PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk(PSGTF)

$0.12—Earnings today

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PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk(PSGTF)

OTCMARKET

$0.12—Earnings today

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PSGTF(PSGTF)

PSGTF

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8/24/26

PT SEMEN INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK (PSGTF)

Monday

11:57 AM

Thesis: Recent declines in net income and margins have raised concerns about the company's ability to maintain profitability amid rising input costs and competitive pressures.

Revenue Outlook

Metric	FY2025	FY2026E	FY2027E
Revenue	$35.24T	$37.68T	$39.07T
Rev. Growth	-2.6%	+6.9%	+3.7%
EPS	$28.33	$87.88	$123.75
EPS Growth	-73.4%	+210%	+40.8%
P/E (fwd)	0.0×	0.0×	0.0×

★ Analysts see FY2026 revenue reaching $37.68T — +6.9% growth in a single year.

What Could Go Wrong

1Recent price increases in raw materials could pressure margins, with a projected 5% decline in gross margin over the next two quarters.
2Emerging competition from alternative building materials could capture 10% of the market share in the next two years.
3Regulatory changes impacting environmental standards and production processes
4Technological disruption in cement production methods
5Increased competition from domestic and international cement producers
6Potential market entry by new players with lower-cost production capabilities
7Low net margins could limit financial flexibility and growth investments
8Potential liquidity risks if cash flows decline further

FY2025 Snapshot

Revenue: $35.24T
Rev. Growth: -2.6%
Gross Margin: 20.1%
Op. Margin: 4.5%
Net Margin: 0.5%
Net Income: $190.8B
NI Growth: -73.5%
EPS: $28.33
1Y Return: -52.7%

PSGTF Chart

My Notes

"Management noted, 'We are facing significant challenges in maintaining our margins due to fluctuating raw material prices.'"
Moat: The company's established market position and brand loyalty provide a moderate level of competitive advantage.
Watch: The rise of alternative construction materials poses a significant long-term threat to traditional cement producers.
value - Investors may be drawn to the stock due to its low valuation metrics despite current operational challenges.
Higher interest rates can increase financing costs for construction projects, potentially dampening demand for cement and impacting revenue.
Watch on earnings: Domestic cement demand growth rate, Average selling price of cement, Operating cash flow trends.

One Sentence Summary:

The bear case: recent price increases in raw materials could pressure margins, with a projected 5% decline in gross margin over the next two quarters.

Auto-composed from Stock Alarm intelligence, financial statements, and analyst estimates. Not investment advice.

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Metric

FY2025

FY2026E

FY2027E

P/E (fwd)

0.0×

What Could Go Wrong

1Recent price increases in raw materials could pressure margins, with a projected 5% decline in gross margin over the next two quarters.

2Emerging competition from alternative building materials could capture 10% of the market share in the next two years.

3Regulatory changes impacting environmental standards and production processes

4Technological disruption in cement production methods

5Increased competition from domestic and international cement producers

6Potential market entry by new players with lower-cost production capabilities

7Low net margins could limit financial flexibility and growth investments

8Potential liquidity risks if cash flows decline further

My Notes

"Management noted, 'We are facing significant challenges in maintaining our margins due to fluctuating raw material prices.'"

Moat: The company's established market position and brand loyalty provide a moderate level of competitive advantage.

Watch: The rise of alternative construction materials poses a significant long-term threat to traditional cement producers.

value - Investors may be drawn to the stock due to its low valuation metrics despite current operational challenges.

Higher interest rates can increase financing costs for construction projects, potentially dampening demand for cement and impacting revenue.

Watch on earnings: Domestic cement demand growth rate, Average selling price of cement, Operating cash flow trends.