4006.SR(4006.SR)

$12.94—

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4006.SR(4006.SR)

$12.94—

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4006.SR(4006.SR)

4006.SR

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7/17/26

SAUDI MARKETING (4006.SR)

Friday

11:28 AM

Thesis: The decline in foot traffic and rising competition from e-commerce platforms are raising concerns about future revenue growth.

Revenue Outlook

Metric	FY2025	FY2026E	FY2027E
Revenue	$1.8B	$1.7B	$1.8B
Rev. Growth	-3.0%	-1.9%	+3.2%
EPS	$0.55	$0.53	$0.60
EPS Growth	-3.5%	-3.6%	+13.2%
P/E (fwd)	23.5×	24.4×	21.6×

★ Analysts see FY2027 revenue reaching $1.8B — +3.2% growth in a single year.

What Could Go Wrong

1Recent reports indicate a 15% decline in foot traffic year-over-year, suggesting a potential shift in consumer behavior towards online shopping.
2Inventory turnover has decreased to 4.5 times from 5.0 times, indicating potential overstock issues that could pressure margins.
3Shift towards e-commerce may reduce foot traffic in physical stores
4Regulatory changes affecting import tariffs on consumer goods
5Intensifying competition from online retailers and discount stores
6Potential market entry of international retail chains
7High debt-to-equity ratio (1.99) raises concerns about financial leverage and liquidity
8Low net margin (1.4%) limits financial flexibility

FY2025 Snapshot

Revenue: $1.8B
Rev. Growth: -3.0%
Gross Margin: 33.7%
Op. Margin: 7.1%
Net Margin: 1.4%
Net Income: $25M
NI Growth: -3.0%
EPS: $0.55
1Y Return: -26.6%

4006.SR Chart

My Notes

"Management noted, 'We are facing unprecedented challenges in maintaining our customer base amidst a rapidly changing retail landscape.'"
Moat: The company's established brand and local market knowledge provide a moderate competitive advantage.
Watch: The rapid growth of online retail poses a significant threat to traditional department stores.
value - Investors may seek undervalued opportunities given the low Price/Sales ratio of 0.3x.
Interest rates affect consumer borrowing costs and disposable income, impacting retail sales.
Watch on earnings: Consumer Sentiment (UMCSENT), Retail Sales (ex Auto) (RSXFS), Brent Crude Oil Price (DCOILBRENTEU).

One Sentence Summary:

The bear case: recent reports indicate a 15% decline in foot traffic year-over-year, suggesting a potential shift in consumer behavior towards online shopping.

Auto-composed from Stock Alarm intelligence, financial statements, and analyst estimates. Not investment advice.

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Metric

FY2025

FY2026E

FY2027E

P/E (fwd)

23.5×

24.4×

21.6×

What Could Go Wrong

1Recent reports indicate a 15% decline in foot traffic year-over-year, suggesting a potential shift in consumer behavior towards online shopping.

2Inventory turnover has decreased to 4.5 times from 5.0 times, indicating potential overstock issues that could pressure margins.

3Shift towards e-commerce may reduce foot traffic in physical stores

4Regulatory changes affecting import tariffs on consumer goods

5Intensifying competition from online retailers and discount stores

6Potential market entry of international retail chains

7High debt-to-equity ratio (1.99) raises concerns about financial leverage and liquidity

8Low net margin (1.4%) limits financial flexibility

My Notes

"Management noted, 'We are facing unprecedented challenges in maintaining our customer base amidst a rapidly changing retail landscape.'"

Moat: The company's established brand and local market knowledge provide a moderate competitive advantage.

Watch: The rapid growth of online retail poses a significant threat to traditional department stores.

value - Investors may seek undervalued opportunities given the low Price/Sales ratio of 0.3x.

Interest rates affect consumer borrowing costs and disposable income, impacting retail sales.

Watch on earnings: Consumer Sentiment (UMCSENT), Retail Sales (ex Auto) (RSXFS), Brent Crude Oil Price (DCOILBRENTEU).