SOUTHERN KUZBASS COAL COMPANY PUBLIC JOINT-STOCK (UKUZ.ME)

Tuesday

2:23 PM

Thesis: Concerns over regulatory changes and declining coal demand are overshadowing short-term operational improvements, leading to a more cautious outlook.

Revenue Outlook

Metric	FY2024	FY2025
Revenue	$44.2B	$25.5B
Rev. Growth	-2.7%	-42.4%
EPS	$34.71	$-785.85
EPS Growth	-30.2%	-2364%
P/E	17.3×	—

What Moves the Stock

1Global coal prices, particularly thermal and coking coal prices
2Regulatory changes affecting coal mining in Russia
3Demand from key markets, especially in Asia
4Operational efficiency and cost management
5Thermal coal sales - approximately 70%
6Coking coal sales - approximately 30%
7Transition towards cleaner energy sources impacting coal demand
8Increased focus on operational efficiency in traditional energy sectors

FY2025 Snapshot

Revenue: $25.5B
Rev. Growth: -42.4%
Gross Margin: 0.1%
Op. Margin: -48.9%
Net Margin: -112%
Net Income: $-28.4B
NI Growth: -2364%
EPS: $-785.85
1Y Return: -36.4%

UKUZ.ME Chart

My Notes

"Management noted, 'While we are seeing some demand recovery, the long-term outlook remains uncertain due to regulatory pressures.'"
Moat: The company's established operations in the Kuzbass region provide a significant competitive advantage in terms of logistics and market…
value - investors may seek undervalued assets in the coal sector, especially given the current low valuations.
Moderate - while interest rates primarily affect financing costs, they also influence overall economic activity and demand for coal.
Watch on earnings: Thermal coal spot price, Coking coal spot price, Production costs per ton.

One Sentence Summary:

Southern Kuzbass Coal company Public joint-stock: the story is balanced — global coal prices, particularly thermal and coking coal prices.

Auto-composed from Stock Alarm intelligence, financial statements, and analyst estimates. Not investment advice.

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