Conifex Timber Inc.(CFXTF)

$0.09—Earnings · Aug 14

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Conifex Timber Inc.(CFXTF)

OTCMARKET

$0.09—Earnings · Aug 14

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CFXTF(CFXTF)

CFXTF

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8/6/26

CONIFEX TIMBER (CFXTF)

Thursday

4:39 AM

Thesis: Recent improvements in lumber prices and potential regulatory changes could enhance profitability, while efforts to reduce debt are expected to stabilize the balance sheet.

Revenue Outlook

Metric	FY2025	FY2026E	FY2027E
Revenue	$143M	$127M	$113M
Rev. Growth	+11.7%	-11.1%	-11.1%
EPS	$-0.88	$-0.64	$-0.18
EPS Growth	-20.5%	+27.1%	+72.2%
P/E	—	—	—

★ Analysts see FY2027 revenue reaching $113M — -11.1% growth in a single year.

What’s Driving the Stock

1Recent increases in softwood lumber prices have improved margins, with a 15% increase YoY in Q2 2026.
2Potential regulatory changes in British Columbia could limit logging permits, tightening supply and increasing prices.
3The company's ongoing efforts to reduce debt could improve its financial stability, with a target to lower Debt/Equity to below 2.0 by year-end 2026.
4Increased demand for housing in North America, driven by low unemployment and rising consumer sentiment, could lead to higher sales volumes.
5Sustainable forestry practices gaining traction
6Increased demand for residential construction due to demographic trends
7Lumber price fluctuations, particularly the price of softwood lumber
8Changes in housing starts in North America, impacting demand for lumber

FY2025 Snapshot

Revenue: $143M
Rev. Growth: +11.7%
Gross Margin: 11.1%
Op. Margin: -26.4%
Net Margin: -25.0%
Net Income: $-36M
NI Growth: -19.7%
EPS: $-0.88
1Y Return: -62.9%

CFXTF Chart

My Notes

"Management noted, 'We are optimistic about the upcoming quarters as we see demand strengthening and prices stabilizing.'"
Moat: Conifex's competitive advantage lies in its access to timber resources in British Columbia, although this is challenged by high debt levels.
value - Investors may be attracted by the low price-to-book ratio, but the high debt levels and negative margins present significant risks.
Higher interest rates can dampen housing demand, negatively affecting lumber prices and sales.
Watch on earnings: Lumber futures prices (LBUSD), Housing starts (HOUST), Debt-to-equity ratio.

One Sentence Summary:

The bull case is simple: analysts see revenue climbing from $127M to $113M as recent increases in softwood lumber prices have improved margins, with a 15% increase yoy in q2 2026.

Auto-composed from Stock Alarm intelligence, financial statements, and analyst estimates. Not investment advice.

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FY2025

FY2026E

FY2027E

P/E

—

What’s Driving the Stock

1Recent increases in softwood lumber prices have improved margins, with a 15% increase YoY in Q2 2026.

2Potential regulatory changes in British Columbia could limit logging permits, tightening supply and increasing prices.

3The company's ongoing efforts to reduce debt could improve its financial stability, with a target to lower Debt/Equity to below 2.0 by year-end 2026.

4Increased demand for housing in North America, driven by low unemployment and rising consumer sentiment, could lead to higher sales volumes.

5Sustainable forestry practices gaining traction

6Increased demand for residential construction due to demographic trends

7Lumber price fluctuations, particularly the price of softwood lumber

8Changes in housing starts in North America, impacting demand for lumber

My Notes

"Management noted, 'We are optimistic about the upcoming quarters as we see demand strengthening and prices stabilizing.'"

Moat: Conifex's competitive advantage lies in its access to timber resources in British Columbia, although this is challenged by high debt levels.

value - Investors may be attracted by the low price-to-book ratio, but the high debt levels and negative margins present significant risks.

Higher interest rates can dampen housing demand, negatively affecting lumber prices and sales.

Watch on earnings: Lumber futures prices (LBUSD), Housing starts (HOUST), Debt-to-equity ratio.