AB
Next earnings: Jul 23, 2026
Signal
Leaning Bearish1
Price
1
Move-0.16%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.5× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 43Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
38.12
Open
38.25
Day Range38.03 – 38.54
38.03
38.54
52W Range35.59 – 44.11
35.59
44.11
29% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
328.1K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
11.8x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.10%
Beta
1.03
Market-like
Performance
1D
-1.01%
5D
-2.53%
1M
-1.75%
3M
-6.66%
6M
-3.10%
YTD
-0.94%
1Y
-4.27%
Worst: 3M (-6.66%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev -25% · 100% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 12x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 0.0 (low) · FCF $3.52/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$4.21B
Revenue TTM$342.26M
Net Income TTM$311.04M
Free Cash Flow$325.64M
Gross Margin100.0%
Net Margin90.9%
Operating Margin100.0%
Return on Equity22.0%
Return on Assets24.7%
Debt / Equity0.00
Current Ratio0.00
EPS TTM$3.36
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Quarterly net client flows (organic growth rate) - positive flows signal competitive positioning and offset fee compression

Equity market performance - S&P 500 and global equity indices drive ~40-50% of AUM valuation given equity strategy concentration

Fixed income market performance and credit spreads - impacts ~30-40% of AUM in bond strategies

Fee rate trajectory - ability to maintain basis point fees amid passive competition and institutional fee pressure

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Asset management revenue is directly tied to financial market valuations which correlate strongly with economic growth. During expansions, equity markets appreciate (increasing AUM and revenue), corporate pension funding improves (driving institutional allocations), and retail investor sentiment strengthens (generating positive flows). Recessions trigger market declines that mechanically reduce AUM/revenue by 20-40%, while risk-off sentiment causes redemptions. The -28% revenue decline reflects recent market volatility and potential outflows.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates have mixed effects: (1) Negative for equity valuations which compress AUM and revenue, particularly growth-oriented strategies; (2) Positive for fixed income AUM as bond yields become more attractive vs. cash, potentially driving allocation shifts; (3) Negative for valuation multiples as asset managers trade at discounts to historical P/E ratios when risk-free rates rise. The 10-year Treasury yield is the primary transmission mechanism affecting both market levels and investor asset allocation decisions.

Key Risks

Secular shift to passive investing - index funds and ETFs have captured 80%+ of industry flows over the past decade, compressing active management fee rates from 60-80bps to 40-60bps and forcing scale consolidation

Fee compression and margin pressure - institutional clients increasingly negotiate lower fees, while retail investors migrate to lower-cost share classes, requiring AUM growth of 5-7% annually just to maintain flat revenue

Regulatory changes - DOL fiduciary rule evolution, SEC marketing rule amendments, and potential transaction tax proposals could increase compliance costs or restrict distribution strategies

Investor Profile

dividend/value - AB offers a 7-9% distribution yield given the LP structure requiring earnings distribution, attracting income-focused investors. The 3.0x P/B and 18.8x EV/EBITDA valuations reflect value characteristics relative to growth stocks. The 21.7% FCF yield is exceptionally high, indicating the market prices in structural headwinds (fee compression, outflows) rather than growth potential. Institutional investors focus on the stock as a liquid proxy for asset management industry trends.

Watch on Earnings
S&P 500 Index level - proxy for equity market performance driving 40-50% of AUM valuationBloomberg US Aggregate Bond Index - tracks fixed income market performance affecting 30-40% of AUMHigh yield credit spreads (BAMLH0A0HYM2) - indicates risk appetite for credit strategies and institutional flow direction10-year Treasury yield (GS10) - affects both equity valuations and fixed income allocation decisions
Health Radar
2 strong4 concern
29/100
Liquidity
0.00Concern
Leverage
0.00Strong
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
22.0%Strong
ROIC
0.0%Concern
Cash
$0Concern
ANALYST COVERAGE13 analysts
HOLD
+7.1%upside to target
L $39.50
Med $40.75consensus
H $42.00
Buy
646%
Hold
646%
Sell
18%
6 Buy (46%)6 Hold (46%)1 Sell (8%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
0 of 5 signals bullish
1/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 43 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.00 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 20, 2026
In 96 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 10.8%

-4.1% vs SMA 50 · +6.3% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI42.9
Momentum fading
MACD-0.24
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$44.11+15.9%
EMA 50
$39.28+3.2%
Current
$38.06
EMA 200
$35.82-5.9%
52W Low
$35.59-6.5%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$35.5929th %ile$44.11
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:3
Edge:Even
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)316K
Recent Vol (5D)
250K-21%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 5 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$3.4B
$3.2B$3.7B
$2.56
±1%
Moderate4
FY2024
$3.5B
$3.4B$3.5B
+2.7%$3.06+19.9%
±1%
High5
FY2025
$3.5B
$3.5B$3.5B
+2.1%$3.33+8.6%
±0%
High5
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryAB
Last 8Q
+4.8%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates rising
+7%
Q3'24
+7%
Q4'24
+22%
Q1'25
+3%
Q2'25
-1%
Q3'25
+1%
Q4'25
+4%
Q1'26
-5%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
BernsteinBuy → Neutral
Apr 3
DOWNGRADE
Morgan StanleyOverweight
Dec 9
UPGRADE
HSBCBuy
Sep 30
UPGRADE
Bank of America Sec…Neutral
Jun 10
UPGRADE
Goldman SachsBuy
Oct 2
UPGRADE
Credit SuisseOutperform
Feb 13
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $1.1M sold · 30d window
Bernstein Seth PDir
$1.1M
Apr 30
SELL
Bernstein Seth PDir
$1.1M
Feb 18
SELL
Bernstein Seth PDir
$999K
Aug 22
SELL
Bernstein Seth PDir
$252K
Aug 19
SELL
Bernstein Seth PDir
$19K
Aug 20
SELL
Kaye Daniel GDir
$197K
May 12
SELL
Financials
Dividends8.96% yield
+9.3% avg annual growth
Annual Yield8.96%
Quarterly Div.$0.8300
Est. Annual / Share$3.32
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
FMR LLC
1.1M
2
AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC
962K
3
MORGAN STANLEY
680K
4
LPL Financial LLC
516K
5
WELLS FARGO & COMPANY/MN
495K
6
Cresset Asset Management, LLC
378K
7
Neuberger Berman Group LLC
353K
8
Invesco Ltd.
336K
News & Activity

AB News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

AllianceBernstein is a leading global investment management firm that offers high-quality research and diversified investment services to institutional investors, individuals and private wealth clients in major world markets. The firm has $688 billion in client assets under management, as of February 28, 2021.

Industry
Securities and Commodity Exchanges
Seth Perry BernsteinCEO & Director
Ahmet Onur ErzanPresident
Mark Randall ManleySenor Vice President, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
AB
$38.06-1.01%$4.2B11.3-2796.7%9010.7%1500
$404.35-3.20%$2.1T30.5+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$132.58-6.05%$307.9B20.7-44.8%1012.0%1500
$88.38-2.58%$303.7B13.6+318.8%1510.7%1500
$148.08-1.13%$282.6B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$181.58-1.83%$281.6B26.9+862.9%1745.9%1500
$183.40-0.23%$256.1B16.8+213.3%1482.4%1500
Sector avg-2.29%20.1+349.7%3119.4%1500