Orange juice concentrate futures prices (FCOJ-A on ICE) - directly impacts citrus revenue realization
Florida citrus production forecasts from USDA - weather events (hurricanes, freezes) and disease progression affect supply expectations
Live cattle futures prices - drives ranch operation profitability
Grove replanting progress and young tree maturation rates - signals future production capacity recovery
moderate - Citrus operations show low cyclicality as orange juice is a staple beverage with inelastic demand, though premium fresh fruit sales are more discretionary. Cattle operations are moderately cyclical, with beef demand tied to consumer income levels and restaurant activity. Overall revenue is more weather/disease-driven than economically driven, but margin compression occurs during recessions when consumers trade down and restaurant demand weakens.
Rising rates negatively impact Alico through higher financing costs on agricultural debt used for grove replanting and working capital (citrus has 3-5 year maturation periods requiring sustained capital investment). Additionally, higher rates reduce present value of long-dated land assets which represent significant balance sheet value. However, the company's current low debt/equity ratio (0.86) provides some insulation from rate sensitivity compared to more leveraged agricultural operators.
Citrus greening disease (HLB) has no cure and continues to reduce Florida production capacity - industry output down 70%+ from peak, with ongoing risk of further deterioration requiring continuous replanting investments
Climate change increasing frequency/severity of hurricanes and weather volatility in Florida, threatening both citrus crops and cattle operations
Long-term shift in consumer preferences away from orange juice toward other beverages, with US per-capita consumption declining over 40% since 2000
value/special situation - The stock attracts deep value investors focused on land asset value (Florida agricultural land worth significantly more than current market cap suggests) and turnaround potential if citrus disease management improves. Recent 40% one-year return suggests momentum traders have entered, but fundamental deterioration (negative margins, declining revenue) creates high risk. Not suitable for income investors despite agricultural sector typically offering dividends.
Trend
+14.8% vs SMA 50 · +24.5% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2025 | $43.9M $38.5M–$49.3M | — | -$14.87 | — | ±16% | Low1 |
FY2026(current) | $7.0M $6.2M–$7.9M | ▼ -83.9% | -$0.06 | — | ±16% | Low1 |
FY2027 | $4.9M $4.3M–$5.5M | ▼ -30.5% | -$0.81 | — | ±16% | Low1 |
Dividend per payment — last 8 periods
Vancouver, British Columbia--(Newsfile Corp. - May 5, 2026) - General Copper Gold Corp. (CSE: GGLD)…
Alico, Inc. primarily operates two divisions: Alico Citrus, one of the nation's largest citrus producers, and Land Management and Other Operations, which includes environmental services, land leasing and related support operations.
| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALCO◀ | $41.34 | +0.54% | $317M | — | -552.5% | -33434.8% | 1500 |
| $130.33 | -0.97% | $1.0T | 47.5 | +472.5% | 307.0% | 1518 | |
| $1012.79 | +0.11% | $449.3B | 52.6 | +816.7% | 294.3% | 1504 | |
| $78.19 | -0.50% | $336.5B | 24.6 | +187.0% | — | 1507 | |
| $143.45 | -2.59% | $334.0B | 20.8 | +29.2% | — | 1488 | |
| $169.19 | +1.69% | $263.7B | 23.8 | +731.3% | 2791.8% | 1502 | |
| $154.59 | -1.79% | $211.3B | 24.2 | +225.5% | — | 1499 | |
| Sector avg | — | -0.50% | — | 32.2 | +272.8% | -7510.5% | 1503 |