ACAD
Next earnings: Aug 5, 2026 · After close
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-3.12%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume0.7× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 51Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
22.09
Open
21.92
Day Range21.37 – 22.00
21.37
22.00
52W Range19.69 – 28.35
19.69
28.35
20% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.9M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
9.7x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-3.12%
5D
-4.59%
1M
-1.65%
3M
-2.86%
6M
-10.91%
YTD
-19.88%
1Y
+21.59%
Best: 1Y (+21.59%)Worst: YTD (-19.88%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +10% YoY · 91% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 10x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 3.6 · FCF $1.25/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$3.66B
Revenue TTM$1.10B
Net Income TTM$375.65M
Free Cash Flow$212.43M
Gross Margin91.5%
Net Margin34.3%
Operating Margin7.4%
Return on Equity35.6%
Return on Assets23.4%
Debt / Equity0.04
Current Ratio3.59
EPS TTM$2.20
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

NUPLAZID prescription volume trends and market share in PDP and DRP indications

Clinical trial readouts and regulatory milestones for pipeline programs (Phase 3 data, FDA submissions)

Payer coverage decisions and reimbursement dynamics for NUPLAZID in expanded indications

Competitive threats from generic challenges or alternative CNS therapies entering development

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Prescription pharmaceutical demand for chronic neurological conditions is largely non-discretionary and insulated from economic cycles. Patients with Parkinson's disease psychosis or dementia require ongoing treatment regardless of macroeconomic conditions. However, Medicare and Medicaid reimbursement policies can be influenced by government budget pressures during recessions.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates create moderate headwinds through two channels: (1) Higher discount rates compress valuation multiples for growth-oriented biotech stocks, particularly impacting companies trading on future pipeline potential rather than current earnings. (2) Increased financing costs affect capital allocation decisions if ACADIA pursues debt financing for business development or pipeline expansion. However, with $600M+ cash position and positive operating cash flow, near-term financing needs are minimal. The 3.7x P/S multiple suggests some rate sensitivity in valuation.

Key Risks

Patent expiration risk for NUPLAZID (composition of matter patents expire 2027-2030 depending on jurisdiction) could enable generic competition and revenue erosion without successful pipeline progression

Regulatory scrutiny of CNS drugs following historical FDA safety concerns around antipsychotics in elderly populations could impact label expansion opportunities or require additional post-marketing studies

Reimbursement pressure from Medicare negotiations under Inflation Reduction Act provisions beginning 2026 could affect pricing power for established products

Investor Profile

growth - The 31.8% revenue growth, recent profitability inflection (470% net income growth), and 16.3% one-year return attract growth investors focused on commercial-stage biotech with proven products. The 3.7x P/S and 31.4x EV/EBITDA multiples reflect growth expectations rather than value characteristics. However, the transition to sustained profitability (24% operating margin) is beginning to attract growth-at-a-reasonable-price (GARP) investors who previously avoided unprofitable biotechs. Limited dividend yield (not mentioned in fundamentals, likely zero) means income investors are not the target audience.

Watch on Earnings
NUPLAZID weekly prescription data (TRx and NRx) from IQVIA or Symphony Health tracking servicesMedicare Part D coverage decisions and prior authorization requirements for dementia-related psychosis indicationClinical trial enrollment rates and data readout timelines for Phase 3 programsOperating cash flow generation and cash burn rate relative to pipeline investment needs
Health Radar
3 strong1 watch2 concern
60/100
Liquidity
3.59Strong
Leverage
0.04Strong
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
35.6%Strong
ROIC
6.2%Concern
Cash
$178MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE23 analysts
BUY
+63.6%upside to target
L $29.00
Med $35.00consensus
H $40.00
Buy
1878%
Hold
417%
Sell
14%
18 Buy (78%)4 Hold (17%)1 Sell (5%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 51 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 3.59 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 18, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentAug 20, 2026
In 95 days
Technicals
Technical SetupMIXED
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 6.5%

-3.6% vs SMA 50 · -9.8% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI51.1
Neutral territory
MACD+0.01
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$28.35+32.5%
EMA 200
$23.11+8.0%
EMA 50
$22.40+4.7%
Current
$21.40
52W Low
$19.69-8.0%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$19.6920th %ile$28.35
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:4
Edge:+2 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.8M
Recent Vol (5D)
1.6M-14%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 16 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$1.1B
$1.1B$1.1B
$0.81
±11%
High14
FY2026(current)
$1.2B
$1.2B$1.3B
+14.8%$0.39-51.9%
±36%
High16
FY2027
$1.4B
$1.3B$1.5B
+11.9%$0.77+97.3%
±50%
High16
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryACAD
Last 8Q
+151.6%avg beat
Beat 7 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates falling
+11%
Q3'24
+43%
Q4'24
+31%
Q1'25
+10%
Q2'25
+14%
Q3'25
+86%
Q4'25
+1068%
Q1'26
-50%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Deutsche BankBuy
May 20
UPGRADE
GuggenheimBuy → Neutral
Jan 3
DOWNGRADE
Morgan StanleyOverweight → Equal-Weight
Aug 7
DOWNGRADE
NeedhamHold → Buy
Jan 24
UPGRADE
Morgan StanleyEqual-Weight → Overweight
Dec 19
UPGRADE
Mizuho SecuritiesBuy
Nov 6
UPGRADE
GuggenheimBuy
Jan 3
UPGRADE
Goldman SachsNeutral → Sell
Nov 3
DOWNGRADE
JefferiesBuy
Jun 21
DOWNGRADE
Canaccord GenuityBuy
Mar 20
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $105K sold · 30d window
Kihara JamesPRINCIPAL ACCO…
$29K
May 4
SELL
Schneyer Mark C.CFO
$76K
May 4
SELL
Schneyer Mark C.CFO
$60K
Apr 7
SELL
Kihara JamesPRINCIPAL ACCO…
$23K
Apr 7
SELL
Owen Adams CatherineCEO
$250K
Mar 25
SELL
Rhodes Jennifer JEVP, CHIEF LEG…
$83K
Mar 25
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BAKER BROS. ADVISORS LP
42.9M
2
BlackRock, Inc.
21.6M
3
STATE STREET CORP
8.3M
4
RTW INVESTMENTS, LP
7.1M
5
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
3.5M
6
FIRST TRUST ADVISORS LP
3.3M
7
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
3.2M
8
Palo Alto Investors LP
2.9M
News & Activity

ACAD News

About

acadia pharmaceuticals (nasdaq: acad) is a biopharmaceutical company focused on the development and commercialization of innovative medicines that address unmet medical needs in related central nervous system (cns) disorders. all of acadia's product candidates emanate from internal discoveries. we believe that they offer innovative therapeutic approaches that may provide significant advantages relative to current therapies. acadia’s history is rooted in science and strong leadership in cns research. our proprietary drug discovery platform has led to a portfolio of drug candidates with large unmet needs. since the beginning, we have been dedicated to discovering, developing and commercializing innovative therapies that improve the lives of patients suffering from such disorders. acadia is headquartered in san diego. the city represents the second largest biotechnology industry cluster in the united states, home to over 400 companies, as well as the salk institute for biological studies

Industry
Research and Development in Biotechnology (except Nanobiotechnology)
CEO
Stephen Davis
Elizabeth ThompsonExecutive Vice President and Head of Research & Development
Mark C. SchneyerExecutive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Rob AcklesSenior Vice President & Chief People Officer
PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
ACAD
$21.40-3.12%$3.7B9.7+1187.2%3649.1%1500
$66.13-5.07%$13.0B+12626.1%-14525.8%1500
$94.92-3.79%$12.6B+3288.2%-4239.0%1500
$523.69-3.00%$12.1B+43205.3%-3008.0%1500
$227.72-1.30%$11.7B+6554.5%-2868.8%1500
$57.90-0.86%$11.2B50.3+1459.3%147.7%1500
$76.67-3.79%$10.8B+2325815.3%-19.7%1500
Sector avg-2.99%30.0+342019.4%-2980.6%1500