NNN
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move+0.62%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume2.0× avgHeavy volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 48Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
43.52
Open
43.15
Day Range42.80 – 44.07
42.80
44.07
52W Range38.90 – 46.03
38.90
46.03
69% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.6M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
21.1x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.05%
Beta
0.65
Low vol
Performance
1D
+0.62%
5D
-0.97%
1M
+4.54%
3M
+5.09%
6M
+7.22%
YTD
+10.50%
1Y
+6.52%
Best: YTD (+10.50%)Worst: 5D (-0.97%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +6% YoY · 81% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 21x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 0.0 (low) · FCF $2.45/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$8.33B
Revenue TTM$935.78M
Net Income TTM$387.27M
Free Cash Flow$463.85M
Gross Margin81.4%
Net Margin41.4%
Operating Margin63.3%
Return on Equity8.8%
Return on Assets4.1%
Debt / Equity0.00
Current Ratio0.00
EPS TTM$2.05
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Acquisition volume and cap rates - ability to deploy $400-600M annually at spreads above cost of capital

Occupancy rates and lease renewal spreads - portfolio typically maintains 98-99% occupancy with renewal rates above 90%

Tenant credit quality and bankruptcy exposure - concentration in convenience stores (20-25% of ABR), automotive service, and quick-service restaurants

Cost of capital and dividend coverage - FFO payout ratio typically 70-75%, with dividend growth dependent on FFO/share growth

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Necessity-based retail tenants (convenience stores, auto service, quick-service restaurants) demonstrate relative resilience during recessions compared to discretionary retail. However, economic weakness can pressure tenant sales volumes, increase bankruptcy risk, and reduce acquisition opportunities. Consumer spending patterns directly impact tenant health and rent coverage ratios. Portfolio occupancy typically remains stable at 98%+ through cycles, but re-leasing spreads and tenant credit quality deteriorate during downturns.

Interest Rates

High sensitivity through multiple channels: (1) Rising rates increase cost of capital for acquisitions, compressing investment spreads and reducing accretive growth opportunities. (2) REIT valuation multiples compress as 10-year Treasury yields rise, making dividend yields less attractive relative to risk-free rates. (3) Higher rates increase refinancing costs on maturing debt, though impact is gradual given staggered maturity profile. (4) Cap rate expansion in transaction markets reduces NAV. With Debt/Equity of 0.00 reported (likely data issue - typical net debt is 5.0-5.5x EBITDA), actual leverage creates meaningful interest expense sensitivity.

Key Risks

E-commerce disruption to physical retail - while necessity-based retail shows resilience, long-term shift to online delivery for convenience items (groceries, auto parts) could pressure tenant sales and viability

Electric vehicle adoption reducing demand for gas stations and convenience stores with fuel operations, which represent significant portfolio exposure

Changing consumer preferences away from quick-service restaurants toward delivery-only concepts or ghost kitchens reducing demand for traditional retail locations

Investor Profile

dividend - NNN attracts income-focused investors seeking stable, growing dividends with current yield typically 4.5-5.5%. The company has increased dividends for 30+ consecutive years, appealing to dividend growth investors. Defensive characteristics and low volatility attract conservative investors and retirees. Value investors may find appeal during periods of REIT sector dislocation when yields spike above historical averages.

Watch on Earnings
10-Year Treasury yield (GS10) - primary driver of REIT valuation multiples and cap rate expectationsRetail sales excluding autos (RSXFS) - indicator of consumer spending health affecting tenant sales volumesHigh yield credit spreads (BAMLH0A0HYM2) - proxy for tenant credit risk and bankruptcy probabilityConsumer sentiment (UMCSENT) - leading indicator for retail tenant performance and lease renewal activity
Health Radar
2 strong2 watch2 concern
43/100
Liquidity
0.00Concern
Leverage
0.00Strong
Coverage
2.8xWatch
ROE
8.8%Watch
ROIC
7072.0%Strong
Cash
$5MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE26 analysts
HOLD
+3.9%upside to target
L $43.00
Med $45.50consensus
H $50.00
Buy
1142%
Hold
1142%
Sell
415%
11 Buy (42%)11 Hold (42%)4 Sell (16%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
1 of 5 signals bullish
4/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 48 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.00 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 2, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 30, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentOct 29, 2026
In 181 days
Technicals
Technical SetupMIXED
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 3.1%

+0.5% vs SMA 50 · +3.7% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI48.2
Neutral territory
MACD-0.01
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$46.03+5.1%
Current
$43.79
EMA 50
$43.50-0.7%
EMA 200
$42.44-3.1%
52W Low
$38.90-11.2%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$38.9069th %ile$46.03
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:8
Dist days:6
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.0M
Recent Vol (5D)
1.0M+3%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 9 analysts
Analyst revisions:Revenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$862.1M
$857.6M$866.8M
$2.06
±1%
High9
FY2025
$914.4M
$911.1M$916.1M
+6.1%$2.04-1.0%
±3%
High9
FY2026(current)
$969.0M
$949.6M$979.2M
+6.0%$2.05+0.5%
±1%
High9
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryNNN
Last 8Q
+10.2%avg beat
Beat 4 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates falling
+1%
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
+5%
Q2'25
+1%
Q3'25
Q4'25
+76%
Q1'26
-2%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Nordea EquityHold
Jan 20
DOWNGRADE
Deutsche BankHold → Buy
Jan 20
UPGRADE
JefferiesHold
Jan 1
DOWNGRADE
Exane BNP ParibasUnderperform → Neutral
May 1
UPGRADE
Morgan StanleyEqual-Weight → Underweight
Jun 28
DOWNGRADE
Janney MontgomeryBuy
Jun 28
UPGRADE
WedbushOutperform
Jun 28
UPGRADE
Hovde GroupOutperform
Jun 28
UPGRADE
DaiwaOutperform
Jun 28
DOWNGRADE
CitigroupNeutral → Sell
Jun 28
DOWNGRADE
Raymond JamesOutperform
Jan 9
DOWNGRADE
Morgan StanleyEqual-Weight
Jul 12
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Horn Stephen A JrPresident & CEO
$1.5M
Mar 9
SELL
Adamo JonathanEVP Chief Port…
$270K
Mar 6
SELL
Miller Michelle LynnEVP,Chief Acct…
$176K
Feb 20
SELL
Miller Michelle LynnEVP,Chief Acct…
$422K
Aug 21
SELL
Adamo JonathanEVP, Portfolio…
$204K
Jun 11
SELL
Horn Stephen A JrPresident & CEO
$2.4M
Mar 17
SELL
Financials
Dividends5.48% yield
+2.0% avg annual growth
Annual Yield5.48%
Quarterly Div.$0.6000
Est. Annual / Share$2.40
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Mondrian Investment Partners LTD
1.8M
2
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc.
832K
3
ProShare Advisors LLC
607K
4
DEPRINCE RACE & ZOLLO INC
575K
5
abrdn plc
541K
6
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
518K
7
Sound Income Strategies, LLC
476K
8
Verity & Verity, LLC
472K
News & Activity

NNN News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

national retail properties (nyse: nnn), a real estate investment trust, invests in single-tenant retail properties generally subject to long-term, net leases. the company was formed in 1984 and began trading on the new york stock exchange in 1994. as one of only 96 out of the more than 10,000 publicly-traded companies that have increased annual dividends for 27 or more consecutive years, we are a powerful partner for our retail customers and a proven investment for our shareholders. the average annual total return to shareholders has been 15.7% over the past 25 years. we own a diversified portfolio of 2,293 freestanding retail properties in 47 states with a total gross leasable area of approximately 25.4 million square feet. these properties are leased to more than 400 tenants in 38 industry classifications.

Industry
Lessors of Nonresidential Buildings (except Miniwarehouses)
CEO
Julian Whitehurst
Vincent H. ChaoExecutive VP, CFO, Assistant Secretary & Treasurer
Christopher F. BarryVice President of Corporate Communications & Investor Relations
Stephen A. Horn Jr.President, Chief Executive Officer & Director
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
NNN
$43.79+0.62%$8.3B21.4+655.1%4208.3%1500
$396.06+0.57%$2.1T28.7+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$91.86+2.89%$318.3B14.0+318.8%1510.7%1500
$131.91+1.13%$306.2B22.6+586.3%1305.9%1500
$187.37+1.17%$290.5B28.1+862.9%1745.9%1500
$147.85+3.44%$282.1B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$90.67+1.98%$256.7B14.5-591.0%668.4%1500
Sector avg+1.68%21.5+818.0%2359.1%1500