OGN
Earnings in 6 days · May 7, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Leaning Bullish11!
Price
1
Move-0.67%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume1.6× avgHeavy volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 79Overbought
PRICE
Prev Close
13.34
Open
13.32
Day Range13.25 – 13.39
13.25
13.39
52W Range5.69 – 13.39
5.69
13.39
98% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
8.6M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
18.4x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.05%
Beta
0.63
Low vol
Performance
1D
-0.67%
5D
+23.26%
1M
+132.46%
3M
+55.15%
6M
+101.67%
YTD
+84.80%
1Y
+2.47%
Best: 1M (+132.46%)Worst: 1D (-0.67%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
54% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 18x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.8 · FCF $1.55/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$3.45B
Revenue TTM$6.22B
Net Income TTM$187.00M
Free Cash Flow$404.00M
Gross Margin53.6%
Net Margin3.0%
Operating Margin20.0%
Return on Equity25.5%
Return on Assets1.5%
Debt / Equity11.70
Current Ratio1.82
EPS TTM$0.72
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Biosimilar launch execution and market share capture (Hadlima uptake in US adalimumab market, new biosimilar approvals)

Women's health franchise stability (NuvaRing/Nexplanon volume trends, competitive threats from generic long-acting contraceptives)

Emerging market revenue growth rates (China, Latin America penetration offsetting developed market erosion)

Debt reduction progress and leverage ratio trajectory (targeting 3-4x net debt/EBITDA from initial 5-6x)

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Pharmaceutical demand is relatively inelastic to economic cycles as medications treat chronic conditions and essential health needs. However, emerging market revenue (estimated 25-30% of total) shows moderate sensitivity to local GDP growth and currency fluctuations. Elective procedures like fertility treatments may see modest demand impact during severe recessions, but contraceptive and chronic disease management products remain stable.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates increase debt service costs on the company's $8-9B debt load (estimated 60-70% floating rate exposure), directly impacting net income and free cash flow available for debt reduction or shareholder returns. Higher rates also compress valuation multiples for low-growth pharmaceutical stocks as investors rotate to higher-yielding alternatives. The company's ability to refinance maturing debt at favorable terms is rate-dependent, with material impact given high leverage ratio.

Key Risks

Secular decline in mature pharmaceutical portfolio as patents expire and generic competition intensifies, with limited pipeline to offset erosion (minimal R&D investment model)

Regulatory pricing pressure globally, particularly in US (IRA negotiations for Medicare), Europe (reference pricing), and emerging markets (government price controls)

Biosimilar market commoditization as multiple competitors enter (adalimumab market now has 10+ biosimilars, compressing margins)

Investor Profile

value - The stock trades at distressed multiples (0.3x P/S, 1.2x EV/EBITDA) reflecting structural decline concerns and high leverage, attracting deep value investors betting on stabilization, debt reduction, and potential dividend yield (if sustainable). The 51% one-year decline has created contrarian opportunity for investors believing biosimilar growth and cost optimization can offset established brand erosion. Not suitable for growth investors given negative revenue trajectory and minimal pipeline.

Watch on Earnings
Biosimilar revenue run-rate and quarterly sequential growth (Hadlima, Renflexis market share data)Women's health franchise organic growth rate (constant currency, volume vs price mix)Net debt/EBITDA leverage ratio and quarterly debt paydown progressFree cash flow conversion rate (FCF as % of adjusted EBITDA)
Health Radar
1 strong2 watch3 concern
34/100
Liquidity
1.82Watch
Leverage
11.70Concern
Coverage
2.5xWatch
ROE
25.5%Strong
ROIC
5.2%Concern
Cash
$574MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE9 analysts
HOLD
-9.4%downside to target
L $8.00
Med $12.00consensus
H $14.00
Buy
222%
Hold
444%
Sell
333%
2 Buy (22%)4 Hold (44%)3 Sell (34%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
1 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 79 — Overbought, caution
~
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.82 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 2, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 30, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentOct 26, 2026
In 178 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 8.5%

+71.7% vs SMA 50 · +57.0% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI79.2
Overbought — pullback risk
MACD+1.58
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$13.39+1.1%
Current
$13.25
EMA 50
$8.54-35.6%
EMA 200
$8.49-35.9%
52W Low
$5.69-57.1%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$5.6998th %ile$13.39
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:0
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)4.5M
Recent Vol (5D)
3.6M-21%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 5 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$6.2B
$6.2B$6.2B
$3.75
±3%
High5
FY2026(current)
$6.1B
$6.1B$6.2B
-1.2%$3.45-8.0%
±2%
Moderate4
FY2027
$6.2B
$6.0B$6.4B
+1.5%$3.69+6.7%
±4%
High5
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryOGN
Last 8Q
+5.2%avg beat
Beat 5 of 8 quartersMissed 3 Estimates falling
+26%
Q2'24
+6%
Q3'24
-3%
Q4'24
-2%
Q1'25
+15%
Q2'25
+6%
Q3'25
+9%
Q4'25
-14%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Mild positive momentum
30d10
90d10
Piper SandlerUnderweight → Neutral
Apr 27
UPGRADE
Piper SandlerOverweight → Underweight
Oct 27
DOWNGRADE
Piper SandlerOverweight
Sep 6
UPGRADE
Financials
Dividends0.60% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield0.60%
Quarterly Div.$0.0200
Est. Annual / Share$0.08
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Douglas Lane & Associates, LLC
523K
2
Y-Intercept (Hong Kong) Ltd
476K
3
State of Alaska, Department of Revenue
274K
4
HARBOR CAPITAL ADVISORS, INC.
229K
5
Poehling Capital Management, INC.
219K
6
SG Americas Securities, LLC
216K
7
NEW YORK STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM
206K
8
Louisiana State Employees Retirement System
115K
News & Activity

OGN News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

organon is a dutch pharmaceutical company started in oss the netherlands. it is famous for "the pil" a birthcontrol pil. organon grew as a company and was taken over by schering plough and later on by merck and continues as msd in the netherlands. in the old days the compant was great, it used to be "gezellig" !

Industry
Research and Development in the Physical, Engineering, and Life Sciences (except Nanotechnology and Biotechnology)
CEO
Kevin Ali
Country
United States
Aaron FalcioneExecutive Vice President & Chief Human Resources Officer
Kirke WeaverExecutive Vice President, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary
Matthew WalshExecutive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
OGN
$13.25-0.67%$3.4B18.4-292.1%300.8%1500
$396.06+0.57%$2.1T28.7+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$91.86+2.89%$318.3B14.0+318.8%1510.7%1500
$131.91+1.13%$306.2B22.6+586.3%1305.9%1500
$187.37+1.17%$290.5B28.1+862.9%1745.9%1500
$147.85+3.44%$282.1B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$90.67+1.98%$256.7B14.5-591.0%668.4%1500
Sector avg+1.50%21.1+682.7%1800.9%1500