★ Analysts see FY2026 revenue reaching $772M — +5.5% growth in a single year.
What Moves the Stock
01Comparable restaurant sales growth (same-store sales): traffic trends vs. pricing mix, particularly in core Illinois/Chicago markets where 50%+ of units are concentrated
02New restaurant unit openings: pace of expansion (targeting 8-10 annual openings), site selection success, and new market performance (California, Texas, Florida)
03Restaurant-level EBITDA margins: ability to offset wage inflation (estimated 4-6% annually) and commodity cost volatility through menu pricing and operational efficiency
04Digital/delivery penetration: growth in off-premise channels (currently estimated 30-35% of sales) and third-party delivery partnerships
05Unit economics for new restaurants: AUVs, cash-on-cash returns (targeting 30%+ IRRs), and time to breakeven in new vs. established markets
06Restaurant sales from company-owned locations (~98% of revenue): dine-in, drive-thru, and digital/delivery channels
07Catering services (~2% of revenue): corporate events and large-format orders
08Retail product sales: packaged Italian beef and hot dog kits sold in grocery stores (minimal revenue contribution)