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The Kroger Co.(KR)
$58.74—
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9/27/26

Kroger (KR)

Sunday
11:41 PM
ThesisDespite strong private label growth, rising competition and potential margin compression are creating a more cautious outlook for Kroger.

Revenue Outlook

MetricFY2025FY2026EFY2027E
Revenue$147.6B$148.0B$150.9B
Rev. Growth+0.4%+0.2%+2.0%
EPS$1.56$4.80$5.19
EPS Growth-57.8%+208%+8.1%
P/E (fwd)37.7×12.2×11.3×
★ Analysts see FY2027 revenue reaching $150.9B — +2.0% growth in a single year.

What Moves the Stock

  1. 01Changes in consumer spending patterns, particularly in grocery and pharmacy sectors
  2. 02Fluctuations in commodity prices, especially food and fuel
  3. 03Competitive pricing strategies from rivals like Walmart and Aldi
  4. 04Regulatory changes affecting food safety and labor costs
  5. 05Grocery sales - 80%
  6. 06Pharmacy sales - 15%
  7. 07Fuel sales - 5%
  8. 08Shift towards online grocery shopping
FY2025 Snapshot
Revenue
$147.6B
Rev. Growth
+0.4%
Gross Margin
23.3%
Op. Margin
1.3%
Net Margin
0.7%
Net Income
$1.0B
NI Growth
-61.9%
EPS
$1.56
1Y Return
-8.4%

KR Chart

535864697558.74KR Daily58.74May '26Jun '26Aug '26Sep '26

My Notes

  • "Management noted, 'While we see growth in our private label, the competitive landscape is shifting rapidly.'"
  • Moat: Kroger's extensive distribution network and strong brand loyalty provide a durable competitive advantage.
  • value - Kroger's low Price/Sales ratio and strong cash flow yield attract value-focused investors.
  • Moderate - Rising interest rates can increase financing costs for Kroger, but the impact on consumer demand is more significant as it…
  • Watch on earnings: Consumer Sentiment (UMCSENT), Retail Sales (ex Auto) (RSXFS), Gross Margin Percentage.

One Sentence Summary:

Kroger: the story is balanced — changes in consumer spending patterns, particularly in grocery and pharmacy sectors.

Auto-composed from Stock Alarm intelligence, financial statements, and analyst estimates. Not investment advice.

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Data is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.