AOUT
Next earnings: Jun 25, 2026 · After close
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-5.12%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume0.6× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 38Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
9.18
Open
9.12
Day Range8.66 – 9.12
8.66
9.12
52W Range6.26 – 13.46
6.26
13.46
34% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
40.2K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-11.2x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
0.80
Market-like
Performance
1D
-5.12%
5D
-6.14%
1M
-6.75%
3M
+0.35%
6M
+35.04%
YTD
+12.68%
1Y
-31.20%
Best: 6M (+35.04%)Worst: 1Y (-31.20%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
43% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
STRONG
CR 5.6 · FCF $0.28/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$109.71M
Revenue TTM$205.42M
Net Income TTM-$9.82M
Free Cash Flow$3.52M
Gross Margin43.1%
Net Margin-4.8%
Operating Margin-3.0%
Return on Equity-5.8%
Return on Assets-4.4%
Debt / Equity0.20
Current Ratio5.65
EPS TTM$-0.78
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Discretionary consumer spending trends for outdoor recreation - hunting, fishing, camping participation rates directly drive unit volumes

Retail inventory destocking cycles - sporting goods retailers adjusting inventory levels can create quarterly revenue volatility independent of end-consumer demand

Gross margin trajectory - ability to offset input cost inflation (steel, aluminum, plastics) through pricing or product mix shift to higher-margin categories

Path to sustained profitability - investors focused on whether company can maintain positive operating margins given recent breakeven performance

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Outdoor recreation products are highly discretionary purchases that consumers defer during economic uncertainty. Hunting and fishing participation correlates with consumer confidence and disposable income levels. The company's recent 48% stock decline likely reflects recession concerns impacting discretionary spending forecasts. Small-ticket items ($20-$200 price points) are less sensitive than big-ticket durables but still see demand compression when households tighten budgets.

Interest Rates

Moderate sensitivity through multiple channels: (1) Higher rates reduce consumer discretionary spending power as debt service costs rise, particularly impacting middle-income outdoor enthusiasts who are core customers. (2) Retailer inventory financing costs increase, potentially leading to tighter inventory management and smaller orders. (3) Valuation multiple compression - small-cap consumer discretionary stocks typically see P/S multiples contract as risk-free rates rise. (4) Minimal direct debt impact given low 0.19 debt/equity ratio.

Key Risks

Declining hunting and shooting sports participation among younger demographics - long-term headwind as traditional customer base ages without replacement from millennials/Gen-Z who show lower engagement in hunting activities

Retail channel consolidation - continued sporting goods retailer bankruptcies and consolidation (e.g., Gander Mountain closure, Sports Authority bankruptcy) reduces distribution points and increases buyer negotiating power

E-commerce disruption from Amazon and direct-to-consumer brands eroding specialty retailer traffic and margin structure

Investor Profile

value - The stock trades at distressed multiples (0.5x sales, 0.7x book value) following a 48% decline, attracting deep-value investors betting on cyclical recovery and return to profitability. Recent 39% three-month bounce suggests some turnaround speculation. Not suitable for growth investors given mature industry and modest growth rates. No dividend given negative profitability. Requires high risk tolerance given small-cap illiquidity and execution uncertainty.

Watch on Earnings
US consumer sentiment index (UMCSENT) - leading indicator for discretionary outdoor recreation spendingRetail sales excluding autos (RSXFS) - proxy for broader consumer spending health affecting sporting goods purchasesPersonal savings rate (PSAVERT) - higher savings rates typically correlate with reduced discretionary purchasesUnemployment rate (UNRATE) - job security drives confidence in making non-essential outdoor gear purchases
Health Radar
2 strong1 watch3 concern
38/100
Liquidity
5.65Strong
Leverage
0.20Strong
Coverage
-68.5xConcern
ROE
-5.8%Concern
ROIC
-3.1%Concern
Cash
$23MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE5 analysts
BUY
+43.5%upside to target
L $11.00
Med $12.50consensus
H $14.00
Buy
5100%
5 Buy (100%)0 Hold (0%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
3/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 38 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 5.65 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 18, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentAug 20, 2026
In 95 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 5.8%

-4.0% vs SMA 50 · +1.5% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI37.9
Momentum fading
MACD-0.06
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$13.46+54.5%
EMA 50
$9.15+5.1%
EMA 200
$9.06+4.0%
Current
$8.71
52W Low
$6.26-28.1%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$6.2634th %ile$13.46
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:2
Edge:Even
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)40K
Recent Vol (5D)
40K-1%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 1 analyst
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$199.3M
$198.2M$200.4M
-$0.81
±1%
Low1
FY2025
$208.9M
$207.7M$210.0M
+4.8%$0.54
±1%
Low1
FY2026(current)
$191.9M
$190.9M$193.0M
-8.1%$0.14-72.9%
±1%
Low1
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryAOUT
Last 8Q
+131.5%avg beat
Beat 5 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates falling
-33%
Q2'24
+192%
Q3'24
+85%
Q4'24
+50%
Q1'25
+750%
Q2'25
-63%
Q3'25
+71%
Q4'25
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
4 Buys/0 SellsNet Buying
Murphy Brian DanielDir
$22K
Sep 23
BUY
Fulmer Hugh AndrewEVP, CFO & Tre…
$22K
Sep 23
BUY
Murphy Brian DanielDir
$25K
Dec 15
BUY
Fulmer Hugh AndrewEVP, CFO & Tre…
$25K
Dec 15
BUY
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BRANDES INVESTMENT PARTNERS, LP
2.4M
2
ROYCE & ASSOCIATES LP
916K
3
BlackRock, Inc.
793K
4
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
766K
5
Engine Capital Management, LP
656K
6
GAMCO INVESTORS, INC. ET AL
315K
7
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
290K
8
UBS Group AG
205K
News & Activity

AOUT News

About

American Outdoor Brands, Inc. is an industry leading provider of outdoor products and accessories, including hunting, fishing, camping, shooting, and personal security and defense products, for rugged outdoor enthusiasts. The Company produces innovative, top quality products under the brands Caldwell®; Crimson Trace®; Wheeler®; Tipton®; Frankford Arsenal®; Lockdown®; BOG®; Hooyman®; Smith & Wesson® Accessories; M&P® Accessories; Thompson/Center Arms™ Accessories; Performance Center® Accessories; Schrade®; Old Timer®; Uncle Henry®; Imperial®; BUBBA®; UST®; LaserLyte®; and MEAT!.

Industry
Sporting and Athletic Goods Manufacturing
Brian Daniel MurphyPresident, Chief Executive Officer & Director
H. Andrew FulmerExecutive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer & Treasurer
Elizabeth A. SharpVice President of Investor Relations
PeersConsumer Cyclical(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
AOUT
$8.71-5.12%$110M+1055.4%-3.5%1500
$264.14-1.15%$2.8T31.3+1237.8%1083.4%1522
$422.24-4.75%$1.6T352.3-293.1%400.1%1508
$297.51-2.25%$296.3B20.9+324.0%859.6%1474
$276.39+0.00%$196.4B22.6+372.3%1481
$147.43+0.05%$163.2B30.2+711.9%1499
$218.42-2.32%$122.3B1487
Sector avg-2.22%91.4+568.0%584.9%1496