Marathon Petroleum CorporationMPCNYSE

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Overview News Fundamentals Key Metrics TTM Financials Earnings Growth Rating Analysts Institutional Peers Historical

Analyst Sentiment

Analysts lean bullish — 71% recommend buying.

Consensus Rating

Buy

17 analysts·Moderate coverage

71%

Rating Distribution

Strong Buy

00%

Buy

1271%

Hold

529%

Sell

00%

Strong Sell

00%

Analyst ratings reflect Wall Street opinion, not guarantees. Historical accuracy varies by firm and sector.

Price Target Expectations

Analysts see modest upside — consensus target 12% higher.

Bear Case

$184.00

+4%

Base Case

$197.57

+12%

Bull Case

$220.00

+25%

Price Range17 analysts

Low

Consensus

High

$184.00

$220.00

Current Target

Current Price

$176.17

Upside to Target

$21.40

Price targets are 12-month forecasts. Actual results depend on earnings, market conditions, and sector trends.

Earnings & Revenue Estimates

2026E$13.86(11 analysts)

P/E35x

Current: 35.3x

Actual

Estimate

Range (Low–High)

Stock Alarm Pro

Forward Growth Estimates (YoY)

FY2027

Rev+1.26%

EPS-6.32%

FY2028

Rev-4.42%

EPS+45.26%

FY2029

Rev+219.30%

EPS+50.84%

Earnings Surprises

Beat rate:92%(11/12 quarters)

Avg surprise:+310.9%

Beat

Miss

Inline

Estimate

Based on reported EPS vs consensus estimate.

Recent Analyst Actions

Jan 8, 2026Piper Sandler

Marathon Petroleum price target lowered to $184 from $231 at Piper Sandler

Target:$184.00

+6.7%from $172.51

Dec 12, 2025Mizuho Securities

Marathon Petroleum price target raised to $196 from $188 at Mizuho

Target:$196.00

+4.8%from $186.97

Nov 4, 2025Raymond James

Marathon Petroleum price target lowered to $200 from $203 at Raymond James

Target:$200.00

+8.4%from $184.54

Oct 17, 2025Raymond James

Marathon Petroleum price target raised to $203 from $199 at Raymond James

Target:$203.00

+12.1%from $181.15

Oct 13, 2025Barclays

Marathon Petroleum price target raised to $194 from $176 at Barclays

Target:$194.00

+7.2%from $180.89

Oct 9, 2025Scotiabank

Marathon Petroleum price target raised to $189 from $180 at Scotiabank

Target:$189.00

-0.0%from $189.06

Oct 3, 2025Morgan Stanley

Marathon Petroleum price target raised to $200 from $182 at Morgan Stanley

Target:$200.00

+4.0%from $192.24

Sep 26, 2025UBS

Marathon Petroleum price target raised to $220 from $203 at UBS

Target:$220.00

+12.0%from $196.44

Jun 18, 2025Evercore ISI

Marathon Petroleum initiated with an In Line at Evercore ISI

Target:$170.00

+1.5%from $167.42

Mar 27, 2025Raymond James

Marathon Petroleum price target raised to $193 from $192 at Raymond James

Target:$193.00

+31.0%from $147.35

Mar 14, 2025Barclays

Marathon Petroleum price target raised to $161 from $159 at Barclays

Target:$161.00

+14.1%from $141.15

Dec 19, 2024Morgan Stanley

Marathon Petroleum price target lowered to $174 from $181 at Morgan Stanley

Target:$174.00

+15.2%from $151.06

Oct 17, 2024Bank of America Securities

BofA Securities Assumes Marathon Petroleum (MPC) at Neutral

Target:$174.00

+10.2%from $157.90

Oct 10, 2024Scotiabank

Marathon Petroleum price target lowered to $170 from $191 at Scotiabank

Target:$170.00

+4.5%from $162.61

Sep 24, 2024Piper Sandler

Piper Sandler Reiterates Neutral Rating on Marathon Petroleum (MPC)

Target:$145.00

-11.7%from $164.22

Sep 14, 2024UBS

Marathon Petroleum price target lowered to $189 from $213 at UBS

Target:$189.00

+15.5%from $163.58

Jul 17, 2024Wolfe Research

Marathon Petroleum reinstated with an Outperform at Wolfe Research

Target:$200.00

+20.8%from $165.56

Jul 14, 2024Jefferies

Marathon Petroleum price target raised to $231 from $222 at Jefferies

Target:$231.00

+39.6%from $165.46

Jul 12, 2024Wells Fargo

Marathon Petroleum price target lowered to $196 from $223 at Wells Fargo

Target:$196.00

+19.3%from $164.29

Jun 20, 2024Mizuho Securities

Marathon Petroleum (MPC) PT Lowered to $201 at Mizuho

Target:$201.00

+16.6%from $172.45

Jun 14, 2024Piper Sandler

Marathon Petroleum (MPC) PT Lowered to $168 at Piper Sandler

Target:$168.00

-0.5%from $168.90

May 30, 2024Raymond James

Marathon Petroleum price target lowered to $230 from $235 at Raymond James

Target:$230.00

+31.7%from $174.66

May 14, 2024Piper Sandler

Marathon Petroleum price target lowered to $190 from $204 at Piper Sandler

Target:$190.00

+6.8%from $177.86

May 13, 2024Mizuho Securities

Marathon Petroleum price target raised to $203 from $200 at Mizuho

Target:$203.00

+13.1%from $179.56

May 6, 2024Barclays

Marathon Petroleum price target lowered to $195 from $221 at Barclays

Target:$195.00

+6.8%from $182.55

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