SYF
Next earnings: Jul 21, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Leaning Bearish1
Price
1
Move+0.80%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume1.3× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 46Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
70.28
Open
70.02
Day Range69.10 – 71.38
69.10
71.38
52W Range55.67 – 88.77
55.67
88.77
46% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
4.0M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
7.3x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.03%
Beta
1.29
Market-like
Performance
1D
-3.91%
5D
-5.79%
1M
-2.94%
3M
-3.63%
6M
-5.56%
YTD
-15.76%
1Y
+16.43%
Best: 1Y (+16.43%)Worst: YTD (-15.76%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
61% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 7x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 0.0 (low) · FCF $28.72/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$23.87B
Revenue TTM$19.91B
Net Income TTM$3.60B
Free Cash Flow$9.83B
Gross Margin61.1%
Net Margin18.1%
Operating Margin22.9%
Return on Equity21.4%
Return on Assets3.0%
Debt / Equity1.00
Current Ratio0.00
EPS TTM$10.51
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Net interest margin trajectory—spread between loan yields and funding costs, highly sensitive to Fed policy and deposit competition

Credit quality trends—charge-off rates, 30+ day delinquency rates, and reserve build/release guidance

Loan receivables growth—new account originations, purchase volume per account, and payment rate trends

Partner renewals and new program wins—retention of major partners (Lowe's, Amazon) and expansion into new verticals

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Consumer credit performance is directly tied to employment levels, wage growth, and discretionary spending. Recessions drive elevated charge-offs (historically 6-8% in downturns vs 4-5% normalized) as borrowers default. Loan growth slows when consumer confidence weakens and retailers see reduced traffic. Conversely, strong GDP growth and low unemployment drive purchase volume expansion and credit quality improvement.

Interest Rates

High sensitivity with complex dynamics. Rising short-term rates (Fed Funds) initially compress NIM as deposit costs and wholesale funding costs rise faster than asset yields reprice (card portfolios reprice over 6-12 months). However, sustained higher rates eventually expand NIM as loan yields catch up. Inverted yield curves (T10Y2Y negative) are particularly damaging—higher short-term funding costs without corresponding long-term asset yield benefit. Falling rates benefit funding costs but pressure loan yields over time.

Key Risks

Regulatory risk from CFPB oversight—potential caps on late fees, interest rates, or interchange fees could materially reduce revenue (late fee cap proposals could impact $500M+ annually)

Secular shift to debit and BNPL (Buy Now Pay Later) alternatives eroding traditional revolving credit demand, particularly among younger consumers

Partner concentration risk—top 10 partners represent 60%+ of loan portfolio; loss of major partner (e.g., Lowe's, Amazon) would significantly impact originations

Investor Profile

value - Trades at 1.5x book value with 21% ROE and 38% FCF yield, attracting value investors seeking capital return (dividends + buybacks). Also appeals to cyclical/opportunistic investors betting on credit normalization and NIM expansion. High dividend yield (~2-3%) provides income component. Less attractive to growth investors given mature market and regulatory headwinds.

Watch on Earnings
Net interest margin (NIM) and quarterly loan yield vs. funding cost spreadNet charge-off rate and 30+ day delinquency rate trends by platformLoan receivables growth rate and new account originationsFederal Funds Rate and 10Y-2Y Treasury spread (yield curve shape)
Health Radar
2 strong1 watch3 concern
34/100
Liquidity
0.00Concern
Leverage
1.00Strong
Coverage
1.1xConcern
ROE
21.4%Strong
ROIC
3.1%Concern
Cash
$15.0BWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE25 analysts
BUY
+31.3%upside to target
L $82.00
Med $93.00consensus
H $100.00
Buy
1768%
Hold
832%
17 Buy (68%)8 Hold (32%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
3/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 46 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.00 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 13, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 7, 2026
In 87 days
PDividend PaymentAug 13, 2026
In 93 days
Technicals
Technical SetupMIXED
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 4.4%

-0.2% vs SMA 50 · -4.6% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI46.2
Neutral territory
MACD+0.16
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$88.77+25.3%
EMA 50
$73.19+3.3%
EMA 200
$72.11+1.8%
Current
$70.84
52W Low
$55.67-21.4%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$55.6746th %ile$88.77
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:5
Edge:Even
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)3.9M
Recent Vol (5D)
3.5M-9%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 16 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$15.7B
$15.7B$15.8B
$6.64
±2%
High12
FY2025
$15.0B
$15.0B$15.1B
-4.5%$9.32+40.4%
±2%
High13
FY2026(current)
$15.3B
$14.9B$15.7B
+2.0%$9.29-0.3%
±1%
High16
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 5 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistorySYF
Last 8Q
+12.8%avg beat
Beat 7 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates rising
+15%
Q3'24
+8%
Q4'24
-1%
Q1'25
+13%
Q2'25
+37%
Q3'25
+27%
Q4'25
+1%
Q1'26
+2%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Compass PointBuy
Jan 28
UPGRADE
HSBCBuy
Oct 10
UPGRADE
Morgan StanleyUnderweight → Overweight
Dec 19
UPGRADE
BTIGBuy → Neutral
Sep 16
DOWNGRADE
Bank of America Sec…Neutral → Buy
Aug 9
UPGRADE
Keefe, Bruyette & W…Outperform
May 2
UPGRADE
Wolfe ResearchOutperform
Apr 4
UPGRADE
OppenheimerOutperform → Perform
Jul 14
DOWNGRADE
OppenheimerOutperform
Mar 17
UPGRADE
Piper SandlerOverweight
Apr 26
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $1.4M sold · 30d window
Howse CurtisSee remarks
$646K
May 1
SELL
Coviello Arthur W JrDir
$306K
May 1
SELL
Casellas AlbertoSee remarks
$444K
May 1
SELL
Gentleman CourtneySee remarks
$294K
Mar 2
SELL
Schaller BartSee remarks
$879K
Mar 2
SELL
Juel CarolSee remarks
$1.1M
Mar 2
SELL
Financials
Dividends1.69% yield
+11.0% avg annual growth
Annual Yield1.69%
Quarterly Div.$0.3000
Est. Annual / Share$1.20
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
6.0M
2
ASSETMARK, INC
4.3M
3
Allianz Asset Management GmbH
4.2M
4
AustralianSuper Pty Ltd
2.9M
5
Legal & General Group Plc
2.9M
6
Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V.
2.7M
7
Bank of New York Mellon Corp
2.7M
8
LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT
2.2M
News & Activity

SYF News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

synchrony financial is one of the premier consumer financial services companies in the united states. our roots in consumer finance trace back to 1932, and today we are the largest provider of private label credit cards in the united states based on purchase volume and receivables. we provide a range of credit products through programs we have established with a diverse group of national and regional retailers, local merchants, manufacturers, buying groups, industry associations and healthcare service providers to help generate growth for our partners and offer financial flexibility to our customers. through our partners’ more than 300,000 locations across the united states and canada, and their websites and mobile applications, we offer our customers a variety of credit products to finance the purchase of goods and services. our offerings include private label credit cards, promotional financing and installment lending, loyalty programs and optimizer+plus branded fdic-insured sa

Industry
Credit Card Issuing
CEO
Alberto Casellas
Alberto CasellasExecutive Vice President and Chief Executive Officer of Health & Wellness
Bart SchallerExecutive Vice President & Chief Executive Officer of Digital
Brian D. DoublesPresident, Chief Executive Officer & Director
PeersFinancial Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
SYF
$70.84-3.91%$23.7B6.7-791.5%1858.1%1504
$304.88-0.70%$803.9B14.2+330.7%2039.3%1501
$326.42+1.59%$620.8B27.9+1134.0%5014.5%1499
$499.81-1.09%$439.9B28.5+1641.6%4564.7%1492
$50.78-1.48%$358.7B11.6-45.1%1592.6%1500
$191.90+1.51%$301.4B16.5+1147.7%1466.4%1523
$945.90+0.89%$278.7B15.9-138.4%1373.0%1521
Sector avg-0.45%17.3+468.4%2558.4%1506