SCCO
Next earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move+1.94%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume0.8× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 41Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
168.43
Open
172.75
Day Range168.94 – 173.88
168.94
173.88
52W Range84.38 – 223.89
84.38
223.89
63% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.8M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
33.0x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.06%
Beta
0.77
Low vol
Performance
1D
+1.94%
5D
-6.24%
1M
+7.79%
3M
-9.02%
6M
+23.58%
YTD
+19.67%
1Y
+95.64%
Best: 1Y (+95.64%)Worst: 3M (-9.02%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +22% YoY · 60% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 33x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 4.4 · FCF $5.20/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$141.83B
Revenue TTM$14.55B
Net Income TTM$4.97B
Free Cash Flow$4.28B
Gross Margin60.4%
Net Margin34.2%
Operating Margin54.6%
Return on Equity46.0%
Return on Assets22.7%
Debt / Equity0.63
Current Ratio4.41
EPS TTM$6.05
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Copper spot prices and forward curve expectations driven by supply-demand dynamics, Chinese economic activity, and electrification trends

Production volumes from key assets (Buenavista, Cuajone, Toquepala) and progress on expansion projects like Tia Maria and Pilares

Cash cost performance relative to industry benchmarks, influenced by byproduct credits (molybdenum, silver prices) and energy costs

Capital allocation decisions including dividend policy (currently 60-80% payout ratio) and investment in brownfield expansions

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Copper demand is directly tied to global industrial production, construction activity, and infrastructure investment. China represents 50-55% of global copper consumption, making Chinese GDP growth, property sector health, and manufacturing PMI critical drivers. Electric vehicle adoption, renewable energy installations (wind/solar requiring 4-5x more copper than conventional power), and data center expansion create structural demand tailwinds, but near-term pricing remains highly cyclical based on inventory levels and economic growth expectations.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates have mixed effects: (1) Higher rates strengthen the USD, which pressures copper prices quoted in dollars and reduces purchasing power in emerging markets; (2) Rates impact project economics for copper-intensive infrastructure and renewable energy investments, potentially slowing demand growth; (3) Higher discount rates compress SCCO's valuation multiple despite strong cash generation. However, the company's fortress balance sheet (3.89x current ratio, 0.66 debt/equity) minimizes direct financing cost impacts. Rate cuts would generally support copper prices and valuation multiples.

Key Risks

Long-term copper substitution risk in electrical applications from aluminum or alternative materials, though limited by superior conductivity requirements in high-performance applications

Peruvian political instability and resource nationalism including potential royalty increases, environmental restrictions, or permit delays for expansions like Tia Maria which has faced community opposition

Water scarcity in mining regions (southern Peru, northern Mexico) requiring increased desalination investments and operational complexity

Investor Profile

value and dividend - SCCO attracts investors seeking exposure to copper's structural growth story (electrification, renewables) with current income. The 60-80% dividend payout ratio and 2-3% yield appeal to income-focused investors, while the 96.8% one-year return attracts momentum traders during copper bull markets. The stock trades at premium valuations (11.6x P/S, 19.8x EV/EBITDA) reflecting superior margins and asset quality, but value investors are drawn to the 42.2% ROE and fortress balance sheet. Commodity-focused hedge funds use SCCO as a liquid pure-play on copper with less political risk than Chilean miners.

Watch on Earnings
LME copper 3-month forward price and contango/backwardation structure indicating inventory tightnessChinese copper imports and bonded warehouse inventory levels (Shanghai Futures Exchange stocks)SCCO quarterly production volumes and unit cash costs relative to $1.30-1.40/lb guidance rangeMolybdenum oxide prices (byproduct credit representing 8-12% of revenue)
Health Radar
6 strong
88/100
Liquidity
4.41Strong
Leverage
0.63Strong
Coverage
21.6xStrong
ROE
46.0%Strong
ROIC
25.3%Strong
Cash
$4.3BStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE29 analysts
HOLD
-6.8%downside to target
L $133.00
Med $160.00consensus
H $186.00
Buy
310%
Hold
1448%
Sell
1241%
3 Buy (10%)14 Hold (48%)12 Sell (42%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
4/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 41 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 4.41 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 2, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 30, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentOct 26, 2026
In 178 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 26.0%

-6.9% vs SMA 50 · +17.4% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI41.4
Momentum fading
MACD-1.99
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$223.9+30.4%
EMA 50
$180.4+5.1%
Current
$171.7
EMA 200
$147.5-14.1%
52W Low
$84.38-50.9%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$84.3863th %ile$223.9
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:4
Dist days:6
Edge:+2 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.4M
Recent Vol (5D)
1.1M-19%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 10 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$13.1B
$13.0B$13.3B
$5.23
±3%
High10
FY2026(current)
$16.1B
$15.1B$17.0B
+22.2%$7.07+35.1%
±5%
High8
FY2027
$15.5B
$14.1B$17.0B
-3.3%$6.71-5.0%
±18%
High9
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 5 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistorySCCO
Last 8Q
+5.7%avg beat
Beat 7 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates rising
+15%
Q3'24
+4%
Q4'24
-1%
Q1'25
+5%
Q2'25
+10%
Q3'25
+8%
Q4'25
+3%
Q1'26
+2%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Mild positive momentum
30d10
90d10
Goldman SachsNeutral
Apr 10
UPGRADE
UBSNeutral → Sell
Jan 21
DOWNGRADE
Itau BBAUnderperform
Dec 22
DOWNGRADE
Morgan StanleyUnderweight
Dec 15
DOWNGRADE
Morgan StanleyUnderweight
Jul 15
DOWNGRADE
UBSNeutral
Jun 30
DOWNGRADE
JefferiesBuy
Mar 22
UPGRADE
Wells FargoUnderweight
Mar 13
DOWNGRADE
Morgan StanleyEqual-Weight → Underweight
Nov 27
DOWNGRADE
UBSSell
Apr 17
DOWNGRADE
Wolfe ResearchPeer Perform
Jan 12
UPGRADE
Deutsche BankSell
Nov 23
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Palomino Bonilla Lu…Dir
$34K
Mar 13
SELL
Palomino Bonilla Lu…Dir
$1K
Mar 12
SELL
Castillo Sanchez Me…Dir
$997K
Mar 2
SELL
Contreras Lerdo De …Dir
$2.0M
Feb 3
SELL
Palomino Bonilla Lu…Dir
$56K
Dec 3
SELL
Palomino Bonilla Lu…Dir
$21K
Nov 10
SELL
Financials
Dividends1.98% yield
+33.9% avg annual growth
Annual Yield1.98%
Quarterly Div.$1.0000
Est. Annual / Share$4.00
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Marathon Asset Management Ltd
499K
2
Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V.
423K
3
General Pension Society PZU Joint Stock Co
379K
4
Randolph Co Inc
215K
5
WEALTH ENHANCEMENT ADVISORY SERVICES, LLC
192K
6
CAPITAL ADVISORS INC/OK
181K
7
abrdn plc
175K
8
USS Investment Management Ltd
150K
News & Activity

SCCO News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

southern copper corp (scco) is an information technology and services company based out of 11811 n. tatum blvd., phoenix, arizona, united states.

CEO
Oscar Gonzalez Rocha
Leonardo Contreras Lerdo de TejadaInterim CEO & Non-Independent Director
Oscar Gonzalez RochaPresident, Chief Executive Officer & Director
Juan Fernando Nunez ChavezVice President of Explorations
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
SCCO
$171.69+1.94%$141.8B28.4+1737.5%3230.2%1500
$396.06+0.57%$2.1T28.7+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$91.86+2.89%$318.3B14.0+318.8%1510.7%1500
$131.91+1.13%$306.2B22.6+586.3%1305.9%1500
$187.37+1.17%$290.5B28.1+862.9%1745.9%1500
$147.85+3.44%$282.1B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$90.67+1.98%$256.7B14.5-591.0%668.4%1500
Sector avg+1.87%22.5+972.7%2219.3%1500