CMI
Next earnings: Aug 4, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Leaning Bullish1
Price
1
Move+0.27%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.8× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 62Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
702.66
Open
696.58
Day Range688.00 – 707.00
688.00
707.00
52W Range307.90 – 718.08
307.90
718.08
97% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
860.3K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
36.6x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.02%
Beta
0.82
Market-like
Performance
1D
-0.49%
5D
-1.73%
1M
+10.29%
3M
+13.47%
6M
+42.76%
YTD
+33.13%
1Y
+105.56%
Best: 1Y (+105.56%)Worst: 5D (-1.73%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev +0% · 25% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 37x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 1.7 · FCF $19.31/sh
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$97.22B
Revenue TTM$33.89B
Net Income TTM$2.67B
Free Cash Flow$2.67B
Gross Margin25.4%
Net Margin7.9%
Operating Margin11.2%
Return on Equity22.0%
Return on Assets7.8%
Debt / Equity0.67
Current Ratio1.71
EPS TTM$19.33
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

North American Class 8 truck orders and production rates (ACT Research data) - drives 30%+ of engine revenue

Global construction equipment demand, particularly China excavator sales and US housing starts impacting off-highway engine volumes

Aftermarket parts revenue growth and distribution segment margins - indicates fleet utilization rates and replacement cycle health

New product adoption rates: X15N natural gas engine penetration, electrolyzer bookings, battery-electric powertrain wins with OEMs

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Revenue correlates 0.7+ with industrial production and freight tonnage. Class 8 truck demand swings 30-40% peak-to-trough based on freight rates, fleet profitability, and economic growth expectations. Construction equipment sales tied to non-residential construction spending and mining capex. Power generation orders follow data center buildouts, grid infrastructure investment, and backup power demand during economic expansions. Aftermarket provides partial offset with 60%+ revenue stability through cycles.

Interest Rates

Moderate negative sensitivity. Rising rates impact customers' equipment financing costs - typical Class 8 truck buyer finances 70%+ of $150K-180K purchase price, so 200bp rate increase adds $250-300/month to payments, reducing fleet expansion appetite. Construction equipment buyers similarly sensitive to financing availability. Higher rates also compress Cummins' valuation multiple as industrial cyclical (currently 16.2x EV/EBITDA vs. 12-14x historical average). Partially offset by strong balance sheet (0.59 D/E) limiting direct financing cost impact.

Key Risks

Electrification transition risk: Battery-electric and hydrogen fuel cell powertrains threaten core diesel engine franchise. Tesla Semi, Nikola, and OEM in-house electric platforms could displace Cummins in 15-25% of addressable market by 2035, particularly in urban delivery and regional haul applications under 300 miles

Emission regulation escalation: EPA 2027 standards requiring 90% NOx reduction may necessitate $800M-1B additional R&D investment, with risk that technology costs make diesel uncompetitive versus alternatives in certain duty cycles

China localization: Domestic Chinese engine manufacturers (Weichai, Yuchai) gaining share in local market, threatening Cummins' 15% China revenue exposure and joint venture profitability with Foton, DCEC

Investor Profile

value/cyclical - Attracts investors seeking industrial cycle exposure with 2.9% FCF yield and 24% ROE. Recent 63% one-year return reflects momentum buyers riding truck cycle recovery and electrification optionality. Dividend yield ~2.5% with 18-year growth streak appeals to income-focused value investors. Not pure growth given -1.3% revenue decline TTM, but new product pipeline (hydrogen, electric) attracting thematic ESG/energy transition allocators.

Watch on Earnings
ACT Research North American Class 8 truck orders (monthly) - leading indicator for engine demand 3-6 months forwardUS housing starts and non-residential construction spending - drives off-highway engine volumes in excavators, dozers, concrete mixersCopper prices (HGUSD) - proxy for global industrial activity and input cost for electrical components, wiring harnessesPalladium prices (PAUSD) - key input for diesel catalytic converters, 15-20 grams per heavy-duty engine at $1,000+/oz spot
Health Radar
3 strong2 watch1 concern
62/100
Liquidity
1.71Watch
Leverage
0.67Strong
Coverage
11.6xStrong
ROE
22.0%Strong
ROIC
11.1%Watch
Cash
$2.8BConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE29 analysts
BUY
-1.2%downside to target
L $540.00
Med $696.00consensus
H $845.00
Buy
1862%
Hold
1034%
Sell
13%
18 Buy (62%)10 Hold (34%)1 Sell (4%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
5 of 5 signals bullish
10/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 62 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowLean Accumulation
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.71 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 13, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 7, 2026
In 87 days
PDividend PaymentAug 14, 2026
In 94 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 17.8%

+18.3% vs SMA 50 · +39.3% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI62.2
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+26.42
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$718.1+1.9%
Current
$704.6
EMA 50
$619.1-12.1%
EMA 200
$505.7-28.2%
52W Low
$307.9-56.3%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$307.997th %ile$718.1
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:7
Dist days:3
Edge:+4 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)864K
Recent Vol (5D)
1.2M+39%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 14 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$34.0B
$33.4B$35.0B
$13.68
±3%
High13
FY2024
$33.8B
$33.7B$33.9B
-0.8%$20.50+49.9%
±3%
High14
FY2025
$33.3B
$33.1B$33.5B
-1.5%$22.79+11.2%
±1%
High12
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 8 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryCMI
Last 8Q
+15.6%avg beat
Beat 8 of 8 quarters Estimates rising
+9%
Q3'24
+22%
Q4'24
+10%
Q1'25
+21%
Q2'25
+23%
Q3'25
+16%
Q4'25
+14%
Q1'26
+9%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Wolfe ResearchOutperform → Peer Perform
Jan 26
DOWNGRADE
Raymond JamesMarket Perform → Outperform
Dec 22
UPGRADE
BarclaysEqual-Weight → Overweight
Dec 19
UPGRADE
UBSSell → Neutral
Nov 25
UPGRADE
JefferiesHold
Aug 11
UPGRADE
Wells FargoOverweight
Aug 11
UPGRADE
Morgan StanleyOverweight
Aug 11
UPGRADE
Wolfe ResearchOutperform
Aug 11
UPGRADE
UBSBuy → Sell
Apr 7
DOWNGRADE
Evercore ISIOutperform
Nov 13
UPGRADE
UBSNeutral → Buy
Mar 15
UPGRADE
Bank of America Sec…Underperform
Jan 19
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $4.9M sold · 30d window
Fetch Bonnie JEVP & Presiden…
$457K
May 11
SELL
Stoner Nathan RVP - China ABO
$421K
May 11
SELL
Boakye MarvinVP - CHRO
$164K
May 8
SELL
Boakye MarvinVP - CHRO
$245K
May 8
SELL
Boakye MarvinVP - CHRO
$522K
May 8
SELL
Boakye MarvinVP - CHRO
$681K
May 8
SELL
Financials
Dividends1.11% yield
+10.5% avg annual growth
Annual Yield1.11%
Quarterly Div.$2.0000
Est. Annual / Share$8.00
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Fisher Asset Management, LLC
3.5M
2
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
1.4M
3
Legal & General Group Plc
1.0M
4
Bank of New York Mellon Corp
978K
5
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO
778K
6
SG Americas Securities, LLC
737K
7
Nuveen, LLC
712K
8
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
660K
News & Activity

CMI News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

No description available.

Nicole Y. Lamb-HaleVice President, Chief Administrative Officer & Corporate Secretary
Benjamin G. WrightPresident of Distribution Business
Brett MerrittVice President & President of Engine Business
PeersIndustrials(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
CMI
$704.56-0.49%$97.0B36.4-126.7%844.4%1518
$912.14+0.20%$426.9B45.6+429.0%1312.8%1524
$297.45+1.22%$314.3B36.0+1848.2%1898.2%1492
$178.89+1.43%$240.5B33.2+974.1%759.8%1488
$236.87+2.74%$187.8B86.0+3449.4%249.7%1509
$401.53+4.36%$162.7B40.8+1033.0%1489.7%1501
$589.19+2.42%$159.0B33.1-1158.6%1125.5%1506
Sector avg+1.70%44.4+921.2%1097.1%1505