.37+1.17%$290.5B28.1+862.9%1745.9%1500
$147.85+3.44%$282.1B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$90.67+1.98%$256.7B14.5-591.0%668.4%1500
Sector avg+1.36%19.8+1770.8%2208.6%1500