CUB

Fair Value

Price (monthly) Fair value line (dashed = analyst estimates) above fair value below fair value
Overvalued
+85%
vs fair value
Price
$10.88
Fair value
$5.88
Today's multiple
181.3x
Fair value multiple
17.3x
Adjusted EPS growth rate
4.4%
Trailing 12M adjusted EPS
$0.06

Results are highly cyclical for CUB, so multiple-based fair value is less reliable here.

FY2006200720082009201020112015201620172018201920202025
High10.65
Low10.09
Adj EPS0.821.651.512.062.873.230.460.15-0.721.032.643.820.34
Chg/Yr+101%-8%+36%+39%+13%-86%-67%-580%+156%+45%-91%
Div0.000.000.000.180.180.180.270.270.270.270.270.270.00
How these numbers are calculated

Fair value (17.3x) multiplies each year's earnings per share by a growth-based multiple: steady growers (5–15% a year) get 15x, faster growers get their growth rate as the multiple (capped at 30x), and slower growers step down below 15x. CUB has grown earnings about 4.4% a year, so the line uses 17.3x.

Today's multiple (181.3x) is what the market is paying right now: the current price divided by the last twelve months of earnings (the four most recent reported quarters). Compare it to the two reference multiples above to see whether today's pricing is rich or cheap.

Earnings are adjusted figures on the same basis analysts forecast, built from reported quarters; years beyond the last completed fiscal year use the analyst consensus (dashed). The verdict calls a stock over- or undervalued only when the price sits more than 10% from the fair value line.

Data is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.