FCFS
Next earnings: Jul 23, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+1.18%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume1.0× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 61Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
215.67
Open
214.57
Day Range214.53 – 220.38
214.53
220.38
52W Range119.21 – 227.26
119.21
227.26
92% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
337.3K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
27.4x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.01%
Performance
1D
+1.18%
5D
-1.08%
1M
+13.91%
3M
+27.99%
6M
+37.72%
YTD
+36.92%
1Y
+62.90%
Best: 1Y (+62.90%)Worst: 5D (-1.08%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +14% YoY · 50% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 27x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 4.8 · FCF $11.36/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$9.57B
Revenue TTM$3.88B
Net Income TTM$354.49M
Free Cash Flow$502.59M
Gross Margin49.7%
Net Margin9.1%
Operating Margin15.5%
Return on Equity15.9%
Return on Assets6.6%
Debt / Equity1.14
Current Ratio4.77
EPS TTM$8.01
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Same-store pawn loan balance growth - indicates core lending demand and portfolio health

Retail merchandise margins and inventory turns - drives profitability of forfeited collateral sales

Latin America (primarily Mexico) segment performance - represents 35-40% of store base with higher growth but FX exposure

Store expansion pace and new market entry - typically 50-100 net new stores annually through acquisitions and de novo openings

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate-high (counter-cyclical characteristics) - Pawn lending exhibits counter-cyclical demand as economic stress, job losses, and reduced access to traditional credit drive consumers to secured short-term loans. However, severe recessions can pressure retail sales and merchandise values. The business typically sees loan volume increases during downturns but benefits from stable retail demand in expansions. Consumer spending weakness can be both positive (more pawn loans) and negative (lower retail sales).

Interest Rates

Low direct sensitivity to policy rates as pawn loan pricing is determined by state regulations and competitive dynamics rather than funding costs. However, rising rates indirectly benefit the business by tightening consumer credit availability from banks and fintech lenders, driving customers to alternative lending. The company's debt costs (currently ~$1B in borrowings) are partially variable, creating modest headwinds from rate increases. Higher rates also pressure consumer budgets, potentially increasing pawn loan demand.

Key Risks

Regulatory risk from state-level pawn lending rate caps and licensing requirements - potential for fee compression or operational restrictions in key markets like Texas (25% of U.S. stores)

Digital disruption from online resale platforms (eBay, Facebook Marketplace, Poshmark) and alternative lending (fintech, BNPL) reducing customer traffic and merchandise pricing power

Secular decline in physical retail foot traffic and shift to e-commerce potentially reducing store-based pawn loan originations and retail sales

Investor Profile

value with growth characteristics - Attracts investors seeking defensive growth with counter-cyclical properties and recession resilience. The 5.8% FCF yield and consistent cash generation appeal to value investors, while 8% revenue growth and Latin America expansion attract growth-oriented funds. Recent 56.5% one-year return suggests momentum investors have entered. The stock offers portfolio diversification benefits due to low correlation with traditional financials and counter-cyclical demand patterns.

Watch on Earnings
U.S. unemployment rate and initial jobless claims - leading indicators of pawn loan demandGold spot prices (GCUSD) - drives jewelry pawn loan volumes and scrap liquidation valuesMexican peso exchange rate (USD/MXN) - impacts 35-40% of store base earnings translationConsumer credit availability metrics (BAMLH0A0HYM2 credit spreads) - tighter credit drives alternative lending demand
Health Radar
2 strong3 watch1 concern
50/100
Liquidity
4.77Strong
Leverage
1.14Watch
Coverage
4.7xWatch
ROE
15.9%Strong
ROIC
8.8%Watch
Cash
$125MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE19 analysts
HOLD
+15.5%upside to target
Buy
947%
Hold
1053%
9 Buy (47%)10 Hold (53%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
6/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 61 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 4.77 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 2, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 30, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentOct 27, 2026
In 179 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 17.9%

+15.3% vs SMA 50 · +35.9% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI60.5
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+3.94
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$227.3+4.1%
Current
$218.2
EMA 50
$164.9-24.4%
EMA 200
$146.2-33.0%
52W Low
$119.2-45.4%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$119.292th %ile$227.3
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:3
Edge:Even
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)276K
Recent Vol (5D)
235K-15%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 6 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$3.6B
$3.5B$3.7B
$8.64
±3%
Moderate3
FY2026(current)
$4.3B
$4.2B$4.4B
+17.8%$10.77+24.6%
±3%
Moderate4
FY2027
$4.6B
$4.4B$4.9B
+8.1%$12.40+15.2%
±3%
High6
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 8 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryFCFS
Last 8Q
+9.3%avg beat
Beat 8 of 8 quarters Estimates rising
+4%
Q3'24
+3%
Q4'24
+5%
Q1'25
+19%
Q2'25
+8%
Q3'25
+16%
Q4'25
+4%
Q1'26
+15%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Loop Capital MarketsHold → Buy
Apr 29
UPGRADE
Cowen & Co.Market Perform → Positive
Apr 10
UPGRADE
JefferiesBuy → Underperform
Jan 5
DOWNGRADE
Raymond JamesOutperform
Jan 5
UPGRADE
Evercore ISIOutperform
Jan 5
UPGRADE
Credit SuisseNeutral → Outperform
Jan 5
UPGRADE
Seaport GlobalNeutral
Jan 5
DOWNGRADE
OppenheimerPerform
Jan 5
DOWNGRADE
SVB LeerinkMarket Perform
Jan 5
DOWNGRADE
NeedhamHold
Jan 5
DOWNGRADE
Piper SandlerNeutral
Jan 5
DOWNGRADE
UBSNeutral
Jan 5
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Hambleton Howard FAFF President
$740K
Feb 18
SELL
Orr R DouglasCFO
$183K
Feb 17
SELL
Orr R DouglasCFO
$183K
Feb 17
SELL
Orr R DouglasCFO
$183K
Feb 17
SELL
Stuart Thomas BrentPresident and …
$1.8M
Feb 17
SELL
Orr R DouglasCFO
$701K
Feb 5
SELL
Financials
Dividends0.75% yield
+5.9% avg annual growth
Annual Yield0.75%
Quarterly Div.$0.4200
Est. Annual / Share$1.68
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Stephens Investment Management Group LLC
832K
2
VAUGHAN NELSON INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, L.P.
475K
3
Nuveen, LLC
403K
4
Candriam S.C.A.
151K
5
Granite Investment Partners, LLC
68K
6
PEREGRINE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
66K
7
CWA Asset Management Group, LLC
55K
8
NEW YORK STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM
50K
News & Activity

FCFS News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

No description available.

Peter H. WatsonSenior Vice President of Compliance & Government Relations
Raul R. RamosSenior Vice President of Latin American Operations
Howard HambletonAFF President
PeersFinancial Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
FCFS
$218.22+1.18%$9.6B27.2+804.3%1500
$313.23+1.29%$844.8B14.8+330.7%2039.3%1508
$329.84-1.50%$632.8B28.4+1134.0%5014.5%1494
$502.92-4.39%$445.2B28.8+1641.6%4564.7%1489
$53.46+1.10%$383.7B12.2-45.1%1592.6%1503
$190.58+1.87%$302.6B16.5+1147.7%1466.4%1519
$923.77+2.01%$274.1B15.5-138.4%1373.0%1521
Sector avg+0.22%20.5+696.4%2675.1%1505