EPRT
Next earnings: Jul 22, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bearish1
Price
1
Move+0.87%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.6× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 48Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
31.16
Open
31.34
Day Range31.13 – 31.60
31.13
31.60
52W Range28.95 – 34.73
28.95
34.73
43% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
2.3M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
24.8x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.05%
Beta
0.82
Market-like
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +25% YoY · 70% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 25x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 736.2 · FCF negative
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$6.80B
Revenue TTM$593.09M
Net Income TTM$256.69M
Free Cash Flow-$462.18M
Gross Margin70.3%
Net Margin43.3%
Operating Margin65.0%
Return on Equity6.3%
Return on Assets3.6%
Debt / Equity0.60
Current Ratio736.22
EPS TTM$1.22
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Acquisition volume and initial cap rates achieved on new investments (target $400-600M annually at 7-9% yields)

Same-store rent growth and lease renewal economics (typically 1-2% annual escalators)

Tenant credit quality metrics: occupancy rates (target 99%+), rent collection rates, and tenant bankruptcy/default activity

Cost of capital spread: difference between acquisition cap rates and weighted average cost of debt/equity

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - While service-oriented tenants (restaurants, car washes, childcare) have some recession exposure, the focus on value-oriented quick-service restaurants and non-discretionary services provides downside protection versus traditional retail. Consumer spending weakness impacts tenant sales volumes and ability to pay rent, but long-term lease structures and diversification across 1,900+ properties mitigate single-tenant risk. Historical rent collection remained above 95% even during 2020 disruptions.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates create multiple headwinds: (1) higher cost of debt for acquisitions compresses cap rate spreads and investment returns, (2) REIT valuations compress as dividend yields become less attractive versus risk-free rates, and (3) mortgage rate increases reduce consumer spending at tenant locations. The company's 0.61 debt-to-equity ratio and need for continuous capital market access amplify rate sensitivity. Conversely, falling rates expand acquisition economics and improve valuation multiples.

Key Risks

Secular decline in casual dining and restaurant traffic due to delivery apps, ghost kitchens, and changing consumer preferences could pressure tenant viability in 30-40% of portfolio

Net-lease REIT model faces re-leasing risk on tenant defaults as single-use properties (especially restaurants) are difficult to re-tenant without significant capital investment

Rising minimum wages and labor costs compress tenant-level margins, particularly for quick-service restaurants and childcare operators, increasing default risk

Investor Profile

dividend - EPRT appeals to income-focused investors seeking 4-5% dividend yields with modest growth potential (5-7% annual FFO growth target). The net-lease model provides predictable cash flows and quarterly dividend stability. Value investors may find appeal during REIT selloffs when yield spreads widen versus Treasuries. Limited appeal to pure growth investors given capital-intensive, acquisition-dependent growth model.

Watch on Earnings
Monthly rent collection rates and tenant watch list size as leading indicators of credit stressQuarterly acquisition volume and weighted average cap rates versus 10-year Treasury yields (spread compression risk)Same-store NOI growth and lease renewal economics (rent per square foot on renewals versus expiring leases)Restaurant industry same-store sales growth and traffic trends (Black Box Intelligence, Placer.ai data)
Health Radar
3 strong1 watch2 concern
56/100
Liquidity
736.22Strong
Leverage
0.60Strong
Coverage
3.1xWatch
ROE
6.3%Concern
ROIC
48.8%Strong
Cash
$60MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE21 analysts
BUY
+16.1%upside to target
L $33.00
Med $36.50consensus
H $40.00
Strong Buy
15%
Buy
1781%
Hold
210%
Sell
15%
18 Buy (86%)2 Hold (10%)1 Sell (4%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
3/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 48 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 736.22 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 2, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 30, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentOct 14, 2026
In 166 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 8.4%

+0.4% vs SMA 50 · +8.8% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI47.8
Neutral territory
MACD+0.01
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$34.73+10.5%
Current
$31.43
EMA 50
$31.37-0.2%
52W Low
$28.95-7.9%
EMA 200
$28.03-10.8%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$28.9543th %ile$34.73
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Heavy distribution on elevated volume — institutions appear to be exiting. Squeeze setups unlikely while selling pressure persists.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:7
Edge:+2 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.8M
Recent Vol (5D)
2.2M+21%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 9 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$533.8M
$532.9M$534.6M
$1.28
±2%
High7
FY2026(current)
$631.8M
$624.8M$645.0M
+18.3%$1.30+2.3%
±2%
High7
FY2027
$716.6M
$697.7M$742.1M
+13.4%$1.37+5.3%
±1%
High9
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryEPRT
Last 8Q
-15.6%avg beat
Beat 1 of 8 quartersMissed 6 Estimates rising
Q3'24
-13%
Q4'24
-3%
Q1'25
-37%
Q2'25
-32%
Q3'25
-31%
Q4'25
+4%
Q1'26
-12%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Evercore ISIPositive → Outperform
Sep 15
UPGRADE
CitigroupBuy
Mar 21
UPGRADE
Bank of America Sec…Buy
Aug 24
UPGRADE
Zacks Investment Re…Hold
Apr 26
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Salisbury Robert We…Executive VP a…
$187K
Mar 20
SELL
Peil A JosephExecutive VP a…
$631K
Mar 20
SELL
Peil A JosephExecutive VP a…
$436K
Jun 10
SELL
Mavoides Peter M.Dir
$1.4M
Apr 29
SELL
Mavoides Peter M.Dir
$1.1M
Apr 30
SELL
Sautel Stephen DDir
$960K
Feb 24
SELL
Financials
Dividends3.88% yield
+3.9% avg annual growth
Annual Yield3.88%
Quarterly Div.$0.3100
Est. Annual / Share$1.24
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
DUFF & PHELPS INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT CO
3.4M
2
STRS OHIO
684K
3
NEW YORK STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM
230K
4
State of Alaska, Department of Revenue
225K
5
OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING Corp Ltd
141K
6
EXCHANGE TRADED CONCEPTS, LLC
126K
7
Louisiana State Employees Retirement System
93K
8
Handelsbanken Fonder AB
86K
News & Activity

EPRT News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. is an internally managed REIT that acquires, owns and manages primarily single- tenant properties that are net leased on a long-term basis to companies operating service-oriented or experience-based businesses. As of December 31, 2020, the Company's portfolio consisted of 1,181 freestanding net lease properties with a weighted average lease term of 14.5 years and a weighted average rent coverage ratio of 2.9x. As of the same date, the Company's portfolio was 99.7% leased to 238 tenants operating 336 different concepts in 17 industries across 43 states.

Industry
Lessors of Nonresidential Buildings (except Miniwarehouses)
Robert W. SalisburyExecutive VP, CFO and Head of Corporate Finance & Strategy and Secretary
A. Joseph PeilExecutive Vice President & Chief Investment Officer
R. Max JenkinsExecutive Vice President & Chief Operating Officer
PeersReal Estate(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
EPRT
$31.43+0.00%$6.8B25.71500
$217.34+2.48%$152.3B106.3+3582.4%878.3%1512
$142.02+2.31%$132.4B35.6+717.6%3880.1%1511
$1082.83-0.57%$106.8B74.9+585.3%1457.9%1534
$182.71+2.54%$85.1B29.6+511.4%2376.5%1487
$200.94+3.28%$69.0B50.3+1004.0%2140.8%1522
$203.71+1.14%$66.2B14.4+671.9%7251.1%1512
Sector avg+1.59%48.1+1178.8%2997.4%1511