BAX
Next earnings: Jul 30, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+2.05%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume0.5× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 54Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
17.53
Open
17.65
Day Range17.50 – 18.05
17.50
18.05
52W Range15.73 – 32.04
15.73
32.04
13% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
9.1M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-9.4x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.02%
Beta
0.55
Low vol
Performance
1D
-2.56%
5D
+3.18%
1M
+2.22%
3M
-21.32%
6M
-3.95%
YTD
-8.27%
1Y
-45.01%
Best: 5D (+3.18%)Worst: 1Y (-45.01%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +5% YoY
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.9 · FCF $1.39/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$9.24B
Revenue TTM$11.32B
Net Income TTM-$1.10B
Free Cash Flow$714.00M
Gross Margin30.1%
Net Margin-9.7%
Operating Margin-2.7%
Return on Equity-16.4%
Return on Assets-5.5%
Debt / Equity1.60
Current Ratio1.85
EPS TTM$-2.13
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Hospital procedure volumes and elective surgery trends (drives IV solution and anesthesia demand)

New product launches and FDA approvals, particularly smart pump upgrades and biosurgery innovations

Manufacturing disruptions or quality issues (Hurricane Maria 2017 caused $1B+ revenue loss from Puerto Rico IV facility)

Reimbursement rate changes from CMS and commercial payers affecting hospital purchasing budgets

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Hospital admissions and elective procedures correlate with employment levels and insurance coverage rates, creating 0.5-0.7x GDP beta. However, critical care products (IV solutions, dialysis) are non-discretionary. Capital equipment purchases by hospitals are more cyclical, deferrable during recessions. International markets (40% revenue) show higher GDP sensitivity, particularly in emerging markets where out-of-pocket healthcare spending dominates.

Interest Rates

Rising rates create dual pressure: (1) Hospital systems delay capital equipment purchases when borrowing costs increase, extending sales cycles 3-6 months; (2) Baxter's $6.8B debt load ($1.34 D/E ratio) increases interest expense, though 70% is fixed-rate. Higher rates compress MedTech valuation multiples as investors rotate from growth to value. Each 100bps rate increase adds ~$20M annual interest expense on floating debt.

Key Risks

Biosimilar and generic competition eroding pricing power in injectable pharmaceuticals segment, with 3-5% annual price erosion on mature products

Hospital consolidation creating larger GPO buying groups with 15-20% greater negotiating leverage, compressing margins 50-100bps annually

Regulatory risk from FDA manufacturing inspections and consent decrees; single facility shutdowns can eliminate 10-15% of production capacity

Investor Profile

value - Stock trades at 28.9x P/S (distorted by spin-off accounting) but normalized EV/EBITDA of 16x represents 20-25% discount to MedTech peers. Attracts deep value investors betting on post-separation margin recovery and turnaround specialists focused on manufacturing optimization. Dividend yield historically 2-3% appeals to income investors, though payout suspended during restructuring. Not a growth story given mature markets and generic competition.

Watch on Earnings
Hospital admissions and surgical procedure volumes (AHA data, CMS statistics)PVC resin and polyethylene pricing (key raw materials for IV bags, representing 8-10% of COGS)FDA warning letters and manufacturing compliance issues at key facilitiesCapital equipment order backlog and conversion rates (leading indicator for recurring revenue)
Health Radar
3 watch3 concern
24/100
Liquidity
1.85Watch
Leverage
1.60Watch
Coverage
-1.1xConcern
ROE
-16.4%Concern
ROIC
-1.8%Concern
Cash
$2.0BWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE30 analysts
HOLD
+9.0%upside to target
L $15.00
Med $19.50consensus
H $27.00
Buy
1447%
Hold
1550%
Sell
13%
14 Buy (47%)15 Hold (50%)1 Sell (3%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
9/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 54 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowLean Accumulation
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.85 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 13, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 7, 2026
In 87 days
PDividend PaymentSep 9, 2026
In 120 days
Technicals
Technical SetupMIXED
Technicals →

Trend

RallyDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 14.2%

+2.2% vs SMA 50 · -12.3% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI53.9
Neutral territory
MACD-0.02
Below zero — bearish pulse · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$32.04+79.1%
EMA 200
$21.13+18.1%
EMA 50
$17.91+0.1%
Current
$17.89
52W Low
$15.73-12.1%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$15.7313th %ile$32.04
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:3
Edge:+1 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)9.2M
Recent Vol (5D)
7.1M-23%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 12 analysts
Analyst revisions:Revenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$15.0B
$14.9B$15.2B
-$0.31
±1%
High5
FY2024
$10.6B
$10.5B$10.6B
-29.6%$1.84
±1%
High9
FY2025
$11.1B
$11.0B$11.2B
+5.0%$2.37+28.7%
±1%
High12
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryBAX
Last 8Q
+5.2%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates falling
+3%
Q3'24
+3%
Q4'24
+10%
Q1'25
+14%
Q2'25
-2%
Q3'25
+15%
Q4'25
-17%
Q1'26
+16%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Goldman SachsNeutral
Jul 31
DOWNGRADE
Morgan StanleyEqual-Weight → Underweight
Jul 15
DOWNGRADE
Cowen & Co.Sector Weight → Hold
May 10
DOWNGRADE
Financials
Dividends2.01% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield2.01%
Quarterly Div.$0.0100
Est. Annual / Share$0.04
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
PZENA INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC
64.5M
2
GREENHAVEN ASSOCIATES INC
14.3M
3
EQUITY INVESTMENT CORP
6.4M
4
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
5.9M
5
UBS Group AG
4.3M
6
LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT
4.1M
7
Russell Investments Group, Ltd.
3.4M
8
RWC Asset Management LLP
3.1M
News & Activity

BAX News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

baxter provides a broad portfolio of essential renal and hospital products, including home, acute and in-center dialysis; sterile iv solutions; infusion systems and devices; parenteral nutrition; biosurgery products and anesthetics; and pharmacy automation, software and services. the company’s global footprint and the critical nature of its products and services play a key role in expanding access to healthcare in emerging and developed countries. baxter’s employees worldwide are building upon the company’s rich heritage of medical breakthroughs to advance the next generation of healthcare innovations that enable patient care.

Industry
Surgical and Medical Instrument Manufacturing
CEO
Jose Almeida
Charles Rusty PatelSenior Vice President & Chief Information Officer
David S. RosenbloomExecutive Vice President & General Counsel
James TeaffPresident of Care & Connectivity Solutions
PeersHealthcare(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
BAX
$17.89-2.56%$9.1B+571.6%-851.1%1504
$989.87+1.96%$910.7B34.2+4470.5%3166.4%1501
$224.26+0.05%$533.0B25.7+604.8%2845.6%1514
$207.94-0.57%$358.7B98.8+856.7%691.0%1493
$396.39+1.17%$349.1B29.0+1181.4%269.4%1527
$112.37-0.82%$274.9B30.8+118.1%2811.5%1517
$336.29-0.64%$177.9B22.8+992.4%2098.7%1502
Sector avg-0.20%40.2+1256.5%1575.9%1508