TDC
Earnings in 4 days · May 5, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bearish1
Price
1
Move+0.30%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.8× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 49Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
26.27
Open
26.09
Day Range25.62 – 26.77
25.62
26.77
52W Range19.83 – 41.78
19.83
41.78
30% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
2.1M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
19.5x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.07
Market-like
Performance
1D
+0.30%
5D
+0.76%
1M
+6.46%
3M
-7.61%
6M
+26.14%
YTD
-13.44%
1Y
+22.56%
Best: 6M (+26.14%)Worst: YTD (-13.44%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
59% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 20x vs ~20x sector
Health
WEAK
CR 0.9 (low) · FCF $3.18/sh
Neutral
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$2.49B
Revenue TTM$1.66B
Net Income TTM$130.00M
Free Cash Flow$296.00M
Gross Margin59.5%
Net Margin7.8%
Operating Margin12.4%
Return on Equity66.4%
Return on Assets7.3%
Debt / Equity2.44
Current Ratio0.92
EPS TTM$1.40
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Cloud ARR (Annual Recurring Revenue) growth rate and net retention metrics - signals transition momentum

Total ARR mix shift from on-premise to cloud - validates strategic transformation

Operating margin expansion despite revenue headwinds - demonstrates cost discipline and scalability

Customer wins/losses versus Snowflake, Databricks, and hyperscaler native solutions

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Enterprise software spending is somewhat defensive but discretionary analytics platform investments face scrutiny during downturns. Large enterprises (Teradata's core customer base) tend to maintain mission-critical systems but may delay migrations or optimization projects. Cloud transition creates partial insulation as subscription revenue is more predictable than perpetual licenses, but new customer acquisition and expansion deals slow in recessions. Industrial production and corporate profitability drive analytics spending as companies invest in data-driven decision-making during growth periods.

Interest Rates

Rising rates create modest headwinds through multiple compression for unprofitable/low-margin SaaS companies, though Teradata's positive FCF and profitability provide relative insulation versus pure-growth peers. Higher rates increase discount rates applied to future cash flows, pressuring valuation multiples (current EV/EBITDA 10.8x is below high-growth SaaS but reflects transition risk). Financing costs are manageable given positive FCF, but elevated Debt/Equity of 2.42x means refinancing risk exists if rates remain elevated. Customer financing decisions for large platform deals may slow as corporate cost of capital rises.

Key Risks

Secular shift to cloud-native architectures favors modern competitors (Snowflake, Databricks) with superior developer experience, elastic scaling, and consumption economics versus Teradata's legacy architecture

Hyperscaler vertical integration threat - AWS Redshift, Google BigQuery, Azure Synapse offer tightly integrated, lower-cost alternatives with native cloud services, reducing demand for third-party data warehouses

Open-source and lakehouse architectures (Apache Iceberg, Delta Lake) enable customers to build analytics platforms on commodity infrastructure, bypassing proprietary vendors

Investor Profile

value - The stock attracts value investors seeking turnaround exposure with downside protection from strong FCF generation (9.9% yield) and profitability. The 54.6% six-month return reflects re-rating as cloud transition shows progress, but negative revenue growth (-5% YoY) limits pure growth investor appeal. High ROE (66.4%) and improving margins attract quality-focused value managers. Modest valuation (EV/EBITDA 10.8x, P/S 1.9x) versus high-growth SaaS creates asymmetric risk/reward for investors betting on successful cloud transformation. Recent momentum (24.8% three-month return) brings tactical traders, but core holder base is value-oriented given transition uncertainty.

Watch on Earnings
Cloud ARR growth rate and total ARR trajectory (quarterly reported metric)Public cloud revenue as percentage of total revenue (migration progress indicator)Net revenue retention rate for cloud customers (expansion/contraction signal)Operating cash flow and free cash flow generation (transition sustainability metric)
Health Radar
4 strong2 concern
66/100
Liquidity
0.92Concern
Leverage
2.44Concern
Coverage
10.3xStrong
ROE
66.4%Strong
ROIC
16.0%Strong
Cash
$493MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE43 analysts
HOLD
+36.6%upside to target
L $27.00
Med $36.00consensus
H $40.00
Buy
1433%
Hold
2149%
Sell
819%
14 Buy (33%)21 Hold (49%)8 Sell (18%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
1 of 5 signals bullish
3/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 49 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.92 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 2, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 30, 2026
In 90 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 5.9%

-3.4% vs SMA 50 · +2.3% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI48.7
Neutral territory
MACD-0.18
Below zero — bearish pulse · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$41.78+58.6%
EMA 50
$27.04+2.6%
Current
$26.35
EMA 200
$25.53-3.1%
52W Low
$19.83-24.7%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$19.8330th %ile$41.78
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:1
Edge:+4 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.0M
Recent Vol (5D)
806K-23%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 8 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$1.8B
$1.8B$1.8B
$0.63
±1%
High6
FY2024
$1.8B
$1.7B$1.8B
-2.2%$2.32+265.3%
±1%
High8
FY2025
$1.6B
$1.6B$1.7B
-6.5%$2.40+3.7%
±1%
High7
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 8 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryTDC
Last 8Q
+22.5%avg beat
Beat 8 of 8 quarters
+2%
Q2'24
+33%
Q3'24
+23%
Q4'24
+20%
Q1'25
+16%
Q2'25
+15%
Q3'25
+36%
Q4'25
+35%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
JMP SecuritiesMarket Perform → Perform
Aug 6
DOWNGRADE
JMP SecuritiesOutperform → Market Perform
Aug 6
DOWNGRADE
Bank of America Sec…Underperform
May 7
DOWNGRADE
Morgan StanleyOverweight → Equal-Weight
Feb 13
DOWNGRADE
GuggenheimBuy
May 1
UPGRADE
NeedhamBuy
Dec 26
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Mcmillan StephenDir
$1.5M
Feb 26
SELL
Gianoni Michael PDir
$749K
Feb 24
SELL
Lynrock Lake Lp10 Percent Own…
$416K
Feb 11
SELL
Lynrock Lake Lp10 Percent Own…
$1.6M
Feb 11
SELL
Lynrock Lake Lp10 Percent Own…
$439K
Feb 11
SELL
Chou Timothy C KDir
$136K
May 22
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V.
769K
2
BI Asset Management Fondsmaeglerselskab A/S
422K
3
Marathon Asset Management Ltd
348K
4
CX Institutional
323K
5
Counterpoint Mutual Funds LLC
186K
6
NEW YORK STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM
134K
7
OPPENHEIMER ASSET MANAGEMENT INC.
121K
8
WEDGE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT L L P/NC
97K
News & Activity

TDC News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

teradata is a global leader in analytic data platforms, marketing and analytic applications, and consulting services. teradata helps organizations collect, integrate, and analyze all of their data so they can know more about their customers and business and do more of what’s really important. visit teradata.com for details.

CEO
Stephen McMillan
Stephen McMillanPresident, Chief Executive Officer & Director
Bob JoyceExecutive Vice President of Business Systems
Chad Michael BennettSenior Vice President of Investor Relations & Corporate Development
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
TDC
$26.35+0.30%$2.5B18.9-497.1%781.7%1500
$396.06+0.57%$2.1T28.7+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$91.86+2.89%$318.3B14.0+318.8%1510.7%1500
$131.91+1.13%$306.2B22.6+586.3%1305.9%1500
$187.37+1.17%$290.5B28.1+862.9%1745.9%1500
$147.85+3.44%$282.1B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$90.67+1.98%$256.7B14.5-591.0%668.4%1500
Sector avg+1.64%21.1+653.4%1869.5%1500