State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF
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The REIT sector returned to positive territory in November (+1.02%) after back-to-back months in the red. Mid caps (+3.53%) led the REIT sector in November followed by small caps (+3.38%) and large caps (+0.32%); micro caps (-8.76%) badly underperformed. 68.15% of REIT securities had a positive total return in November.
State Street Investment Management (SSIM) has been the investment advisor for the Select Sector SPDR ETFs since 1998. It will now take over the distribution and marketing for these funds.
Otis Worldwide Corp and Build-A-Bear Workshop offer attractive long-term dividend growth opportunities amid recent market pullbacks. OTIS remains fundamentally strong, with raised EPS guidance, aggressive share buybacks, and expectations for double-digit growth as economic headwinds dissipate. BBW impresses with robust year-over-year earnings growth, a debt-free balance sheet, ongoing share repurchases, and strategic expansion, supporting future dividend growth.
VNQ is a stable choice for income-oriented retirees. SCHH is a good choice for investors who only want to invest in property REITs.
REITs are poised for a strong comeback. Recent headwinds are now turning into tailwinds. Even then, high-quality REITs remain heavily discounted.
Matt Camuso, Head of ETF Solutions at BNY Investments, says there are $13 trillion of assets in ETFs. That's compared to $5 trillion a year prior.
The stock market is historically expensive. Even as a recession is more and more plausible in the near future. Fortunately, many defensive dividend payers remain opportunistic.
VICI Properties Inc. offers an attractive entry point for income investors, trading below sector multiples with strong AFFO growth and a well-covered forward 5.81% yield. VICI's robust balance sheet, rising dividend, and potential upside as rates decline make it a compelling long-term hold despite recent volatility. Ares Capital trades below NAV, offering a double-digit yield and size advantages, though a near-term dividend cut by ARCC is likely amid falling rates.
After a strong August, REITs faded slightly in September (-0.73%), pulling the REIT sector's year-to-date average total return down to (-1.74%). Mid-cap REITs (-0.92%) averaged the lowest total return in September. Large caps (-0.29%), micro caps (-0.79%), and small caps (-0.83%) averaged modestly smaller declines. Only 37.4% of REIT securities had a positive total return in September.
Essential Properties Realty Trust and NNN REIT present attractive long-term buying opportunities due to strong fundamentals and resilient income profiles. EPRT boasts high occupancy (99.6%), low leverage, and a 4% yield, with double-digit upside potential if it returns to historical multiples by 2027. NNN offers a 36-year dividend growth streak, a 5%+ yield, and solid liquidity, despite recent occupancy dips and tenant headwinds.
Public REITs remain a compelling portfolio diversifier, offering inflation protection, steady dividends, and downside risk mitigation amid a crowded investment landscape. REITs are currently undervalued, with double-digit total returns possible, supported by a 4% dividend yield and 4-6% annual growth. Despite recent outflows and competition from alternatives, a 10-20% allocation to real estate - mixing public and private - is still recommended for balanced portfolios.
Fed's strong signal of imminent rate cuts is reigniting enthusiasm for commercial real estate, driving REITs and XLRE higher. XLRE stands out for its focus on high-quality, large-cap REITs and real estate firms, offering diversification and a 3.3% yield. The fund has outperformed peers by avoiding riskier mortgage REITs and emphasizing balance sheet strength and industry leadership.
REITs are poised to outperform in the coming years as interest rates are expected to decline, reversing recent underperformance. NNN REIT offers an attractive entry point with a strong yield, conservative payout, and potential price appreciation as headwinds subside. Alexandria Real Estate Equities is fundamentally sound despite recent price drops, offering a high yield and significant upside if rates fall.
After a strong June (+2.56%), the REIT sector recovery stalled in July (-1.17%) as REITs fell to a -6.42% year-to-date return. Micro cap REITs (-0.20%) outperformed in July while mid caps (-1.18%), small caps (-1.33%) and large caps (-1.55%) averaged slightly deeper negative returns. 60.65% of REIT securities had a negative total return in July.
The BDC sector faces mounting risks from a weakening economy, high consumer debt, and the potential for further dividend cuts as interest rates decline. Recent dividend cuts by several BDCs highlight the sector's vulnerability, despite some names maintaining resilience and attractive valuations. Spillover income offers only limited protection; tight dividend coverage and rising non-accruals signal caution for income-focused investors.
A surprising solid REIT earnings season wrapped up this week. Of the 100 equity REITs that provide full-year FFO guidance, 62% raised their outlook - above the historical 55% average. Disinflation was a surprisingly common thread across second-quarter results, with the majority of the upside revisions being driven by improved expense expectations - the highest quantity of expense reductions ever. Healthcare REITs were notable upside standouts as senior housing fundamentals remained stellar, while skilled nursing REITs received some good news on the policy front via healthy CMS Medicare rate increases.
With inflation sticky and rate cuts unlikely in 2024, investors should consider repositioning into high-yield stocks to offset volatility. Ares Capital (ARCC) and Blackstone Secured Lending (BXSL) offer strong fundamentals, high yields, and benefit from higher-for-longer interest rates. Verizon (VZ) and Realty Income (O) provide attractive yields and blue-chip stability, despite near-term headwinds from elevated rates.
REITs had another month of recovery in June (+2.56% average total return), but despite back-to-back gains remain in negative territory YTD (-5.65%). Micro cap REITs (+7.19%) outperformed for the first time this year in June, while small caps (+2.99%), mid caps (+1.80%) and large caps (+0.03%) saw smaller gains. 63.87% of REIT securities had a positive total return in June.
Today's market reminds us of 1999 in many ways. REITs were hated. Tech was loved. But afterward, REITs strongly outperformed. Here's why it could happen again.
Shares of several New York-based banks and real estate investment trusts fell on Wednesday as Zohran Mamdani's lead in New York City's Democratic mayoral primary stoked concerns that his proposed rent freeze could pressure building owners.