ALEC
Next earnings: Aug 6, 2026
Signal
Leaning Bearish12
Price
1
Move-6.09%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume1.6× avgHeavy volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 42Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
2.30
Open
2.25
Day Range2.14 – 2.29
2.14
2.29
52W Range1.09 – 3.40
1.09
3.40
46% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
696.0K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-1.8x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.65
High vol
Performance
1D
-6.09%
5D
+1.89%
1M
-16.28%
3M
+15.51%
6M
+74.19%
YTD
+38.46%
1Y
+94.59%
Best: 1Y (+94.59%)Worst: 1M (-16.28%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev -79% · 89% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
WEAK
CR 5.3 · FCF negative
Lean Bearish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$239.81M
Revenue TTM$18.42M
Net Income TTM-$125.39M
Free Cash Flow-$173.20M
Gross Margin88.7%
Net Margin-680.8%
Operating Margin-741.3%
Return on Equity-295.2%
Return on Assets-52.3%
Debt / Equity3.33
Current Ratio5.25
EPS TTM$-1.13
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Clinical trial data readouts for AL001 (latozinemab) in frontotemporal dementia - primary endpoint achievement drives 30-50% single-day moves

FDA regulatory interactions and breakthrough therapy designation decisions for lead programs

Partnership expansion announcements or milestone payment triggers from GSK/AbbVie collaborations

Cash runway updates and financing announcements given $200M annual burn rate against $0.2B market cap

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Clinical trial timelines and regulatory processes are largely insulated from GDP fluctuations. However, severe recessions can impact biotech financing availability and pharmaceutical partner willingness to fund early-stage programs. Patient enrollment may see modest delays during economic stress, but neurodegeneration trials targeting genetically-defined populations are less economically sensitive than discretionary healthcare.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates create significant headwinds through multiple channels: (1) higher discount rates compress NPV of distant cash flows from potential product approvals 5-7 years out, (2) reduced risk appetite among biotech investors shifts capital away from speculative clinical-stage names toward profitable growth companies, (3) increased financing costs for future capital raises given negative cash flow profile. The 3-month 58% rally likely reflects rate stabilization expectations rather than fundamental improvements.

Key Risks

Binary clinical trial risk - single Phase 3 failure in lead programs could render company value near-zero given limited pipeline diversity and high development costs in neurodegeneration

Regulatory pathway uncertainty for immuno-neurology mechanisms with limited precedent for FDA approval in frontotemporal dementia indications

Long development timelines (8-12 years from discovery to approval) in neurodegenerative diseases create sustained cash burn and dilution risk before potential commercialization

Investor Profile

growth - Attracts speculative biotech investors seeking asymmetric risk/reward from clinical trial catalysts. The 58% 3-month rally followed by negative 6-month return reflects high-beta momentum trading around binary events. Not suitable for value or income investors given negative earnings, no dividends, and balance sheet stress. Institutional ownership likely concentrated among specialized healthcare hedge funds with expertise in clinical trial probability modeling.

Watch on Earnings
AL001 Phase 2/3 trial enrollment completion dates and interim analysis timing for frontotemporal dementia programQuarterly cash burn rate and months of runway remaining based on current operating expense trajectoryGSK and AbbVie milestone payment triggers and collaboration revenue recognition patternsBiotech IPO market activity and XBI (biotech ETF) performance as proxy for sector financing conditions
Health Radar
2 strong4 concern
29/100
Liquidity
5.25Strong
Leverage
3.33Concern
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
-295.2%Concern
ROIC
-65.1%Concern
Cash
$66MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE14 analysts
BUY
-7.4%downside to target
Buy
964%
Hold
321%
Sell
214%
9 Buy (64%)3 Hold (21%)2 Sell (15%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 42 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 5.25 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 31, 2026
In 107 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 9.6%

-6.1% vs SMA 50 · +3.0% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI42.4
Momentum fading
MACD-0.05
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$3.40+57.4%
EMA 50
$2.27+5.0%
Current
$2.16
EMA 200
$2.06-4.5%
52W Low
$1.09-49.5%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$1.0946th %ile$3.40
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:3
Edge:+1 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)643K
Recent Vol (5D)
635K-1%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 6 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$16.9M
$16.9M$17.1M
-$1.40
±6%
High6
FY2026(current)
$6.0M
$2.6M$12.4M
-64.5%-$0.88
±40%
High6
FY2027
$26.2M
$13.5M$38.8M
+335.9%-$0.74
±36%
High6
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 8 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryALEC
Last 8Q
+30.7%avg beat
Beat 8 of 8 quarters Estimates rising
+18%
Q3'24
+19%
Q4'24
+97%
Q1'25
+7%
Q2'25
+33%
Q3'25
+19%
Q4'25
+13%
Q1'26
+40%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Neutral — mixed activity
90d20
Cantor FitzgeraldNeutral → Overweight
Apr 15
UPGRADE
BTIGNeutral → Buy
Mar 10
UPGRADE
BTIGNeutral
Oct 22
DOWNGRADE
William BlairMarket Perform
Oct 22
DOWNGRADE
Cantor FitzgeraldNeutral
Oct 22
DOWNGRADE
Cowen & Co.Hold
Oct 22
DOWNGRADE
Keefe, Bruyette & W…Buy
Dec 14
UPGRADE
Morgan StanleyEqual-Weight
Sep 9
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Wong-sarad GracePrincipal Acco…
$5K
Apr 16
SELL
Wong-sarad GracePrincipal Acco…
$3K
Mar 10
SELL
Wong-sarad GracePrincipal Acco…
$7K
Mar 3
SELL
Wong-sarad GracePrincipal Acco…
$17K
Mar 2
SELL
Rosenthal ArnonCEO
$174K
Mar 2
SELL
Berkley Neil LindsayCFO & Chief Bu…
$63K
Mar 2
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
7.7M
2
ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC
4.0M
3
Merck & Co., Inc.
3.5M
4
MEDICI CAPITAL LLC
1.7M
5
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC
1.3M
6
DEUTSCHE BANK AG\
1.1M
7
MACKENZIE FINANCIAL CORP
857K
8
NORTHERN TRUST CORP
692K
News & Activity

ALEC News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

we are a biotech company based in san francisco dedicated to the discovery and development of novel therapies harnessing the power of immune system to treat neurodegenerative diseases such as alzheimer's disease.

Industry
Research and Development in Biotechnology (except Nanobiotechnology)
CEO
Arnon Rosenthal
PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
ALEC
$2.16-6.09%$240M-7907.2%-67915.9%1500
$66.13-5.07%$13.0B+12626.1%-14525.8%1500
$94.92-3.79%$12.6B+3288.2%-4239.0%1500
$523.69-3.00%$12.1B+43205.3%-3008.0%1500
$227.72-1.30%$11.7B+6554.5%-2868.8%1500
$57.90-0.86%$11.2B50.3+1459.3%147.7%1500
$76.67-3.79%$10.8B+2325815.3%-19.7%1500
Sector avg-3.41%50.3+340720.2%-13204.2%1500