COLD
Earnings in 6 days · May 7, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+1.96%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume0.6× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 51Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
12.00
Open
12.09
Day Range12.06 – 12.29
12.06
12.29
52W Range10.10 – 19.81
10.10
19.81
22% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
4.5M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-30.6x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.02%
Performance
1D
+1.96%
5D
-0.04%
1M
+6.76%
3M
-1.41%
6M
-3.59%
YTD
-4.86%
1Y
-36.74%
Best: 1M (+6.76%)Worst: 1Y (-36.74%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BEARISH
thin 4% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
WEAK
CR 0.1 (low) · FCF negative
Bearish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$3.49B
Revenue TTM$2.60B
Net Income TTM-$114.55M
Free Cash Flow-$217.20M
Gross Margin4.0%
Net Margin-4.4%
Operating Margin3.8%
Return on Equity-3.7%
Return on Assets-1.4%
Debt / Equity1.56
Current Ratio0.11
EPS TTM$-0.40
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Same-store occupancy rates and rent per pallet position - utilization above 85% signals pricing power and margin expansion

Acquisition announcements and integration execution - the company has historically grown through M&A, with success dependent on achieving targeted 7-9% stabilized yields

Electricity and labor cost inflation relative to contractual pass-through ability - margin compression occurs when costs rise faster than annual escalators

Development pipeline progress and lease-up velocity - new facilities take 12-18 months post-opening to reach stabilized 85%+ occupancy

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low-to-moderate - Cold storage demand is relatively non-cyclical as food consumption remains stable through economic cycles. However, demand mix shifts matter: retail grocery (defensive) versus foodservice/restaurant supply (cyclical). Economic weakness can reduce protein consumption and shift from premium frozen foods to lower-margin staples. The company benefits from long-term secular trends including e-commerce grocery growth, increasing cold chain requirements for pharmaceuticals, and growing frozen food consumption in developing markets. Industrial production matters less than consumer food spending patterns.

Interest Rates

High sensitivity through multiple channels. Rising rates increase borrowing costs on the company's $2.0-2.5 billion debt load (mix of fixed and floating), directly impacting AFFO. More importantly, as a REIT trading partially on dividend yield, rising 10-year Treasury yields compress valuation multiples as investors can achieve comparable yields in lower-risk bonds. The company's development pipeline economics also deteriorate as weighted average cost of capital increases, reducing the spread between stabilized property yields (7-9%) and financing costs. Each 100bp rate increase typically compresses REIT multiples by 1-2 turns of AFFO.

Key Risks

Automation and warehouse technology disruption - competitors investing in automated storage/retrieval systems (AS/RS) and robotics could offer superior service at lower cost, requiring significant capex to maintain competitiveness

Climate regulations and refrigerant phase-outs - transition from HFC refrigerants to lower-GWP alternatives requires facility retrofits, while carbon pricing could significantly increase operating costs if not fully passed through to customers

Vertical integration by large food companies - major customers like Walmart or Tyson building proprietary cold storage networks could reduce third-party demand

Investor Profile

value/dividend - The stock attracts income-focused investors seeking REIT exposure with a current dividend yield in the 4-6% range, though dividend sustainability concerns exist given negative net margins and 85%+ AFFO payout ratios. The 41% one-year decline has brought valuation to 1.2x book value and 18x EV/EBITDA, potentially attracting value investors betting on operational turnaround and margin recovery. Not suitable for growth investors given flat revenue and the capital-intensive nature limiting expansion. The REIT structure provides tax advantages for income-oriented portfolios.

Watch on Earnings
WTI crude oil and natural gas prices - electricity represents 8-10% of revenue, with costs correlated to energy commodity prices10-year Treasury yield - primary driver of REIT valuation multiples and cost of capital for development projectsCPI and food commodity prices (cattle, hogs, grains) - influence food production volumes and cold storage demand, plus drive contractual rent escalatorsIndustrial electricity rates by region - direct operating cost that may not be fully passed through on legacy contracts
Health Radar
1 watch5 concern
12/100
Liquidity
0.11Concern
Leverage
1.56Watch
Coverage
0.9xConcern
ROE
-3.7%Concern
ROIC
2.0%Concern
Cash
$137MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE16 analysts
HOLD
+6.3%upside to target
L $11.00
Med $13.00consensus
H $16.00
Buy
956%
Hold
531%
Sell
213%
9 Buy (56%)5 Hold (31%)2 Sell (13%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
6/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 51 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowLean Accumulation
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.11 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 2, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 30, 2026
In 90 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

RallyDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 6.4%

+0.9% vs SMA 50 · -5.6% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI51.3
Neutral territory
MACD+0.06
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$19.81+61.9%
EMA 200
$13.36+9.2%
Current
$12.23
EMA 50
$12.17-0.5%
52W Low
$10.10-17.4%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$10.1022th %ile$19.81
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:1
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)3.5M
Recent Vol (5D)
3.2M-7%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 5 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$2.6B
$2.6B$2.6B
-$0.01
±1%
High5
FY2026(current)
$2.6B
$2.5B$2.6B
-1.9%-$0.03
±6%
High5
FY2027
$2.6B
$2.6B$2.7B
+3.4%$0.05
±6%
High5
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryCOLD
Last 8Q
-163.0%avg beat
Beat 1 of 8 quartersMissed 7 Estimates rising
+12%
Q2'24
-170%
Q3'24
-103%
Q4'24
-230%
Q1'25
-118%
Q2'25
-97%
Q3'25
-111%
Q4'25
-488%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Analysts turning cautious
30d01
90d01
BarclaysEqual-Weight → Negative
Apr 27
DOWNGRADE
RBC CapitalOutperform → Sector Perform
Nov 6
DOWNGRADE
Exane BNP ParibasOutperform → Neutral
Jun 12
DOWNGRADE
ScotiabankOutperform → Sector Perform
May 15
DOWNGRADE
Wolfe ResearchOutperform
Jul 1
UPGRADE
ScotiabankUnderperform → Outperform
May 23
UPGRADE
Raymond JamesOutperform
Feb 29
UPGRADE
RBC CapitalOutperform
May 8
UPGRADE
BarclaysUnderweight → Equal-Weight
Mar 23
UPGRADE
Bank of America Sec…Neutral → Buy
Nov 14
UPGRADE
Bank of America Sec…Neutral
Jun 2
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
2 Buys/4 SellsNet Selling
Harris Robert E.Chief Accounti…
$8K
Mar 16
SELL
Harris Robert E.Chief Accounti…
$7K
Mar 8
SELL
Harris Robert E.Chief Accounti…
$4K
Mar 8
SELL
Chappelle George F.…CEO
$2.0M
May 12
BUY
Wells JayEVP & CFO
$179K
May 12
BUY
Harris Robert E.SVP & Chief Ac…
$25K
Mar 8
SELL
Financials
Dividends7.52% yield
+2.6% avg annual growth
Annual Yield7.52%
Quarterly Div.$0.2300
Est. Annual / Share$0.92
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
DAVENPORT & Co LLC
4.7M
2
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc.
4.0M
3
REINHART PARTNERS, INC.
3.4M
4
Nuveen, LLC
1.2M
5
SG Americas Securities, LLC
902K
6
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
836K
7
STRS OHIO
528K
8
Swedbank AB
300K
News & Activity

COLD News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

No description available.

Industry
Lessors of Nonresidential Buildings (except Miniwarehouses)
CEO
Fred Boehler
Robert Scott ChambersPresident, Chief Executive Officer & Director
R. Scott HendersonExecutive Vice President & Chief Investment Officer
Bryan VerbarendsePresident of Americas
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
COLD
$12.23+1.96%$3.5B-242.6%-440.3%1500
$396.06+0.57%$2.1T28.7+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$91.86+2.89%$318.3B14.0+318.8%1510.7%1500
$131.91+1.13%$306.2B22.6+586.3%1305.9%1500
$187.37+1.17%$290.5B28.1+862.9%1745.9%1500
$147.85+3.44%$282.1B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$90.67+1.98%$256.7B14.5-591.0%668.4%1500
Sector avg+1.88%21.5+689.8%1695.0%1500