TJX
Earnings in 8 days · May 20, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Leaning Bearish1
Price
1
Move+0.91%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.8× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 37Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
148.91
Open
149.00
Day Range147.16 – 151.05
147.16
151.05
52W Range119.84 – 165.82
119.84
165.82
66% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
4.6M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
30.8x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.02%
Beta
0.92
Market-like
Performance
1D
-0.73%
5D
-1.60%
1M
-5.10%
3M
+1.73%
6M
+4.93%
YTD
-0.16%
1Y
+16.63%
Best: 1Y (+16.63%)Worst: 1M (-5.10%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +7% YoY
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 31x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.1 · FCF $4.32/sh
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$166.31B
Revenue TTM$60.37B
Net Income TTM$5.49B
Free Cash Flow$4.86B
Gross Margin31.1%
Net Margin9.1%
Operating Margin12.0%
Return on Equity59.5%
Return on Assets15.4%
Debt / Equity1.32
Current Ratio1.14
EPS TTM$4.88
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Comparable store sales growth (comp sales) - 3-4% is healthy, driven by traffic and ticket

Merchandise margin performance - ability to maintain 20-60% discount spread vs. department stores while protecting gross margin

New store productivity and payback - targeting 200-250 net new stores annually with 2-3 year payback periods

Market share gains from department store closures and bankruptcies (Bed Bath & Beyond, Tuesday Morning creating vendor inventory opportunities)

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Off-price retail exhibits counter-cyclical characteristics during downturns (consumers trade down from department stores) but also benefits from strong economies (increased discretionary spending). TJX historically gained share during 2008-2009 recession as consumers sought value, yet also thrives when employment is strong and consumer confidence high. The treasure-hunt model attracts both aspirational shoppers stretching budgets and affluent customers seeking deals. Apparel and home furnishings are discretionary categories, creating GDP sensitivity, but value positioning provides downside protection.

Interest Rates

Low direct sensitivity - TJX maintains conservative balance sheet with $3.5B net debt and 1.41x debt/equity, minimizing financing cost exposure. However, rising rates indirectly impact through: (1) reduced consumer discretionary spending as mortgage/credit costs rise, (2) valuation multiple compression for growth retailers, and (3) potential benefits from increased vendor distress creating inventory opportunities. The company's 58.3% ROE and strong free cash flow generation ($4.2B) reduce reliance on external financing.

Key Risks

E-commerce disruption - online resale platforms (Poshmark, ThredUp, Vinted) and Amazon off-price offerings competing for value-conscious consumers, though treasure-hunt experience remains difficult to replicate digitally

Vendor direct-to-consumer shift - brands increasingly selling overstock through own channels or online flash sales, potentially reducing inventory available to off-price retailers

Fast fashion competition - Shein, Temu offering ultra-low prices on new merchandise, challenging TJX's value proposition among younger demographics

Investor Profile

growth-at-reasonable-price (GARP) - TJX attracts investors seeking consistent 7-10% revenue growth, 10-15% EPS growth, and defensive characteristics during economic uncertainty. The 10.5% EPS growth, 2.4% FCF yield, and active share repurchase program appeal to total return investors. Valuation at 22.3x EV/EBITDA reflects premium to traditional retail but discount to pure e-commerce, attracting quality-focused growth investors who value the proven off-price model and international expansion runway (4,900 stores vs. 7,000+ long-term target).

Watch on Earnings
Monthly comparable store sales trends (traffic vs. ticket components)University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (UMCSENT) - leading indicator for discretionary spendingRetail sales excluding autos and gas (RSXFS) - apparel and home furnishings demand proxyUnemployment rate (UNRATE) - impacts both consumer spending capacity and labor cost inflation
Health Radar
3 strong3 watch
71/100
Liquidity
1.14Watch
Leverage
1.32Watch
Coverage
132.0xStrong
ROE
59.5%Strong
ROIC
21.8%Strong
Cash
$6.2BWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE26 analysts
BUY
+13.1%upside to target
L $150.00
Med $170.00consensus
H $193.00
Buy
2492%
Hold
28%
24 Buy (92%)2 Hold (8%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
4/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 37 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowLean Distribution — selling pressure
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.14
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 13, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 7, 2026
In 87 days
PDividend PaymentSep 9, 2026
In 120 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 6.1%

-5.0% vs SMA 50 · +0.9% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI37.1
Momentum fading
MACD-1.74
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$165.8+10.4%
EMA 50
$156.9+4.4%
Current
$150.3
EMA 200
$147.7-1.7%
52W Low
$119.8-20.2%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$119.866th %ile$165.8
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:3
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)4.5M
Recent Vol (5D)
5.5M+23%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 14 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$56.2B
$56.1B$56.4B
$4.19
±1%
High14
FY2026(current)
$60.0B
$59.8B$60.3B
+6.7%$4.68+11.7%
±1%
High13
FY2027
$63.8B
$63.5B$64.4B
+6.4%$5.12+9.3%
±2%
High14
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 8 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryTJX
Last 8Q
+4.7%avg beat
Beat 8 of 8 quarters Estimates rising
+7%
Q2'24
+4%
Q3'24
+4%
Q4'24
+6%
Q1'25
+1%
Q2'25
+9%
Q3'25
+4%
Q4'25
+3%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
CitigroupNeutral → Buy
May 21
UPGRADE
CitigroupBuy → Neutral
Aug 22
DOWNGRADE
Goldman SachsNeutral → Buy
Apr 25
UPGRADE
Cleveland ResearchBuy
Aug 9
UPGRADE
Loop Capital MarketsBuy
Jul 12
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
5 Buys/1 SellNet Buying
Herrman ErnieDir
$4.8M
Mar 2
SELL
Lane Amy BDir
$1K
Mar 4
BUY
Lane Amy BDir
$1K
Mar 3
BUY
Lane Amy BDir
$1K
Dec 2
BUY
Lane Amy BDir
$1K
Sep 2
BUY
Lane Amy BDir
$1K
Jun 3
BUY
Financials
Dividends1.13% yield
+15.1% avg annual growth
Annual Yield1.13%
Quarterly Div.$0.4800
Est. Annual / Share$1.92
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Bank of New York Mellon Corp
12.9M
2
Nuveen, LLC
11.3M
3
UBS Group AG
9.9M
4
PRIMECAP MANAGEMENT CO/CA/
9.6M
5
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
6.4M
6
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO
6.3M
7
Legal & General Group Plc
5.6M
8
WELLS FARGO & COMPANY/MN
5.4M
News & Activity

TJX News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

The TJX Companies, Inc. is an American multinational off-price department store corporation, headquartered in Framingham, Massachusetts. It was formed as a subsidiary of Zayre Corp. in 1987, and became the legal successor to Zayre Corp. following a company reorganization in 1989.

CEO
Ernie Herrman
Erica FarrellSenior Vice President of Finance & Treasurer
Jeff BotteVice President of Investor Relations
John KlingerSenior Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
PeersConsumer Cyclical(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
TJX
$150.26-0.73%$164.8B30.5+711.9%910.0%1506
$265.82-1.35%$2.9T31.8+1237.8%1083.4%1519
$433.45+4.02%$1.7T371.3-293.1%400.1%1500
$310.46-1.91%$310.2B21.8+324.0%859.6%1480
$274.84-0.42%$195.1B22.5+372.3%3185.0%1480
$224.52-1.37%$126.6B19.0+312.2%771.2%1491
$160.56-4.90%$122.3B20.3+1338.7%2007.7%1486
Sector avg-0.95%73.9+572.0%1316.7%1495