TOMYY(TOMYY)

$29.15—Stale · unknown old

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TOMYY(TOMYY)

OTC • Last print unknown ago

$29.15—Stale · unknown old

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9/6/26

TOMY (TOMYY)

Sunday

4:02 AM

ThesisTOMY: the story is balanced — New product launch success rates and sell-through velocity at major retailers during holiday season (Q3-Q4)

Revenue Outlook

Metric	FY2026	FY2027E	FY2028E
Revenue	$286.8B	$283.6B	$296.7B
Rev. Growth	+14.6%	-1.1%	+4.6%
EPS	$139.01	$0.00	$0.00
EPS Growth	-23.7%	-100%	—
P/E	0.2×	—	—

★ Analysts see FY2028 revenue reaching $296.7B — +4.6% growth in a single year.

What Moves the Stock

01New product launch success rates and sell-through velocity at major retailers during holiday season (Q3-Q4)
02Licensing agreement renewals and new IP acquisitions (Pokémon, Disney contracts critical to revenue stability)
03Chinese consumer spending trends and market share gains in Asia-Pacific region (estimated 40-50% of revenue)
04Yen/USD and Yen/CNY exchange rates impacting translation of overseas earnings and manufacturing costs
05Raw material costs (plastic resin, zinc alloy for die-cast) affecting gross margins
06Physical toy sales (Tomica vehicles, Plarail trains, dolls) - estimated 60-65% of revenue
07Licensed character merchandise (Pokémon, Disney, anime properties) - estimated 25-30% of revenue
08Digital/mobile games and content - estimated 5-10% of revenue

FY2026 Snapshot

Revenue: $286.8B
Rev. Growth: +14.6%
Gross Margin: 40.3%
Op. Margin: 9.0%
Net Margin: 4.3%
Net Income: $12.4B
NI Growth: -24.3%
EPS: $139.01
1Y Return: +1.1%

TOMYY Chart

My Notes

value - Current 1.0x P/S and 6.6x EV/EBITDA multiples suggest deep value territory despite strong fundamentals (15% ROE, 11.1% ROA).
Moderate sensitivity through consumer financing and retail partner health.
Watch on earnings: Japanese retail toy market monthly sales data (Japan Toy Association publishes monthly), Chinese retail sales of consumer goods (proxy for discretionary spending in key growth market), USD/JPY and CNY/JPY exchange rates (impacts translated earnings and manufacturing cost competitiveness).

One Sentence Summary:

TOMY: the story is balanced — new product launch success rates and sell-through velocity at major retailers during holiday season (q3-q4).

Auto-composed from Stock Alarm intelligence, financial statements, and analyst estimates. Not investment advice.