Advance Auto Parts, Inc.AAPNYSE

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Overview Charts News Fundamentals Key Metrics TTM Financials Earnings Growth Rating Analysts Institutional Peers Historical

Analyst Sentiment

Analysts are neutral — opinion is divided on direction.

Consensus Rating

Hold

21 analysts·High coverage

10%

Rating Distribution

Strong Buy

00%

Buy

210%

Hold

1676%

Sell

314%

Strong Sell

00%

Analyst ratings reflect Wall Street opinion, not guarantees. Historical accuracy varies by firm and sector.

Price Target Expectations

Analysts see modest upside — consensus target 5% higher.

Bear Case

$40.00

-17%

Consensus

$50.50

+5%

Bull Case

$60.00

+25%

Price Range21 analysts

Low

Consensus

High

$40.00

$60.00

Current Target

Current Price

$48.01

Upside to Target

$2.49

Price targets are 12-month forecasts. Actual results depend on earnings, market conditions, and sector trends.

Earnings & Revenue Estimates

2026E$2.71(16 analysts)

Actual

Estimate

Range (Low–High)

Stock Alarm Pro

Forward Growth Estimates (YoY)

FY2027

Rev+2.58%

EPS+52.48%

FY2028

Rev+3.40%

EPS+30.87%

FY2029

Rev+4.29%

EPS+11.41%

Earnings Surprises

Beat rate:42%(5/12 quarters)

Avg surprise:-47.5%

Beat

Miss

Inline

Estimate

Based on reported EPS vs consensus estimate.

Recent Analyst Actions

Jan 21, 2026Northcoast Research

Advance Auto Parts upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Northcoast

Target:$55.00

+25.3%from $43.88

Jan 15, 2026Morgan Stanley

Advance Auto Parts price target lowered to $45 from $55 at Morgan Stanley

Target:$45.00

+4.9%from $42.88

Jan 12, 2026D.A. Davidson

Advance Auto Parts (AAP) PT Lowered to $47 at DA Davidson: Estimates Below Plan

Target:$47.00

+7.0%from $43.95

Dec 17, 2025Truist Financial

Advance Auto Parts price target lowered to $48 from $59 at Truist

Target:$48.00

+10.6%from $43.40

Dec 16, 2025Evercore ISI

Advance Auto Parts price target lowered to $56 from $58 at Evercore ISI

Target:$56.00

+29.0%from $43.41

Dec 9, 2025Evercore ISI

Advance Auto Parts price target lowered to $58 from $60 at Evercore ISI

Target:$58.00

+13.5%from $51.08

Oct 31, 2025D.A. Davidson

Advance Auto Parts price target lowered to $55 from $63 at DA Davidson

Target:$55.00

+15.4%from $47.64

Oct 31, 2025BMO Capital

Advance Auto Parts (AAP) PT Raised to $55 at BMO Capital

Target:$55.00

+8.5%from $50.70

Oct 30, 2025UBS

Advance Auto Parts price target raised to $40 from $34 at BofA

Target:$40.00

-21.1%from $50.70

Oct 27, 2025Roth Capital

Advance Auto Parts price target raised to $55 from $50 at Roth Capital

Target:$55.00

-1.3%from $55.70

Oct 20, 2025Truist Financial

Advance Auto Parts price target lowered to $50 from $53 at Truist

Target:$50.00

-6.9%from $53.72

Aug 29, 2025Mizuho Securities

Advance Auto Parts price target raised to $54 from $44 at Mizuho

Target:$54.00

-11.5%from $60.99

Aug 14, 2025Citigroup

Advance Auto Parts Gears Up For Q2 Print; Here Are The Recent Forecast Changes From Wall Street's Most Accurate Analysts

Target:$60.00

-2.9%from $61.81

Aug 14, 2025Goldman Sachs

Advance Auto Parts Gears Up For Q2 Print; Here Are The Recent Forecast Changes From Wall Street's Most Accurate Analysts

Target:$46.00

-25.6%from $61.81

Aug 14, 2025D.A. Davidson

Advance Auto Parts Gears Up For Q2 Print; Here Are The Recent Forecast Changes From Wall Street's Most Accurate Analysts

Target:$65.00

+5.2%from $61.81

Aug 14, 2025Wells Fargo

Advance Auto Parts Gears Up For Q2 Print; Here Are The Recent Forecast Changes From Wall Street's Most Accurate Analysts

Target:$45.00

-27.2%from $61.81

Aug 12, 2025UBS

Advance Auto Parts price target raised to $65 from $50 at UBS

Target:$65.00

+7.9%from $60.23

May 28, 2025Roth Capital

Advance Auto Parts price target raised to $50 from $40 at Roth Capital

Target:$50.00

-5.1%from $52.71

May 19, 2025Wells Fargo

Advance Auto Parts price target lowered to $35 from $40 at Wells Fargo

Target:$35.00

+1.8%from $34.38

Nov 15, 2024Truist Financial

Advance Auto Parts (AAP) PT Lowered to $39 at Truist Securities

Target:$39.00

+0.7%from $38.71

Sep 12, 2024Mizuho Securities

Advance Auto Parts (AAP) PT Lowered to $38 at Mizuho

Target:$38.00

-2.9%from $39.12

Aug 26, 2024Mizuho Securities

Advance Auto Parts (AAP) PT Lowered to $45 at Mizuho

Target:$45.00

-9.3%from $49.64

Aug 23, 2024J.P. Morgan

Advance Auto Parts Faces Profitability Pressure Despite Turnaround Efforts, Says JP Morgan Analyst

Target:$43.00

-12.5%from $49.15

Aug 23, 2024Jefferies

Advance Auto Parts (AAP) PT Lowered to $85 at Jefferies

Target:$85.00

+71.3%from $49.63

Aug 22, 2024J.P. Morgan

Advance Auto Parts Earnings Are Imminent; Here Are The Recent Forecast Changes From Wall Street's Most Accurate Analysts

Target:$55.00

-11.2%from $61.92

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