VNDA(VNDA)
VNDA
10/7/26
Vanda Pharmaceuticals (VNDA)
Wednesday
2:34 PM
ThesisVanda Pharmaceuticals: the story is balanced — Hetlioz prescription volume trends and market penetration in Non-24 and Smith-Magenis Syndrome patient populations
Revenue Outlook
What Moves the Stock
- 01Hetlioz prescription volume trends and market penetration in Non-24 and Smith-Magenis Syndrome patient populations
- 02Clinical trial readouts for pipeline candidates or label expansion studies
- 03FDA regulatory decisions on new drug applications or supplemental approvals
- 04Reimbursement coverage decisions from major payers affecting product access
- 05Partnership announcements or licensing deals that validate platform or provide non-dilutive funding
- 06Cash runway concerns and potential financing events given negative cash flow profile
- 07Hetlioz (tasimelteon) for rare circadian rhythm sleep disorders - primary revenue driver
- 08Fanapt (iloperidone) for schizophrenia treatment - secondary product
FY2025 Snapshot
- Revenue
- $216M
- Rev. Growth
- +8.7%
- Gross Margin
- 94.0%
- Op. Margin
- -70.0%
- Net Margin
- -102%
- Net Income
- $-220M
- NI Growth
- -1067%
- EPS
- $-3.74
- 1Y Return
- -16.8%
VNDA Chart
My Notes
- growth/speculative - The stock attracts investors focused on turnaround potential and pipeline optionality rather than current…
- Rising interest rates create moderate headwinds through two channels: (1) Higher discount rates compress valuation multiples…
- Watch on earnings: Quarterly Hetlioz prescription data from third-party sources (IQVIA, Symphony Health) showing volume trends, Operating cash flow trajectory and quarterly burn rate to assess runway extension or contraction, Gross-to-net percentage (discount from list price) indicating payer pressure and rebate trends.
One Sentence Summary:
Vanda Pharmaceuticals: the story is balanced — hetlioz prescription volume trends and market penetration in non-24 and smith-magenis syndrome patient populations.
Auto-composed from Stock Alarm intelligence, financial statements, and analyst estimates. Not investment advice.
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