Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited: Financial Results for the First Quarter
( Note : All dollar amounts in this news release are expressed in U.S. dollars except as otherwise n…

Dollar-based net retention rate (DBNRR) - measures expansion revenue from existing customers, typically 115-125% range indicating healthy upsell momentum
Large customer additions (>$100K ARR accounts) - signals enterprise market penetration and validates platform beyond SMB origins
Workers platform adoption metrics - developer signups, compute minutes, and R2 storage usage indicate success in higher-margin serverless computing market competing with AWS Lambda/Cloudflare
Operating margin trajectory - path to sustained profitability as company scales past $2B+ revenue with current -9.4% operating margin
moderate - Enterprise IT spending correlates with GDP growth and corporate profitability, but cybersecurity and infrastructure services demonstrate relative resilience during downturns due to mission-critical nature. SMB segment (35-40% of revenue) shows higher cyclicality as smaller businesses reduce discretionary spending. However, secular tailwinds from cloud migration, zero-trust adoption, and edge computing provide growth floor even in recessions. Estimated 60-70% correlation to enterprise software spending cycles.
High sensitivity through multiple channels: (1) Valuation multiple compression - at 31x Price/Sales, growth stocks face significant re-rating pressure when risk-free rates rise and investors demand higher equity risk premiums; (2) Customer budget constraints - rising rates reduce corporate IT budgets as financing costs increase; (3) Competitive dynamics - lower rates benefit as company invests heavily in R&D and network expansion, requiring $300M annual capex that becomes more expensive to finance. Current 2.41 debt/equity ratio means interest expense impacts path to profitability.
Hyperscaler vertical integration - AWS, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud expanding native edge computing and security capabilities could commoditize Cloudflare's core offerings, particularly as enterprises consolidate vendors
Technology disruption from decentralized networks or alternative edge architectures that bypass traditional CDN/security models
Regulatory fragmentation - data localization requirements across EU, China, and other jurisdictions increase compliance costs and could fragment the unified global network advantage
growth - Investors focus on revenue growth (29.8% YoY), market share gains in large TAM ($135B+ addressable market across security, edge computing, networking), and long-term margin expansion potential. Negative earnings and minimal FCF yield (0.4%) make this unsuitable for value or income investors. Momentum traders attracted during periods of accelerating revenue growth or major product launches. Typical holders include growth-focused mutual funds, technology-specialist hedge funds, and venture capital crossover funds comfortable with 5-7 year investment horizons.
Trend
+2.7% vs SMA 50 · +0.9% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2025 | $2.1B $2.1B–$2.2B | — | $0.91 | — | ±1% | High25 |
FY2026(current) | $2.8B $2.8B–$2.9B | ▲ +30.1% | $1.12 | ▲ +22.9% | ±2% | High25 |
FY2027 | $3.5B $3.5B–$3.8B | ▲ +27.2% | $1.43 | ▲ +27.0% | ±13% | High25 |
( Note : All dollar amounts in this news release are expressed in U.S. dollars except as otherwise n…

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| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NET◀ | $204.92 | +1.66% | $74.6B | — | +2984.6% | -471.7% | 1500 |
| $396.06 | +0.42% | $2.0T | 29.3 | +3296.8% | 4510.0% | 1500 | |
| $91.86 | -0.77% | $309.3B | 13.7 | +318.8% | 1510.7% | 1500 | |
| $131.91 | -0.31% | $302.8B | 23.4 | +586.3% | 1305.9% | 1500 | |
| $187.37 | -0.82% | $287.1B | 27.6 | +862.9% | 1745.9% | 1500 | |
| $147.85 | -1.76% | $272.7B | 20.3 | +597.3% | 2564.4% | 1500 | |
| $90.67 | +1.51% | $251.7B | 14.2 | -591.0% | 668.4% | 1500 | |
| Sector avg | — | -0.01% | — | 21.4 | +1150.8% | 1690.5% | 1500 |