GMBREW.NS(GMBREW.NS)

$965.15—

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GMBREW.NS(GMBREW.NS)

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$965.15—

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GMBREW.NS(GMBREW.NS)

GMBREW.NS

Overview Notebook Intelligence Chart History Fundmntls TTM Earnings Analysts News Financials Segments Insiders Institl.DCF Peers

7/1/26

G.M. BREWERIES (GMBREW.NS)

Wednesday

3:15 PM

Thesis: The combination of negative cash flow and increasing competition is raising concerns about the company's ability to maintain margins and grow revenue.

Revenue Outlook

Metric	FY2026	FY2027E	FY2028E
Revenue	$7.5B	$3.8B	$16.1B
Rev. Growth	-48.8%	-49.3%	+323%
EPS	$68.64	$26.74	$31.91
EPS Growth	+21.5%	-61.0%	+19.3%
P/E (fwd)	14.1×	36.1×	30.2×

★ Analysts see FY2028 revenue reaching $16.1B — +323% growth in a single year.

What Could Go Wrong

1Negative cash flow trends may lead to reduced capital expenditures, impacting future growth potential.
2Increased competition from craft breweries is expected to pressure margins, with a projected 5% decline in gross margin next fiscal year.
3Regulatory changes affecting alcohol distribution and sales
4Shifts in consumer preferences towards non-alcoholic beverages
5Intensifying competition from both local and international brands
6Emergence of craft breweries capturing market share
7Negative cash flow impacting liquidity and operational flexibility
8Potential for increased capital expenditures without corresponding revenue growth

FY2026 Snapshot

Revenue: $7.5B
Rev. Growth: -48.8%
Gross Margin: 31.3%
Op. Margin: 23.5%
Net Margin: 21.0%
Net Income: $1.6B
NI Growth: +21.5%
EPS: $68.64
1Y Return: +35.7%

GMBREW.NS Chart

My Notes

"Management noted, 'While we are expanding our footprint, the competitive landscape is becoming increasingly challenging.'"
Moat: G.M.
Watch: The rise of craft breweries and changing consumer preferences towards health-conscious options pose significant threats to traditional beer…
value - the company presents a potential value opportunity given its low valuation metrics despite recent revenue declines.
Interest rates can affect consumer spending power and financing costs for expansion.
Watch on earnings: Barley and hops prices, Market share in Maharashtra and Goa, Consumer sentiment indices related to discretionary spending.

One Sentence Summary:

The bear case: negative cash flow trends may lead to reduced capital expenditures, impacting future growth potential.

Auto-composed from Stock Alarm intelligence, financial statements, and analyst estimates. Not investment advice.

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Metric

FY2026

FY2027E

FY2028E

P/E (fwd)

14.1×

36.1×

30.2×

What Could Go Wrong

1Negative cash flow trends may lead to reduced capital expenditures, impacting future growth potential.

2Increased competition from craft breweries is expected to pressure margins, with a projected 5% decline in gross margin next fiscal year.

3Regulatory changes affecting alcohol distribution and sales

4Shifts in consumer preferences towards non-alcoholic beverages

5Intensifying competition from both local and international brands

6Emergence of craft breweries capturing market share

7Negative cash flow impacting liquidity and operational flexibility

8Potential for increased capital expenditures without corresponding revenue growth

My Notes

"Management noted, 'While we are expanding our footprint, the competitive landscape is becoming increasingly challenging.'"

Moat: G.M.

Watch: The rise of craft breweries and changing consumer preferences towards health-conscious options pose significant threats to traditional beer…

value - the company presents a potential value opportunity given its low valuation metrics despite recent revenue declines.

Interest rates can affect consumer spending power and financing costs for expansion.

Watch on earnings: Barley and hops prices, Market share in Maharashtra and Goa, Consumer sentiment indices related to discretionary spending.