LU
Signal
Bearish Setup4
Price
2
Move-2.11%Negative session
Day RangeNear Low$1.85 — $1.91
Volume
1
Volume0.5× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 40Momentum negative
Position
1
52W RangeBottom 5% of year$1.73 — $4.57
PRICE
Prev Close
1.90
Open
1.89
Day Range1.85 – 1.91
1.85
1.91
52W Range1.73 – 4.57
1.73
4.57
5% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.6M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-2.3x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.11%
Beta
0.98
Market-like
Performance
1D
-0.79%
5D
+0.80%
1M
+3.57%
3M
-29.40%
6M
-36.74%
YTD
-26.37%
1Y
-36.10%
Best: 1M (+3.57%)Worst: 6M (-36.74%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev -12% · 70% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
STRONG
CR 29.5 · FCF $52.29/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$5.43B
Revenue TTM$31.92B
Net Income TTM-$3.38B
Free Cash Flow$8.63B
Gross Margin69.5%
Net Margin2.1%
Operating Margin35.5%
Return on Equity1.0%
Return on Assets0.4%
Debt / Equity0.49
Current Ratio29.50
EPS TTM$3.10
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

New loan origination volumes and trends in borrower demand from small business owners and salaried workers

Delinquency rates and credit quality metrics, particularly 90+ day past due ratios and charge-off rates

Regulatory developments in China's fintech sector, including lending rate caps, capital requirements, and platform governance rules

Take rate trends (revenue as % of loan facilitation volume) reflecting pricing power and competitive intensity

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Lufax's borrower base consists primarily of small business owners and salaried workers in China, making credit performance highly sensitive to economic conditions. During slowdowns, SME cash flows deteriorate and unemployment rises, directly increasing delinquencies and charge-offs. The -39.6% revenue decline and -89.8% net income drop reflect both regulatory tightening and China's economic deceleration. New loan demand contracts sharply when business confidence weakens, as seen in recent quarters with reduced origination volumes.

Interest Rates

Moderate sensitivity to China's monetary policy rather than US rates. Lower Chinese benchmark rates (LPR) compress lending spreads as regulatory caps remain fixed while funding costs for institutional partners decline, squeezing Lufax's take rates. However, easier monetary policy can stimulate borrower demand and improve credit quality by supporting economic activity. The company's minimal debt (0.49 D/E) limits direct financing cost exposure.

Key Risks

China's evolving fintech regulatory framework could impose additional capital requirements, further restrict lending rates, or mandate operational changes that impair profitability

Disintermediation risk as traditional banks aggressively expand digital lending capabilities using lower-cost deposit funding, potentially commoditizing loan origination platforms

Long-term shift in China's credit culture and regulatory philosophy away from consumer leverage and shadow banking activities

Investor Profile

value/distressed - The stock trades at extreme valuation discounts (0.2x sales, 0.1x book) attracting deep value investors betting on regulatory stabilization and China economic recovery. The 1144% FCF yield (reflecting one-time working capital changes) and strong cash generation appeal to investors focused on asset liquidation value. However, high regulatory and geopolitical risks make this unsuitable for risk-averse investors. Recent 21.6% 3-month return suggests some speculative/momentum interest.

Watch on Earnings
China's official Manufacturing PMI and non-manufacturing PMI as leading indicators of SME borrower healthChina's urban unemployment rate and wage growth trends affecting salaried worker borrower creditworthinessUSD/CNY exchange rate impacting ADR valuation and potential capital flight concernsChina's aggregate financing and total social financing growth indicating credit availability
Health Radar
2 strong1 watch3 concern
45/100
Liquidity
29.50Strong
Leverage
0.49Strong
Coverage
1.6xConcern
ROE
1.0%Concern
ROIC
4.0%Concern
Cash
$40.0BWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE13 analysts
BUY
+69.6%upside to target
63/100 conviction
L $2.40
Med $3.16consensus
H $5.20
Buy
862%
Hold
431%
Sell
18%
8 Buy (62%)4 Hold (31%)1 Sell (7%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 40 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowLean Distribution — selling pressure
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 29.50 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenApr 30, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 28, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 21, 2026
In 114 days
Technicals
Technical SignalsBEARISH
Technicals →
0 Buy6 Sell1 Neutral7 signals
SellNeutralBuy
IndicatorValueSignalStrength
RSI (14)40.5NEUTRAL
19%
SMA 50↓ RES$2.16BEARISH
16%
SMA 200↓ RES$2.73BEARISH
0%
EMA 50$2.11BEARISH
21%
EMA 200$2.59BEARISH
0%
MA Trend50D < 200DDEATH X
0%
MACD-0.06BEARISH
50%
Key Levels
Resistance
SMA 50$2.1613.8%
SMA 200$2.7332.0%
Support
None below
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$4.57+145.7%
EMA 200
$2.59+39.5%
EMA 50
$2.11+13.2%
Current
$1.86
52W Low
$1.73-7.3%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$1.735th %ile$4.57
RSI (14)40.5

Momentum neutral-to-bearish

Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:0
Dist days:2
Edge:+2 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)2.9M
Recent Vol (5D)
1.5M-49%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 12 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$35.1B
$33.6B$38.3B
$3.03
±31%
High12
FY2024
$23.9B
$23.3B$24.6B
-31.9%-$4.38
±4%
Low2
FY2025
$26.1B
$25.4B$26.8B
+9.1%$2.05
±4%
Low2
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryLU
Last 8Q
-563.3%avg beat
Beat 3 of 8 quartersMissed 5 Estimates falling
+100%
Q2'23
+20%
Q3'23
-80%
Q4'23
-950%
Q1'24
-400%
Q2'24
-643%
Q3'24
-2567%
Q4'24
+13%
Q1'25
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
CLSABuy → Outperform
Apr 24
UPGRADE
MacquarieOutperform
May 16
UPGRADE
Morgan StanleyUnderweight
May 16
DOWNGRADE
Keefe, Bruyette & W…Outperform
May 16
UPGRADE
Argus ResearchBuy
May 16
UPGRADE
Deutsche BankBuy
May 16
UPGRADE
New StreetBuy
May 16
UPGRADE
J.P. MorganReduce
Nov 26
DOWNGRADE
Credit SuisseUnderperform → Underweight
Nov 25
DOWNGRADE
HSBCHold
Nov 25
DOWNGRADE
Credit SuisseUnderperform
Nov 25
DOWNGRADE
CLSABuy
Nov 14
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/3 SellsNet Selling
Kritzmacher John ACFO
$170K
Nov 21
SELL
Damelio Frank ACOO
$547K
Nov 21
SELL
Christy Langenfeld …President, Net…
$707K
Nov 22
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Pictet Asset Management Holding SA
17K
2
SG Americas Securities, LLC
16K
3
FULTON BANK, N.A.
15K
4
EWA, LLC
13K
5
Ethic Inc.
11K
6
SBI Securities Co., Ltd.
2K
7
Polunin Capital Partners Ltd
0
8
PROFUND ADVISORS LLC
0
News & Activity

LU News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

No description available.

Industry
Credit Card Issuing
CEO
Yong Suk Cho
Xiang JiCEO & Executive Director
Yong Suk ChoExecutive Director & Co-CEO
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
LU
$1.86-0.79%$796M4.2-3961.6%212.8%1500
$393.83-3.12%$2.0T29.8+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$89.28+0.00%$311.7B1500
$130.45-1.28%$303.7B+586.3%1500
$185.20-0.96%$289.4B1500
$142.94+0.00%$280.9B+597.3%1500
$191.26+0.42%$251.5B11.0+652.3%992.0%1500
Sector avg-0.82%15.0+234.2%1904.9%1500