Amentum Holdings, Inc.(AMTM)

$20.30—Stale · unknown old

Amentum Holdings, Inc.(AMTM)

NYSE • Last print unknown ago

$20.30—Stale · unknown old

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8/28/26

Amentum (AMTM)

Friday

3:24 PM

ThesisAmentum: the story is balanced — Federal defense budget appropriations and continuing resolutions - delays or cuts directly impact contract funding…

Revenue Outlook

Metric	FY2025	FY2026E	FY2027E
Revenue	$14.4B	$13.9B	$14.1B
Rev. Growth	+71.6%	-3.4%	+1.0%
EPS	$0.27	$2.45	$2.64
EPS Growth	+130%	+809%	+7.6%
P/E (fwd)	75.7×	8.3×	7.7×

★ Analysts see FY2027 revenue reaching $14.1B — +1.0% growth in a single year.

What Moves the Stock

01Federal defense budget appropriations and continuing resolutions - delays or cuts directly impact contract funding and revenue recognition
02Major contract awards and recompetes - winning or losing large IDIQ vehicles (multi-billion dollar ceilings) drives multi-year revenue trajectory
03Organic revenue growth vs. M&A integration execution - market differentiates between acquired growth and same-contract performance
04Operating margin trajectory - any improvement from 3.3% baseline signals successful integration synergies or favorable contract mix
05Free cash flow conversion - $0.5B FCF on $14.4B revenue (3.5% conversion) is critical for debt paydown given 0.86x leverage
06Defense & Intelligence mission support (estimated 50-60% of revenue): base operations, logistics, training, intelligence analysis
07Environmental & Energy Services (estimated 25-30%): nuclear facility management, environmental remediation at DOE sites, decommissioning
08Engineering & Technology Solutions (estimated 15-20%): systems engineering, cybersecurity, IT modernization for federal agencies

FY2025 Snapshot

Revenue: $14.4B
Rev. Growth: +71.6%
Gross Margin: 7.2%
Op. Margin: 3.5%
Net Margin: 0.5%
Net Income: $66M
NI Growth: +180%
EPS: $0.27
1Y Return: -18.7%

AMTM Chart

My Notes

value - The 0.5x P/S, 1.6x P/B, and 7.0% FCF yield attract deep value investors seeking stable…
Rising rates increase financing costs on the company's debt (0.86x D/E implies approximately $3B in debt at current market cap).
Watch on earnings: U.S. defense budget topline (base + OCO) - annual appropriations set the ceiling for contract spending, Department of Energy environmental management budget - funds nuclear site remediation work, Federal funds rate and high-yield credit spreads - impact refinancing costs and equity valuation multiples.

One Sentence Summary:

Amentum: the story is balanced — federal defense budget appropriations and continuing resolutions - delays or cuts directly impact contract funding and revenue recognition.

Auto-composed from Stock Alarm intelligence, financial statements, and analyst estimates. Not investment advice.