LEA
Earnings in 2 days · May 1, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bearish Setup1
Price
2
Move-0.26%Quiet session
Day RangeMid-Range$122.53 — $125.33
Volume
1
Volume0.8× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 54Momentum positive
Position
1
52W Range68% of range$82.88 — $142.84
PRICE
Prev Close
124.16
Open
123.68
Day Range122.53 – 125.33
122.53
125.33
52W Range82.88 – 142.84
82.88
142.84
68% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
589.0K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
15.2x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.02%
Beta
1.32
Market-like
Performance
1D
-1.15%
5D
-3.08%
1M
+4.99%
3M
+4.05%
6M
+20.35%
YTD
+8.34%
1Y
+46.66%
Best: 1Y (+46.66%)Worst: 5D (-3.08%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BEARISH
thin 7% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 15x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.4 · FCF $10.04/sh
Neutral
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$6.27B
Revenue TTM$23.26B
Net Income TTM$436.80M
Free Cash Flow$527.20M
Gross Margin7.0%
Net Margin1.9%
Operating Margin4.0%
Return on Equity8.8%
Return on Assets2.9%
Debt / Equity0.81
Current Ratio1.35
EPS TTM$8.32
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Global light vehicle production volumes - particularly North American and European build rates where Lear has highest exposure and content-per-vehicle

OEM production mix shifts toward higher-content platforms (luxury, SUVs, EVs) where Lear earns $200-400 more per vehicle in E-Systems content

Raw material cost inflation (steel, foam chemicals, copper wire) and ability to recover costs in annual price-downs negotiations

New program wins and backlog conversion - particularly EV electrical architecture contracts with 3-5 year revenue ramps

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Lear's revenue directly correlates with global light vehicle production, which is highly cyclical and sensitive to consumer confidence, employment, and credit availability. A recession typically drives 15-25% declines in auto production. The -0.2% revenue decline and -13.8% net income drop reflect recent automotive production softness. Operating leverage magnifies earnings volatility in both directions.

Interest Rates

Moderate sensitivity through two channels: (1) Higher rates reduce auto loan affordability, suppressing vehicle demand and OEM production schedules that drive Lear's volumes. (2) Lear carries $3.9B in debt (0.53 D/E ratio), so rising rates increase interest expense, though much is fixed-rate. The company's valuation multiple (7.7x EV/EBITDA) also compresses when rates rise as investors demand higher equity risk premiums for cyclical industrials.

Key Risks

EV transition disruption - Battery electric vehicles require 40-50% less seating content (no engine/transmission tunnel complexity) and different electrical architectures. While E-Systems content increases, net content-per-vehicle may decline if Lear cannot capture sufficient EV electrical business.

OEM vertical integration and direct sourcing - Automakers increasingly bring electrical architecture design in-house (Tesla model) or consolidate supplier base, threatening Tier 1 suppliers' role. Chinese OEMs also favor domestic suppliers.

Autonomous vehicle timeline uncertainty - Robotaxis could reduce personal vehicle ownership and total production volumes long-term, though timing remains highly uncertain beyond 2030.

Investor Profile

value - The 0.3x P/S, 7.7x EV/EBITDA, and 7.2% FCF yield attract deep value investors seeking cyclical recovery plays. Recent 38.7% one-year return suggests momentum investors also participated in the rebound from depressed valuations. Not a growth or dividend story given -0.2% revenue growth and modest 1.9% net margin. Investors are betting on mean reversion in auto production, margin expansion, and capital returns rather than secular growth.

Watch on Earnings
S&P Global light vehicle production forecasts by region (North America, Europe, China) - leading indicator for Lear's quarterly revenueAutomotive semiconductor supply chain health - chip shortages directly curtail OEM production and Lear's shipment volumesCopper and steel spot prices - key input costs representing 15-20% of COGS with 6-12 month lag before contractual recoveryConsumer auto loan rates and approval rates - leading indicators for vehicle demand and OEM production schedules 3-6 months forward
Health Radar
2 strong2 watch2 concern
48/100
Liquidity
1.35Watch
Leverage
0.81Strong
Coverage
9.4xStrong
ROE
8.8%Watch
ROIC
7.8%Concern
Cash
$1.0BConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE20 analysts
BUY
-0.7%downside to target
63/100 conviction
L $115.00
Med $123.00consensus
H $145.00
Buy
1050%
Hold
1050%
10 Buy (50%)10 Hold (50%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
9/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 54 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.35
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenApr 30, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 28, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 3, 2026
In 96 days
Technicals
Technical SignalsBULLISH
Technicals →
6 Buy0 Sell1 Neutral7 signals
SellNeutralBuy
IndicatorValueSignalStrength
RSI (14)53.8NEUTRAL
8%
SMA 50↑ SUPP$114.7BULLISH
70%
SMA 200↑ SUPP$88.43BULLISH
100%
EMA 50$117.0BULLISH
65%
EMA 200$93.53BULLISH
100%
MA Trend50D > 200DGOLDEN X
100%
MACD+3.40BULLISH
67%
Key Levels
Resistance
None above
Support
SMA 50$114.78.0%
SMA 200$88.4340.0%
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$142.8+15.3%
Current
$123.8
EMA 50
$117.0-5.5%
EMA 200
$93.53-24.5%
52W Low
$82.88-33.1%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$82.8868th %ile$142.8
RSI (14)53.8

Momentum neutral-to-bullish

Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:6
Dist days:3
Edge:+3 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)669K
Recent Vol (5D)
476K-29%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 10 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$23.1B
$23.0B$23.1B
$12.25
±1%
High8
FY2026(current)
$23.6B
$23.5B$23.7B
+2.3%$14.41+17.6%
±4%
High10
FY2027
$24.3B
$24.0B$24.9B
+3.1%$16.89+17.2%
±6%
High8
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 8 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryLEA
Last 8Q
+11.8%avg beat
Beat 8 of 8 quarters Estimates falling
+5%
Q2'24
+6%
Q3'24
+10%
Q4'24
+18%
Q1'25
+18%
Q2'25
+7%
Q3'25
+3%
Q4'25
+28%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
BarclaysEqual-Weight → Negative
Apr 15
DOWNGRADE
Cowen & Co.Buy → Hold
Mar 6
DOWNGRADE
BarclaysOverweight → Equal-Weight
Oct 30
DOWNGRADE
Morgan StanleyEqual-Weight → Overweight
May 10
UPGRADE
GuggenheimBuy
Jun 1
UPGRADE
Wolfe ResearchUnderperform
Jun 1
DOWNGRADE
Goldman SachsNeutral
Jun 1
UPGRADE
Chardan CapitalBuy
Jun 1
UPGRADE
BarclaysEqual-Weight
Jun 1
DOWNGRADE
RBC CapitalOutperform
Jun 1
UPGRADE
BMO CapitalMarket Perform
Jun 1
DOWNGRADE
OppenheimerPerform
Jun 1
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Mallett Conrad L JrDir
$5K
Mar 13
SELL
Orsini Frank CEVP and Presi…
$967K
Feb 26
SELL
Vidershain MarianneVP, Treas & He…
$215K
Feb 24
SELL
Davis Alicia J.SVP and Chief …
$882K
Feb 19
SELL
Cardew Jason MSVP and CFO
$1.1M
Feb 19
SELL
Cardew Jason MSVP and CFO
$135K
Feb 19
SELL
Financials
Dividends2.49% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield2.49%
Quarterly Div.$0.7700
Est. Annual / Share$3.08
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
PZENA INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC
6.8M
2
GREENHAVEN ASSOCIATES INC
1.7M
3
RWC Asset Management LLP
638K
4
WEDGE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT L L P/NC
113K
5
F&V Capital Management, LLC
86K
6
Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V.
82K
7
Retirement Systems of Alabama
62K
8
CAPITAL MANAGEMENT CORP /VA
43K
News & Activity

LEA News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

lear corporation is a leading global tier 1 automotive supplier that serves all of the world’s major automakers with content on more than 300 vehicle nameplates worldwide. lear is one of the world's largest suppliers of automotive seating and electrical distribution systems. lear provides complete seating systems and components, as well as both traditional and high voltage/high power electronic products and electrical distribution systems and components. with facilities in 35 countries on six continents, lear operates in every major auto producing region of the world. achieving $17.7 billion in 2014 sales, lear ranks #174 among the fortune 500. headquartered in southfield, michigan, lear's world-class products are designed, engineered and manufactured by a diverse team of more than 135,000 employees. lear shares are traded on the new york stock exchange under the symbol [lea].

CEO
Raymond Scott
Harry Albert KempSenior Vice President & Chief Administrative Officer
Jason CardewSenior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Tim BrumbaughVice President of Investor Relations
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
LEA
$123.84-1.15%$6.3B14.9-18.4%187.8%1500
$393.83-3.12%$2.0T29.8+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$89.28+0.00%$311.7B1500
$130.45-1.28%$303.7B+586.3%1500
$185.20-0.96%$289.4B1500
$142.94+0.00%$280.9B+597.3%1500
$191.26+0.42%$251.5B11.0+652.3%992.0%1500
Sector avg-0.87%18.6+1022.9%1896.6%1500