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9/17/26

Amotiv Limited Unsponsored ADR (GUDDY)

Thursday
3:18 AM
ThesisAmotiv Limited Unsponsored ADR: the story is balanced — Same-store sales growth and market share gains in key distribution channels

Revenue Outlook

Analysts see FY2027 revenue reaching $1.1B +4.3% growth in a single year.

What Moves the Stock

  1. 01Same-store sales growth and market share gains in key distribution channels
  2. 02Gross margin trends driven by product mix shift toward higher-margin proprietary brands versus commodity parts
  3. 03Operating expense leverage and path to positive net profitability
  4. 04Working capital management and inventory turnover improvements
  5. 05Miles driven trends and average vehicle age statistics (older fleet drives aftermarket demand)
  6. 06Replacement automotive parts and components (estimated 60-70% of revenue)
  7. 07Aftermarket accessories and performance parts (estimated 20-30%)
  8. 08Distribution and logistics services to repair shops and retailers (estimated 10-20%)
FY2025 Snapshot
Revenue
$997M
EPS
$-1.52

GUDDY Chart

11.111.211.311.411.511.44GUDDY Daily11.44Nov '25Dec '25Feb '26Apr '26

My Notes

  • value - The 1.1x price/sales and 1.6x price/book valuations combined with 16% FCF yield suggest deep value characteristics.
  • Rising interest rates have mixed effects: (1) negative impact on new vehicle affordability…
  • Watch on earnings: US gasoline prices and miles driven statistics (VMT data) as proxy for vehicle usage intensity, Average vehicle age trends from IHS Markit or similar sources (older fleet supports aftermarket demand), Consumer sentiment and discretionary spending indicators affecting non-essential repair decisions.

One Sentence Summary:

Amotiv Limited Unsponsored ADR: the story is balanced — same-store sales growth and market share gains in key distribution channels.

Auto-composed from Stock Alarm intelligence, financial statements, and analyst estimates. Not investment advice.

Data is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.