VIK
Next earnings: May 19, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Leaning Bearish21
Price
1
Move-1.44%Negative session
Day RangeMid-Range$77.15 — $78.96
Volume
1
Volume0.3× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 55Momentum positive
Position
1
52W RangeTop 18% of year$38.50 — $87.00
PRICE
Prev Close
79.53
Open
78.85
Day Range77.15 – 78.96
77.15
78.96
52W Range38.50 – 87.00
38.50
87.00
82% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
2.8M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
30.5x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-1.60%
5D
-0.84%
1M
+15.97%
3M
+14.22%
6M
+35.49%
YTD
+11.37%
1Y
+91.64%
Best: 1Y (+91.64%)Worst: 1D (-1.60%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +22% YoY
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 31x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 0.8 (low) · FCF $3.44/sh
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$34.77B
Revenue TTM$6.50B
Net Income TTM$1.15B
Free Cash Flow$1.53B
Gross Margin39.0%
Net Margin17.7%
Operating Margin23.1%
Return on Equity237.9%
Return on Assets9.4%
Debt / Equity5.12
Current Ratio0.79
EPS TTM$2.58
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Advance booking volumes and pricing trends for 2026-2027 sailings - forward bookings typically extend 12-24 months indicating demand strength

Fleet expansion cadence and newbuild delivery schedule - each vessel adds $80-120M annual revenue at maturity

Occupancy rates and revenue per passenger day (yield) - target 90%+ occupancy with $400-600 daily revenue per passenger

European travel demand trends - 60-70% of itineraries concentrated in European rivers and Mediterranean

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Luxury cruises represent discretionary spending by affluent retirees, highly correlated with wealth effects from equity markets and consumer confidence. During recessions, cruise bookings decline 20-40% as customers defer $5,000-15,000 vacation expenditures. However, Viking's affluent 55+ demographic (median household income $150,000+) shows more resilience than mass-market cruise customers, with stronger balance sheets and retirement savings cushioning downturns.

Interest Rates

Rising rates create dual pressure: (1) Higher financing costs on $5-7B debt used to fund newbuild vessels, with 100bps rate increase adding $50-70M annual interest expense; (2) Valuation multiple compression as high-growth consumer discretionary stocks de-rate when risk-free rates rise. Partially offset by higher yields on customer deposits ($1-2B float) held 6-18 months before sailing. Demand impact is indirect through wealth effects on target demographic's investment portfolios.

Key Risks

Demographic concentration risk - 80%+ of customers are 55+ years old, requiring continuous acquisition as customer base ages; younger cohorts show lower cruise adoption rates

Geopolitical disruption to European itineraries - 60-70% of revenue tied to European rivers and Mediterranean, vulnerable to regional conflicts, terrorism, or travel restrictions as seen during 2020-2021

Environmental regulation tightening - EU and IMF emissions standards could require costly vessel retrofits or limit access to certain ports; carbon taxes could add 5-10% to fuel costs

Investor Profile

growth - Investors attracted to 10-15% annual capacity growth from fleet expansion, operating leverage story as new vessels mature to 90%+ occupancy, and exposure to premiumization trend in travel. Recent 53% one-year return and 108% earnings growth attracts momentum investors. However, 5.8x Price/Sales and 23.5x EV/EBITDA multiples require sustained execution on yield management and occupancy targets. Not a dividend story (capital allocated to fleet growth) and too volatile for income investors.

Watch on Earnings
Brent crude oil price (marine gas oil proxy) - 8-12% of operating costs with 3-6 month lag to P&L impactEuro/USD exchange rate - 50-60% of costs in EUR while revenue primarily USD-denominated creates FX translation exposureS&P 500 and equity market performance - wealth effect drives discretionary cruise spending by affluent retirees with equity-heavy portfoliosEuropean tourism arrivals and travel sentiment - leading indicator for river cruise demand in core markets
Health Radar
3 strong1 watch2 concern
56/100
Liquidity
0.79Concern
Leverage
5.12Concern
Coverage
4.1xWatch
ROE
237.9%Strong
ROIC
21.3%Strong
Cash
$3.8BStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE13 analysts
BUY
+0.1%upside to target
65/100 conviction
L $59.00
Med $78.50consensus
H $95.00
Buy
969%
Hold
323%
Sell
18%
9 Buy (69%)3 Hold (23%)1 Sell (8%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 55 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowLean Accumulation
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.79 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportApr 30, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 28, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 3, 2026
In 96 days
Technicals
Technical SignalsBULLISH
Technicals →
6 Buy0 Sell1 Neutral7 signals
SellNeutralBuy
IndicatorValueSignalStrength
RSI (14)54.8NEUTRAL
10%
SMA 50↑ SUPP$73.25BULLISH
68%
SMA 200↑ SUPP$64.31BULLISH
100%
EMA 50$72.32BULLISH
71%
EMA 200$13.53BULLISH
100%
MA Trend50D > 200DGOLDEN X
92%
MACD+0.49BULLISH
52%
Key Levels
Resistance
None above
Support
SMA 50$73.257.0%
SMA 200$64.3121.9%
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$87.00+11.0%
Current
$78.39
EMA 50
$72.32-7.7%
52W Low
$38.50-50.9%
EMA 200
$13.53-82.7%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$38.5082th %ile$87.00
RSI (14)54.8

Momentum neutral-to-bullish

Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:4
Dist days:1
Edge:+3 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)3.4M
Recent Vol (5D)
2.8M-18%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 10 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$5.3B
$5.3B$5.3B
$1.45
±10%
High7
FY2025
$6.4B
$6.4B$6.4B
+20.1%$2.49+71.8%
±1%
High10
FY2026(current)
$7.4B
$7.3B$7.4B
+15.2%$3.33+33.7%
±2%
High9
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryVIK
Last 8Q
+22.1%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates rising
+93%
Q2'24
+14%
Q3'24
+5%
Q4'24
+23%
Q1'25
+18%
Q2'25
-1%
Q3'25
Q4'25
+23%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
JefferiesHold → Buy
Dec 15
UPGRADE
Goldman SachsNeutral → Buy
Dec 9
UPGRADE
Morgan StanleyEqual-Weight → Overweight
Nov 12
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/3 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $6.0M sold · 30d window
Dash JeffreyEVP, Business …
$3.7M
Apr 14
SELL
Dash JeffreyEVP, Business …
$2.3M
Apr 8
SELL
Dash JeffreyEVP, Business …
$1.9M
Mar 25
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Stephens Investment Management Group LLC
953K
2
CONGRESS ASSET MANAGEMENT CO /MA
847K
3
SG Americas Securities, LLC
451K
4
Hodges Capital Management Inc.
208K
5
Westend Capital Management, LLC
141K
6
WEALTH ENHANCEMENT ADVISORY SERVICES, LLC
91K
7
Fruth Investment Management
65K
8
OLD SECOND NATIONAL BANK OF AURORA
52K
News & Activity

VIK News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

No description available.

Jeff DashExecutive Vice President & Head of Business Development
Karine HagenExecutive Vice President of Product & Director
Milton HughExecutive Vice President of Sales
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
VIK
$78.39-1.60%$35.3B30.8+2188.9%1765.1%1500
$394.00-3.12%$2.0T29.8+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$89.73+0.00%$311.7B1500
$130.66-1.28%$303.7B+586.3%1500
$184.43-0.96%$289.4B1500
$143.22+0.00%$280.9B+597.3%1500
$191.67+0.42%$251.5B11.0+652.3%992.0%1500
Sector avg-0.93%23.8+1464.3%2422.4%1500