TCBI
Next earnings: Jul 16, 2026
Signal
Leaning Bearish22
Price
2
Move-2.20%Negative session
Day RangeNear Low$98.49 — $100.81
Volume
1
Volume0.9× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 60Momentum positive
Position
1
52W RangeTop 25% of year$66.61 — $108.92
PRICE
Prev Close
100.76
Open
100.74
Day Range98.49 – 100.81
98.49
100.81
52W Range66.61 – 108.92
66.61
108.92
75% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
489.1K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
13.3x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
0.94
Market-like
Performance
1D
+0.45%
5D
-1.89%
1M
+8.73%
3M
+1.91%
6M
+20.12%
YTD
+11.29%
1Y
+47.01%
Best: 1Y (+47.01%)Worst: 5D (-1.89%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +14% YoY · 62% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 13x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 0.1 (low) · FCF $19.63/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$4.36B
Revenue TTM$2.02B
Net Income TTM$356.99M
Free Cash Flow$883.98M
Gross Margin62.3%
Net Margin17.7%
Operating Margin23.7%
Return on Equity9.9%
Return on Assets1.1%
Debt / Equity0.24
Current Ratio0.10
EPS TTM$7.93
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Net interest margin expansion or compression driven by Federal Reserve policy and deposit pricing competition

Commercial loan growth rates in Texas markets, particularly Dallas-Fort Worth and Houston metro areas

Credit quality metrics including non-performing asset ratios and provision expense, especially in energy and commercial real estate portfolios

Deposit growth and funding mix shifts between interest-bearing and non-interest-bearing accounts

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Regional banks are highly cyclical, with loan demand, credit quality, and fee income directly tied to regional economic activity. Texas Capital's exposure to energy sector clients creates additional sensitivity to oil prices and energy capital expenditure cycles. Commercial real estate lending amplifies exposure to construction activity and property values. The 326% net income growth reflects recovery from prior credit cycle stress, demonstrating earnings volatility through economic cycles.

Interest Rates

Net interest margin is highly sensitive to Federal Reserve policy and yield curve shape. Rising short-term rates typically benefit regional banks by expanding loan yields faster than deposit costs, though competitive deposit pricing can compress this advantage. The current environment with potential rate cuts from elevated levels creates margin compression risk. Asset-liability duration mismatch means rapid rate changes impact profitability. The 10Y-2Y yield curve spread affects long-term lending profitability and signals recession risk that impacts credit quality.

Key Risks

Digital banking disruption from fintech competitors and national banks with superior technology platforms eroding relationship-based lending advantages

Regulatory capital requirements and compliance costs disproportionately burden regional banks versus larger institutions with scale economies

Texas economic concentration risk - state-specific recession or energy sector downturn would disproportionately impact loan portfolio

Investor Profile

value - The 1.3x price-to-book ratio and 9.3% ROE suggest value orientation, attracting investors seeking regional bank exposure to Texas growth at reasonable valuations. The 27% one-year return indicates momentum characteristics. Recent 326% net income growth attracts turnaround investors betting on normalized earnings power. Not a dividend story given growth reinvestment focus.

Watch on Earnings
Federal Funds Rate and forward guidance on Fed policy trajectory10Y-2Y Treasury yield curve spread as recession indicator and margin profitability signalWTI crude oil prices affecting Texas energy sector loan demand and credit qualityTexas non-farm payroll growth and unemployment rate as regional economic health indicators
Health Radar
1 strong1 watch4 concern
30/100
Liquidity
0.10Concern
Leverage
0.24Strong
Coverage
0.7xConcern
ROE
9.9%Watch
ROIC
7.4%Concern
Cash
$1.9BConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE26 analysts
HOLD
+6.0%upside to target
54/100 conviction
L $100.00
Med $104.50consensus
H $114.00
Buy
831%
Hold
1454%
Sell
415%
8 Buy (31%)14 Hold (54%)4 Sell (15%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 60 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.10 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenApr 30, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 28, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 21, 2026
In 114 days
Technicals
Technical SignalsBULLISH
Technicals →
6 Buy0 Sell1 Neutral7 signals
SellNeutralBuy
IndicatorValueSignalStrength
RSI (14)59.9NEUTRAL
20%
SMA 50↑ SUPP$88.74BULLISH
78%
SMA 200↑ SUPP$76.02BULLISH
100%
EMA 50$90.76BULLISH
71%
EMA 200$76.02BULLISH
100%
MA Trend50D > 200DGOLDEN X
100%
MACD+3.03BULLISH
65%
Key Levels
Resistance
None above
Support
SMA 50$88.7411.0%
SMA 200$76.0229.6%
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$108.9+10.5%
Current
$98.54
EMA 50
$90.76-7.9%
EMA 200
$76.02-22.9%
52W Low
$66.61-32.4%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$66.6175th %ile$108.9
RSI (14)59.9

Momentum neutral-to-bullish

Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:2
Edge:+1 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)422K
Recent Vol (5D)
604K+43%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 10 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$972.1M
$958.2M$982.2M
$2.79
±2%
High6
FY2024
$1.1B
$1.1B$1.1B
+14.4%$0.93-66.6%
±3%
High8
FY2025
$1.3B
$1.2B$1.3B
+12.7%$6.46+593.7%
±2%
High10
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 4 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryTCBI
Last 8Q
+35.5%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates rising
-7%
Q3'24
+182%
Q4'24
+34%
Q1'25
-3%
Q2'25
+27%
Q3'25
+23%
Q4'25
+17%
Q1'26
+11%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Piper SandlerNeutral
Oct 17
DOWNGRADE
Raymond JamesMarket Perform → Outperform
Sep 17
UPGRADE
Bank of America Sec…Buy
Sep 9
UPGRADE
CitigroupSell
Jul 22
DOWNGRADE
Raymond JamesStrong Buy → Market Perform
Apr 4
DOWNGRADE
Raymond JamesStrong Buy
Jul 7
UPGRADE
Zacks Investment Re…Buy
Apr 26
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
6 Buys/0 SellsNet Buying
Arbour Paola MDir
$92K
Mar 11
BUY
Stallings Robert WDir
$125K
Mar 6
BUY
Stallings Robert WDir
$454K
Mar 5
BUY
Stallings Robert WDir
$338K
Mar 4
BUY
Stallings Robert WDir
$663K
Mar 3
BUY
Stallings Robert WDir
$111K
Feb 27
BUY
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Hodges Capital Management Inc.
139K
2
Highlander Partners, L.P.
124K
3
CONGRESS ASSET MANAGEMENT CO /MA
76K
4
BW Gestao de Investimentos Ltda.
65K
5
Retirement Systems of Alabama
54K
6
PEREGRINE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
53K
7
NEW YORK STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM
41K
8
Oliver Luxxe Assets LLC
29K
News & Activity

TCBI News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

texas capital bank is a commercial bank that delivers highly personalized financial services to businesses and entrepreneurs. we are headquartered in texas and work with clients throughout the state and across the country. texas capital bank is a wholly owned subsidiary of texas capital bancshares, inc. (nasdaq® : tcbi) and is recognized as one of forbes best banks in america. at texas capital bank, we are driven by a single-minded and unwavering mission: serving texas businesses and the prominent individuals and families who run them. to accomplish this, we've brought together the most talented, experienced and service-focused professionals in the state. we keep bureaucracy to a minimum and empower our people to make decisions on our clients’ behalf. we’re big enough to get complex deals done, yet small enough that we know our clients (and each other) by name. that's why we are referred to as the best business bank in texas.® and it’s why we are the best career choice, as well.

Industry
Monetary Authorities-Central Bank
CEO
C. Keith Cargill
Robert C. HolmesChairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
Daniel S. HovermanEVice President and Head of Corporate & Investment Banking
Donald W. GoinExecutive Vice President & Chief Information Officer
PeersFinancial Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
TCBI
$98.54+0.45%$4.4B12.7+1353.7%1652.1%1500
$309.25-0.06%$840.0B14.7+330.7%2039.3%1507
$334.86-0.11%$596.3B26.8+1134.0%5014.5%1489
$525.23+0.23%$453.0B30.4+1641.6%4564.7%1488
$52.88+0.06%$377.9B12.1-45.1%1592.6%1503
$187.07+0.10%$302.3B16.4+1147.7%1466.4%1519
$905.60-1.20%$275.0B15.6-138.4%1373.0%1518
Sector avg-0.08%18.4+774.9%2528.9%1503