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Results are highly cyclical for RYA.L, so multiple-based fair value is less reliable here.
| FY | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022E | 2023E | 2024E | 2025E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Low | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adj EPS | 0.11 | 0.16 | 0.14 | 0.18 | 0.20 | 0.29 | 0.26 | -0.14 | 0.21 | 0.24 | 0.39 | 0.40 | 0.37 | 0.64 | 1.17 | 1.04 | 1.20 | 0.76 | 0.57 | -0.91 | 0.76E | 1.28E | 0.34E | 0.09E |
| Chg/Yr | — | +48% | -14% | +32% | +12% | +41% | -9% | -153% | — | +13% | +62% | +4% | -8% | +71% | +83% | -11% | +15% | -37% | -24% | -259% | — | +68% | -73% | -73% |
| Div | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.34 | 0.00 | 0.35 | 0.00 | 0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | — | — | — |
Fair value (15.0x) multiplies each year's earnings per share by a growth-based multiple: steady growers (5–15% a year) get 15x, faster growers get their growth rate as the multiple (capped at 30x), and slower growers step down below 15x. RYA.L has grown earnings about 11.2% a year, so the line uses 15.0x.
Earnings are adjusted figures on the same basis analysts forecast, built from reported quarters; years beyond the last completed fiscal year use the analyst consensus (dashed). The verdict calls a stock over- or undervalued only when the price sits more than 10% from the fair value line.