AUPH
Earnings in 12 days · May 11, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Leaning Bearish22
Price
2
Move-4.74%Selling pressure
Day RangeNear Low$15.28 — $15.91
Volume
1
Volume1.1× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 65Momentum positive
Position
1
52W RangeTop 17% of year$7.29 — $16.88
PRICE
Prev Close
16.04
Open
15.74
Day Range15.28 – 15.91
15.28
15.91
52W Range7.29 – 16.88
7.29
16.88
83% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.1M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
7.4x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.40
Market-like
Performance
1D
-2.02%
5D
-3.02%
1M
+12.40%
3M
+10.09%
6M
+27.00%
YTD
+0.56%
1Y
+100.50%
Best: 1Y (+100.50%)Worst: 5D (-3.02%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +20% YoY · 88% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 7x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 5.2 · FCF $1.00/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$2.13B
Revenue TTM$283.06M
Net Income TTM$287.20M
Free Cash Flow$134.31M
Gross Margin88.5%
Net Margin101.5%
Operating Margin37.1%
Return on Equity70.4%
Return on Assets38.2%
Debt / Equity0.13
Current Ratio5.25
EPS TTM$2.14
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Quarterly LUPKYNIS net product revenue vs consensus estimates and sequential growth trajectory

New prescriber additions and total active prescribing physicians metrics

Clinical trial readouts for label expansion opportunities (other autoimmune indications beyond lupus nephritis)

Regulatory approvals in new geographies or expanded indications

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Specialty pharmaceuticals for serious autoimmune diseases exhibit minimal GDP sensitivity as treatment decisions are medically driven rather than discretionary. Lupus nephritis patients require therapy regardless of economic conditions, and insurance coverage (primarily Medicare/Medicaid and commercial plans) insulates demand from consumer spending cycles. However, severe recessions could pressure payer reimbursement rates or prior authorization requirements.

Interest Rates

Rising rates create modest headwinds through higher discount rates applied to future cash flows in DCF valuations, particularly impactful for growth-stage biopharma with profitability inflection points. The company's $360M cash position (implied by 5.76x current ratio and minimal debt) generates higher interest income in rising rate environments, partially offsetting valuation compression. Financing costs are minimal given 0.21 debt/equity ratio.

Key Risks

Patent cliff risk as LUPKYNIS composition of matter and method-of-use patents expire (estimated 2027-2032 depending on jurisdiction), exposing to generic competition in a relatively small market

Payer reimbursement pressure as health systems scrutinize specialty drug costs, with potential for restrictive prior authorization requirements or step therapy protocols favoring cheaper immunosuppressants

Single-product dependency creates binary risk profile until pipeline diversification or label expansion materializes

Investor Profile

growth - The 79% one-year return and 34% revenue growth attract growth investors focused on commercial-stage biopharma with inflection to profitability. The recent achievement of positive net margins (2.4%) and operating margins near breakeven (-2%) appeals to investors seeking de-risked growth stories with visible paths to sustained profitability. Momentum investors have driven recent performance, though 7.7% three-month decline suggests profit-taking after strong run.

Watch on Earnings
Quarterly LUPKYNIS prescription volume trends from IQVIA or Symphony Health dataMedicare Part D coverage decisions and prior authorization approval ratesLupus nephritis diagnosis rates and epidemiology trends in key marketsFederal Funds Rate and 10-Year Treasury yield (impact on biotech valuation multiples)
Health Radar
5 strong1 watch
81/100
Liquidity
5.25Strong
Leverage
0.13Strong
Coverage
12.1xStrong
ROE
70.4%Strong
ROIC
15.5%Strong
Cash
$80MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE12 analysts
BUY
+1.4%upside to target
73/100 conviction
L $15.00
Med $15.50consensus
H $16.00
Buy
1192%
Hold
18%
11 Buy (92%)1 Hold (8%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
5 of 5 signals bullish
10/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 65 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 5.25 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenApr 30, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 28, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 21, 2026
In 114 days
Technicals
Technical SignalsBULLISH
Technicals →
6 Buy0 Sell1 Neutral7 signals
SellNeutralBuy
IndicatorValueSignalStrength
RSI (14)65.1NEUTRAL
30%
SMA 50↑ SUPP$14.61BULLISH
61%
SMA 200↑ SUPP$10.22BULLISH
100%
EMA 50$14.71BULLISH
60%
EMA 200$10.22BULLISH
100%
MA Trend50D > 200DGOLDEN X
100%
MACD+0.12BULLISH
51%
Key Levels
Resistance
None above
Support
SMA 50$14.614.6%
SMA 200$10.2249.5%
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$16.88+10.5%
Current
$15.28
EMA 50
$14.71-3.8%
EMA 200
$10.22-33.1%
52W Low
$7.29-52.3%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$7.2983th %ile$16.88
RSI (14)65.1

Momentum neutral-to-bullish

Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:5
Edge:Even
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.6M
Recent Vol (5D)
2.4M+53%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 5 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$280.6M
$279.9M$281.9M
$0.78
±4%
High5
FY2026(current)
$326.2M
$318.6M$339.7M
+16.2%$0.81+4.1%
±19%
High5
FY2027
$383.5M
$366.2M$412.6M
+17.6%$1.06+30.1%
±37%
High5
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryAUPH
Last 8Q
+128.8%avg beat
Beat 7 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates rising
+82%
Q2'24
+20%
Q3'24
+567%
Q4'24
+200%
Q1'25
+100%
Q2'25
-6%
Q3'25
+44%
Q4'25
+24%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Leerink PartnersMarket Perform
Dec 3
DOWNGRADE
RBC CapitalOutperform → Sector Perform
Nov 4
DOWNGRADE
OppenheimerOutperform
Dec 10
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
6 Buys/0 SellsNet Buying
Tang KevinDir
$2.6M
Mar 3
BUY
Tang KevinDir
$1.6M
Mar 2
BUY
Tang KevinDir
$1.2M
Mar 2
BUY
Tang KevinDir
$23K
Feb 27
BUY
Tang KevinDir
$3.0M
Feb 27
BUY
Tang KevinDir
$4.2M
Feb 27
BUY
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
IFP Advisors, Inc
328K
2
RITHOLTZ WEALTH MANAGEMENT
314K
3
CWA Asset Management Group, LLC
186K
4
SG Americas Securities, LLC
181K
5
COMMONWEALTH EQUITY SERVICES, LLC
87K
6
Y-Intercept (Hong Kong) Ltd
71K
7
SIERRA SUMMIT ADVISORS LLC
61K
8
STRS OHIO
57K
News & Activity

AUPH News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

aurinia pharmaceuticals is a biotechnology company located in 5120-75 street, edmonton, canada.

Industry
Research and Development in Biotechnology (except Nanobiotechnology)
CEO
Peter Greenleaf
Country
Canada
Kevin C. TangChairman & CEO
Stephen RobertsonExecutive Vice President, General Counsel, Corporate Secretary & Chief Compliance Officer
Lucy ShiehVice President of Human Resources & Operations
PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
AUPH
$15.28-2.02%$2.1B7.5+2038.1%10146.5%1500
$70.94-6.45%$13.5B+12626.1%-14525.8%1500
$518.58-0.65%$11.9B+43205.3%-3008.0%1500
$186.40-1.23%$11.0B31.5+1871.5%680.1%1500
$83.41-6.11%$10.9B+3288.2%-4239.0%1500
$70.53-4.71%$9.8B48.6+2325815.3%-19.7%1500
$183.95-1.28%$9.5B+6554.5%-2868.8%1500
Sector avg-3.21%29.2+342199.9%-1976.4%1500