AIRO
Next earnings: Aug 13, 2026
Signal
Bearish Setup1
Price
1
Move-3.70%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume0.9× avgNormal activity
PRICE
Prev Close
6.62
Open
6.42
Day Range6.25 – 6.69
6.25
6.69
52W Range6.11 – 39.07
6.11
39.07
1% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
557.1K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-37.5x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-3.70%
5D
-12.74%
1M
-23.80%
3M
-30.76%
6M
-36.93%
YTD
-22.13%
1Y
-73.46%
Worst: 1Y (-73.46%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +4% YoY · 60% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 2.9 · FCF negative
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$200.31M
Revenue TTM$88.01M
Net Income TTM-$17.58M
Free Cash Flow-$25.41M
Gross Margin59.7%
Net Margin-20.0%
Operating Margin-48.7%
Return on Equity-2.4%
Return on Assets-2.3%
Debt / Equity0.01
Current Ratio2.94
EPS TTM$-0.56
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

New contract awards from Department of Defense, Homeland Security, or international defense ministries with disclosed dollar values

Quarterly revenue growth rates and trajectory toward profitability milestones

Product development announcements including FAA certifications, payload integrations, or new platform launches

Defense budget appropriations and unmanned systems funding levels in National Defense Authorization Act

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Defense spending exhibits lower cyclicality than commercial aerospace, as government budgets are determined by geopolitical priorities rather than GDP growth. However, commercial UAS applications (infrastructure inspection, agriculture, logistics) are more economically sensitive. The company's revenue growth is primarily driven by defense modernization cycles and unmanned systems adoption rates rather than broad economic activity. Federal budget dynamics and continuing resolutions can create quarterly revenue volatility.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates create moderate headwinds through two channels: (1) higher discount rates compress valuation multiples for unprofitable growth companies, particularly impacting the stock's P/S multiple which is near 0.0x, and (2) potential pressure on defense discretionary spending if debt service costs crowd out procurement budgets. However, the company's minimal debt (0.02 D/E) insulates it from direct financing cost increases. The primary rate impact is through equity valuation compression rather than operational pressure.

Key Risks

Regulatory evolution in unmanned systems airspace integration and beyond-visual-line-of-sight (BVLOS) operations could delay commercial market adoption

Defense budget prioritization shifts away from unmanned systems toward hypersonics, space, or cyber capabilities in future appropriations cycles

Technological disruption from AI-enabled autonomous systems and software-defined platforms that commoditize hardware platforms

Investor Profile

growth - The company attracts speculative growth investors focused on the defense technology modernization theme and unmanned systems adoption. The 101% revenue growth, high gross margins, and small $0.3B market cap appeal to investors seeking asymmetric upside in emerging defense platforms. However, the -61.7% six-month return and negative profitability metrics indicate this is a high-risk, high-volatility position suitable only for risk-tolerant portfolios. The stock likely appeals to thematic defense tech investors rather than traditional value or income-focused buyers.

Watch on Earnings
Department of Defense unmanned systems procurement budget allocations in annual NDAAQuarterly bookings and book-to-bill ratio to assess demand trajectoryGross margin trends by product line to identify mix shifts and pricing pressureOperating cash flow burn rate and quarters of cash runway at current burn
Health Radar
2 strong1 watch3 concern
38/100
Liquidity
2.94Strong
Leverage
0.01Strong
Coverage
-4.7xConcern
ROE
-2.4%Concern
ROIC
-5.9%Concern
Cash
$74MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE3 analysts
BUY
+214.0%upside to target
L $19.00
Med $20.00consensus
H $20.00
Buy
267%
Hold
133%
2 Buy (67%)1 Hold (33%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 4 signals bullish
4/10
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.94 — healthy liquidity

1 signal unavailable — limited data for this stock

Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 31, 2026
In 107 days
Technicals
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$39.07+513.3%
Current
$6.37
52W Low
$6.11-4.1%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$6.111th %ile$39.07
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Heavy distribution on elevated volume — institutions appear to be exiting. Squeeze setups unlikely while selling pressure persists.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:1
Dist days:2
Edge:+1 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)590K
Recent Vol (5D)
758K+29%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 3 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$94.9M
$90.2M$100.8M
-$0.03
±7%
Moderate3
FY2026(current)
$111.5M
$105.7M$117.3M
+17.6%-$0.59
±7%
Low2
FY2027
$175.8M
$166.6M$185.0M
+57.6%-$0.10
±7%
Low2
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryAIRO
Last 4Q
-97.6%avg beat
Beat 1 of 4 quartersMissed 3
+162%
Q3'25
-380%
Q4'25
-101%
Q1'26
-71%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Uczekaj JohnDir
$1K
Apr 6
SELL
Uczekaj JohnDir
$30K
Apr 6
SELL
Pylypiv MariyaCFO
$206K
Mar 12
SELL
Uczekaj JohnDir
$4K
Mar 12
SELL
Uczekaj JohnDir
$2K
Jan 5
SELL
Kathuria ChirinjeevDir
$7.1M
Sep 12
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
1.1M
2
HighTower Advisors, LLC
978K
3
Invesco Ltd.
237K
4
Penserra Capital Management LLC
167K
5
UBS Group AG
157K
6
NORTHERN TRUST CORP
128K
7
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO
77K
8
FIRST TRUST ADVISORS LP
60K
News & Activity

AIRO News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

No company information available

PeersIndustrials(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
AIRO
$6.37-3.70%$200M+456.9%-451.5%1500
$888.31-3.47%$409.2B43.7+429.0%1312.8%1523
$281.53-3.43%$294.2B33.7+1848.2%1898.2%1489
$171.18-2.56%$230.5B31.8+974.1%759.8%1488
$220.49-3.80%$173.8B79.6+3449.4%249.7%1503
$270.56+0.45%$160.6B22.2+107.2%2912.3%1504
$399.44-2.12%$155.1B38.9+1033.0%1489.7%1504
Sector avg-2.66%41.7+1185.4%1167.3%1502