GWRE
Next earnings: Jun 2, 2026 · After close
Signal
Bearish Setup12
Price
1
Move+0.40%Quiet session
Day RangeNear High$135.65 — $139.54
Volume
1
Volume0.4× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 43Momentum negative
Position
1
52W RangeBottom 15% of year$115.57 — $272.60
PRICE
Prev Close
138.67
Open
137.76
Day Range135.65 – 139.54
135.65
139.54
52W Range115.57 – 272.60
115.57
272.60
15% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.7M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
63.0x
Premium valuation
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.10
Market-like
Performance
1D
+2.50%
5D
+1.47%
1M
-3.21%
3M
-13.92%
6M
-44.65%
YTD
-30.33%
1Y
-29.83%
Best: 1D (+2.50%)Worst: 6M (-44.65%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +24% YoY · 64% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 63x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 2.9 · FCF $3.65/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$11.84B
Revenue TTM$1.34B
Net Income TTM$189.36M
Free Cash Flow$309.56M
Gross Margin63.8%
Net Margin14.1%
Operating Margin6.8%
Return on Equity12.9%
Return on Assets7.0%
Debt / Equity0.47
Current Ratio2.93
EPS TTM$2.23
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) growth rate and cloud migration velocity - investors focus on the pace of customer transitions from perpetual to cloud

Subscription revenue mix and remaining performance obligations (RPO) - indicators of future revenue visibility and business model transformation progress

Large Tier 1 insurer wins or renewals - marquee customer announcements validate platform competitiveness and drive credibility

Operating margin trajectory and path to profitability expansion - evidence that cloud economics are improving as the business scales

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low-to-moderate - P&C insurance is a non-discretionary industry with stable demand through cycles, but insurers may delay large IT transformation projects during recessions or periods of underwriting losses. Natural catastrophe frequency (hurricanes, wildfires) can paradoxically drive demand as insurers modernize claims systems to handle volume spikes. Economic expansion typically correlates with increased commercial insurance premiums and policy volumes, which drives higher usage-based subscription fees. However, the long sales cycles (12-24 months) and multi-year implementation timelines create lag effects that dampen immediate cyclical sensitivity.

Interest Rates

Rising rates have mixed effects: (1) Negative for valuation - as a high-multiple SaaS company trading at 8.2x sales, higher discount rates compress multiples and the stock has declined 43% over the past year as rates rose; (2) Positive for customer budgets - P&C insurers benefit from higher investment income on float (premiums collected before claims paid), improving profitability and IT spending capacity; (3) Neutral for operations - minimal debt (0.46 D/E ratio) means limited direct financing cost impact. The valuation effect dominates near-term stock performance.

Key Risks

Cloud transition execution risk - the shift from perpetual licenses to SaaS creates a multi-year revenue trough and margin compression that could extend longer than expected if implementation complexity or customer hesitancy increases

Emergence of cloud-native competitors - newer entrants like Duck Creek Technologies or vertical SaaS providers could offer more modern architectures without legacy technical debt, particularly threatening in SMB and mid-market segments

Insurer consolidation reducing total addressable market - M&A among P&C carriers could reduce the number of potential customers and create pricing pressure as larger insurers negotiate volume discounts

Investor Profile

growth - Investors are betting on the cloud transition inflection driving accelerating ARR growth and margin expansion through 2027-2028. The 22.6% revenue growth and improving profitability (net margin turned positive at 5.8% after years of losses) attract growth-at-a-reasonable-price (GARP) investors. However, the 43% drawdown over the past year has shaken out momentum investors, leaving a base of fundamental long-term holders focused on the 2027+ margin expansion story. The high valuation (8.2x sales, 96.6x EV/EBITDA) requires continued execution on cloud migration to justify multiples.

Watch on Earnings
Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) growth rate quarter-over-quarterNet ARR retention rate (measures upsells, cross-sells, and churn)Subscription revenue as percentage of total revenue (cloud transition progress)Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) and current RPO growth
Health Radar
4 strong1 watch1 concern
65/100
Liquidity
2.93Strong
Leverage
0.47Strong
Coverage
6.7xStrong
ROE
12.9%Watch
ROIC
4.1%Concern
Cash
$699MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE24 analysts
BUY
+79.6%upside to target
66/100 conviction
L $175.00
Med $250.00consensus
H $300.00
Buy
1667%
Hold
729%
Sell
14%
16 Buy (67%)7 Hold (29%)1 Sell (4%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 43 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.93 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenApr 30, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 28, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 11, 2026
In 104 days
Technicals
Technical SignalsBEARISH
Technicals →
0 Buy6 Sell1 Neutral7 signals
SellNeutralBuy
IndicatorValueSignalStrength
RSI (14)43.1NEUTRAL
14%
SMA 50↓ RES$167.5BEARISH
8%
SMA 200↓ RES$212.4BEARISH
0%
EMA 50$162.5BEARISH
14%
EMA 200$210.4BEARISH
0%
MA Trend50D < 200DDEATH X
0%
MACD-7.96BEARISH
10%
Key Levels
Resistance
SMA 50$167.516.9%
SMA 200$212.434.4%
Support
None below
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$272.6+95.8%
EMA 200
$210.4+51.1%
EMA 50
$162.5+16.7%
Current
$139.2
52W Low
$115.6-17.0%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$115.615th %ile$272.6
RSI (14)43.1

Momentum neutral-to-bearish

Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:2
Edge:Even
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)925K
Recent Vol (5D)
636K-31%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 11 analysts
Analyst revisions:Revenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$1.3B
$1.0B$1.5B
-$1.17
±21%
High10
FY2024
$972.8M
$971.9M$974.0M
-24.1%$1.27
±6%
High11
FY2025
$1.2B
$1.2B$1.2B
+21.8%$2.45+93.3%
±2%
High11
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 4 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryGWRE
Last 8Q
+41.6%avg beat
Beat 7 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates rising
+96%
Q2'24
+14%
Q3'24
+43%
Q4'24
-1%
Q1'25
+90%
Q2'25
+32%
Q3'25
+7%
Q4'25
+51%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Wells FargoEqual-Weight → Overweight
Dec 20
UPGRADE
Wells FargoOverweight → Equal-Weight
Aug 31
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $657K sold · 30d window
Rosenbaum Michael G…CEO
$166K
Apr 27
SELL
Rosenbaum Michael G…CEO
$168K
Apr 20
SELL
Rosenbaum Michael G…CEO
$143K
Apr 13
SELL
Rosenbaum Michael G…CEO
$181K
Apr 6
SELL
Rosenbaum Michael G…CEO
$175K
Mar 30
SELL
Rosenbaum Michael G…CEO
$187K
Mar 23
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
WASATCH ADVISORS LP
801K
2
Assenagon Asset Management S.A.
629K
3
Stephens Investment Management Group LLC
525K
4
Conestoga Capital Advisors, LLC
275K
5
RIVERBRIDGE PARTNERS LLC
230K
6
CONGRESS ASSET MANAGEMENT CO /MA
203K
7
Retirement Systems of Alabama
104K
8
WHITTIER TRUST CO
70K
News & Activity

GWRE News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

guidewire delivers the software that property/casualty (p/c) insurers need to adapt and succeed in a time of rapid industry change. we combine three elements – core processing, data and analytics, and digital engagement – into a technology platform that enhances insurers’ ability to engage and empower their customers and employees. more than 200 p/c insurers around the world have selected guidewire. check out our blog, smart approach, at: http://www.guidewire.com/blog/ or follow us on twitter: @guidewire_pandc

CEO
Michael Rosenbaum
John MullenPresident
Steven SherrySenior Vice President of Strategic Accounts
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
GWRE
$139.23+2.50%$11.8B62.1+2263.8%580.5%1500
$393.83-3.12%$2.0T29.8+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$89.28+0.00%$311.7B1500
$130.45-1.28%$303.7B+586.3%1500
$185.20-0.96%$289.4B1500
$142.94+0.00%$280.9B+597.3%1500
$191.26+0.42%$251.5B11.0+652.3%992.0%1500
Sector avg-0.35%34.3+1479.3%2027.5%1500