MSI
Next earnings: Jul 30, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bullish1
Price
1
Move-0.20%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume1.5× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 22Oversold — bounce setup
PRICE
Prev Close
392.17
Open
394.10
Day Range391.39 – 400.27
391.39
400.27
52W Range359.36 – 492.22
359.36
492.22
24% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.1M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
31.6x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.01%
Beta
1.01
Market-like
Performance
1D
+2.13%
5D
-9.85%
1M
-9.57%
3M
-6.88%
6M
+0.05%
YTD
+2.31%
1Y
-5.02%
Best: YTD (+2.31%)Worst: 5D (-9.85%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +8% YoY · 49% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 32x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.1 · FCF $15.01/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$64.97B
Revenue TTM$11.87B
Net Income TTM$2.09B
Free Cash Flow$2.49B
Gross Margin49.3%
Net Margin17.6%
Operating Margin24.8%
Return on Equity90.4%
Return on Assets11.0%
Debt / Equity3.77
Current Ratio1.06
EPS TTM$12.61
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Software & Services revenue growth rate and margin expansion (target 70%+ gross margin)

North America public safety budget trends and federal grant funding (COPS, Homeland Security grants)

Large contract wins (>$100M deals with major metro areas, federal agencies, international governments)

Video security segment growth rate (Avigilon/Ava) and competitive positioning against Axis, Hanwha

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Revenue is 65%+ government-driven with multi-year budget cycles insulated from GDP fluctuations. Public safety spending is non-discretionary and often counter-cyclical (increased during crises). Enterprise segment (35% of revenue) has moderate sensitivity to corporate capex cycles, but mission-critical nature provides downside protection. Federal grant programs (COPS, FirstNet) provide additional stability.

Interest Rates

moderate - Rising rates create two offsetting effects: (1) Municipal bond financing costs increase, potentially delaying large infrastructure projects by 6-12 months, and (2) Higher discount rates compress valuation multiples for high-multiple growth stocks (MSI trades at 25x EBITDA). However, federal grants and existing budget commitments mitigate demand impact. The company's 4.0x debt/equity makes interest expense a meaningful P&L item, though most debt is fixed-rate.

Key Risks

Technology disruption from broadband push-to-talk (FirstNet LTE) potentially cannibalizing Land Mobile Radio over 10-15 year horizon, though interoperability and coverage gaps favor hybrid solutions

Cybersecurity vulnerabilities in mission-critical systems could damage reputation and trigger costly remediation; government contracts increasingly require zero-trust architecture

Regulatory changes to P25 standards or spectrum allocation (700MHz, 800MHz bands) could require costly system upgrades

Investor Profile

growth-at-reasonable-price (GARP) - Investors seek 8-10% revenue growth with margin expansion, 90%+ FCF conversion, and consistent buybacks. The 51% gross margin and 25% operating margin attract quality-focused growth investors, while 3.3% FCF yield and capital returns appeal to total return investors. Not a pure growth stock (8% revenue growth) nor value play (6.6x P/S, 25x EBITDA). Defensive growth characteristics attract investors seeking technology exposure with lower volatility than software peers.

Watch on Earnings
Federal and state public safety budget appropriations and grant funding levels (COPS, Homeland Security)Software & Services ARR growth rate and net revenue retentionVideo security segment revenue growth vs. competitors (Axis, Hanwha market share data)Products backlog and average contract duration trends
Health Radar
3 strong1 watch2 concern
47/100
Liquidity
1.06Watch
Leverage
3.77Concern
Coverage
7.2xStrong
ROE
90.4%Strong
ROIC
16.1%Strong
Cash
$1.2BConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE34 analysts
BUY
+28.4%upside to target
L $450.00
Med $502.50consensus
H $530.00
Buy
2471%
Hold
618%
Sell
412%
24 Buy (71%)6 Hold (18%)4 Sell (11%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 22 — Oversold, watch for bounce
~
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.06
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 13, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 7, 2026
In 87 days
PDividend PaymentAug 14, 2026
In 94 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 3.7%

-12.3% vs SMA 50 · -9.0% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI22.2
Oversold — potential bounce
MACD-11.74
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$492.2+25.8%
EMA 50
$433.9+10.9%
EMA 200
$430.7+10.0%
Current
$391.4
52W Low
$359.4-8.2%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$359.424th %ile$492.2
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Heavy distribution on elevated volume — institutions appear to be exiting. Squeeze setups unlikely while selling pressure persists.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:1
Dist days:4
Edge:+3 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.0M
Recent Vol (5D)
1.5M+43%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 11 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$10.4B
$10.3B$10.6B
$8.79
±2%
High8
FY2024
$10.8B
$10.7B$10.8B
+3.6%$13.69+55.7%
±0%
High11
FY2025
$11.6B
$11.6B$11.8B
+7.8%$15.16+10.7%
±0%
High10
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 8 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryMSI
Last 8Q
+6.2%avg beat
Beat 8 of 8 quarters Estimates rising
+8%
Q3'24
+11%
Q4'24
+4%
Q1'25
+6%
Q2'25
+7%
Q3'25
+5%
Q4'25
+6%
Q1'26
+4%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Piper SandlerNeutral → Overweight
Jan 5
UPGRADE
Morgan StanleyOverweight
Dec 17
UPGRADE
Credit SuisseNeutral
Jan 11
DOWNGRADE
Morgan StanleyOverweight
May 23
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/3 SellsNet Selling
Brown Gregory QDir
$3.8M
Mar 4
SELL
Brown Gregory QDir
$6.4M
Mar 4
SELL
Brown Gregory QDir
$1.5M
Mar 4
SELL
Financials
Dividends1.18% yield
+12.8% avg annual growth
Annual Yield1.18%
Quarterly Div.$1.2100
Est. Annual / Share$4.84
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Nuveen, LLC
1.7M
2
DEUTSCHE BANK AG\
1.5M
3
Ninety One UK Ltd
1.3M
4
Swedbank AB
1.3M
5
Legal & General Group Plc
1.2M
6
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
1.1M
7
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO
942K
8
Bank of New York Mellon Corp
931K
News & Activity

MSI News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

motorola solutions, inc. (www.motorolasolutions.com), provides mission-critical communications products and services to public safety and commercial customers around the world. our innovations, products, and services play essential roles in people's lives. we help firefighters see around buildings and police officers see around street corners. we provide the situational awareness first responders need when a moment brings catastrophe. we do this by connecting them to seamless communication networks, applications and services, by providing them with real-time information, and by arming them with intuitive, nearly indestructible handheld devices. motorola solutions helps people be their best in the moments that matter. learn more at www.motorolasolutions.com.

Industry
Radio and Television Broadcasting and Wireless Communications Equipment Manufacturing
CEO
Gregory Brown
Cynthia YazdiSenior VP and Chief of Staff to the Chairman & CEO
Mahesh SaptharishiExecutive Vice President & Chief Technology Officer
Rajan S. NaikSenior Vice President of Strategy & Ventures
PeersTechnology(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
MSI
$391.39+2.13%$65.1B31.1+799.7%1843.9%1486
$220.78+1.97%$5.3T44.4+6547.4%5560.3%1496
$294.80-0.22%$4.3T35.1+642.6%2691.5%1484
$407.77-0.59%$3.1T24.5+1493.2%3614.6%1471
$419.30-0.37%$2.0T81.3+2387.4%3619.8%1498
$772.00+6.50%$896.9B37.1+4885.1%2284.5%1533
$448.29+0.79%$748.1B149.9+3433.8%1251.5%1520
Sector avg+1.46%57.6+2884.2%2980.9%1498