Data is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
11/13/26
Wintrust Financial (WTFC)
Friday
8:26 PM ET
ThesisWintrust Financial: the story is balanced — Net interest margin trajectory - sensitivity to Fed funds rate and deposit beta (cost of deposits relative to rate…
★ Analysts see FY2027 revenue reaching $3.2B — +7.1% growth in a single year.
What Moves the Stock
01Net interest margin trajectory - sensitivity to Fed funds rate and deposit beta (cost of deposits relative to rate increases)
02Commercial real estate loan growth and credit quality - CRE represents 45% of loan book, concentrated in Chicagoland multifamily and office properties
03Deposit growth and mix shift - ability to retain low-cost demand deposits versus migration to higher-cost CDs and money market accounts
04Wealth management AUM flows and market performance - $45 billion in assets under administration drives recurring fee income
05Net interest income from commercial and residential lending (~70% of revenue) - primarily CRE, C&I loans, and mortgage originations
06Wealth management and mortgage banking fees (~18% of revenue) - trust services, brokerage, and mortgage servicing rights
07Deposit service charges and treasury management fees (~12% of revenue) - premium checking accounts and commercial cash management
value - Trades at 1.4x tangible book value versus 1.8x for regional bank peers…
Asset-sensitive balance sheet benefits from rising short-term rates as variable-rate commercial loans reprice faster than deposit costs.
Watch on earnings: Federal Funds Rate and 10Y-2Y yield curve spread - determines net interest margin potential and loan demand, Chicago-area office vacancy rates and multifamily rental growth - leading indicators for CRE credit quality, Deposit costs and cumulative deposit beta - tracks competitive pressure on funding costs.
One Sentence Summary:
Wintrust Financial: the story is balanced — net interest margin trajectory - sensitivity to fed funds rate and deposit beta (cost of deposits relative to rate increases).
Auto-composed from Stock Alarm intelligence, financial statements, and analyst estimates. Not investment advice.
